Earth’s oil gauge on low?

NEW YORK (CNN/Money) – With oil hovering near record prices and OPEC saying it’s out of their control, the question of whether the planet is nearing the end of its oil supply has again arisen.
Earth’s oil gauge on low?

Rising demand puts pressure on proven reserves, which have not seen a significant boost in 30 years.
May 20, 2004: 2:04 PM EDT

NEW YORK (CNN/Money) – With oil hovering near record prices and OPEC saying it’s out of their control, the question of whether the planet is nearing the end of its oil supply has again arisen.

Worldwide use of crude oil is at an all time high and there’s no sign that demand will drop anytime soon. As CNNfn Chris Huntington reports, the big question is: Are we running out of oil?

Demand for oil has soared over the last year, with prices in tow, as China has emerged as an economic powerhouse and other developing countries have boosted consumption.

In addition, oil use is picking up more steam now as the United States — the world’s biggest energy consumer — heads into the summer driving season.

The concern is that this rising consumption is outpacing the discovery of new crude reserves.

At current rates of production, there were 40.6 years of consumption covered by proven reserves in 2002, the latest data available, according to the Wall Street Journal, citing the BP Statistical Review. In 1989, there were 44.7 years left of consumption according to the same table.

“[A shortage] will probably happen in the next 10 to 20 years,” Professor David Goodstein, a physicist at the California Institute of Technology, told CNNfn. “And it may have already begun.”

Meanwhile, the discovery of huge pools of oil beneath the earth’s surface has hit a dry spell.

A field off the Kazakhstan coast was the last major discovery in 30 years, according to the Journal. And fields in other traditional oil-heavy areas such as Texas, Alaska and the North Sea are in decline.

Exacerbating matters are worries about threats to political stability in Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest exporter, and the rest of the Middle East, as well as reductions in producers’ proven reserves.

Earlier this year, Royal Dutch/Shell, one of the world’s biggest oil companies, cut the amount of its proven reserves by 22 percent in a huge scandal at the British- and Dutch-owned concern.

http://money.cnn.com/2004/05/20/markets/oil_reserves/