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Page added on April 8, 2016
Neil Howe & The Coming Generational Crisis
I recently had the pleasure to visit with Neil Howe on the “Lance Roberts Show” about the coming generational shift and its potential affect on the economy.
Neil Howe is a renowned authority on generations and social change in America. An acclaimed author and speaker, he is the nation’s leading thinker on today’s generations—who they are, what motivates them, and how they will shape America’s future.
Howe is founder and president of the consulting firm LifeCourse Associates, where he develops and implements cutting-edge research, analysis, and consulting services to help clients understand how generations impact marketing, workforce issues, and strategic planning. He also recently joined HedgeEye Risk Management as a Managing Director to lead demographic sector research.
A historian, economist, and demographer, Howe is also a recognized authority on global aging, long-term fiscal policy, and migration. He is a senior associate to the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in Washington, D.C., where he helps direct the CSIS Global Aging Initiative.
Howe is a bestselling author who has written over a dozen books on generations, demographic change, and fiscal policy, many of them with William Strauss. Howe and Strauss’ book, The Fourth Turning (1997), is an important read on where we are currently as an economy and is the focus of the interview.
The interview covers:
- What is the “Fourth Turning”
- A history of demographic changes in the country.
- What “Gen-Xers” and “Millennials” should expect.
- The cycle of crisis and when the next one is due to arrive.
- Why today is much more like the “Great Depression” than we realize.
My appreciation to Neil for taking time out of his schedule to visit me. I look forward to having him back soon as the path ahead of us continues to unfold.
Lance Roberts
19 Comments on "Neil Howe & The Coming Generational Crisis"
onlooker on Fri, 8th Apr 2016 7:09 pm
A foolish attempt to gauge the future based on the past and cycles and patterns etc. The future awaiting us is uncharted waters. Totally anomalous. This is not the Great Depression or anything such. This is the FINAL unraveling from our lofty heights of civilization on an uninterrupted downward spiral to a deep nadir.
makati1 on Fri, 8th Apr 2016 7:54 pm
Right on, Onlooker! The past is no indication of the future. We are on an oily slide down to extinction. Everything we have known is changing for the worse and the ride is getting bumpier. Buckle up!
Davy on Fri, 8th Apr 2016 8:09 pm
If you want to read books on the generations and demographic change we are facing grab some books from 19th century or before. We will likely have that death profile as opposed to what we have today. We are going to see people returning to activities and employment related to a society in power down. Human labor and animal labor will dominate. Choices will change. The landscape will drastically change with an unbelievable amount of ruins. Whole areas will be like the Chernobyl region. That is if we are lucky and don’t snuff ourselves out quickly or would it be better to say it may be lucky to be snuffed out quickly? The rate these changes become manifested may vary with time and place but it is likely coming everywhere. Generations will be greatly changed and demographics will be unrecognizable to what we see today.
Apneaman on Fri, 8th Apr 2016 9:00 pm
I prefer a “Slow Turning”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7UrueP3aM40&nohtml5=False
JuanP on Sat, 9th Apr 2016 9:36 am
The CSIS is an American think tank and nothing they say can be trusted as they distort the truth and lie every day to serve their own purposes.
I wonder what the young will do to us old if they ever realize what we’ve done to them. I am counting on people’s endless capacity to deny the truth to keep the peace in my old age. The young are so screwed. I know we’ve more than earned anything they could choose to do to us.
makati1 on Sat, 9th Apr 2016 10:04 am
juanP, I agree. The youth of today will not live to see old age. Their kids may not even live to see middle age. We have killed the planet in our greed.
derhundistlos on Sat, 9th Apr 2016 7:11 pm
The charlatan, Guy McPherson, who claims to speak truth to power, after being humiliated and called out by his own readership for pathological lying and ad hominem attacks on his detractors now disallows all critical commentary. Chairman McPherson ordered his internet security political correctness police to remove any negative commentary of him. The guy is a fraud from the word go.
onlooker on Sat, 9th Apr 2016 7:53 pm
Just because you do not believe in his extreme conclusion does not invalidate it or make him a fraud. Practice what you preach and renounce personal slander.
Apneaman on Sat, 9th Apr 2016 9:31 pm
derhundistlos, do you think if you smear McPherson all the bad news will go away? The 2030 call was a silly idea from the get go, but that don’t mean apes aren’t going away. Evidence – look at the evidence, not personalities or date specific predictions. I get a jolly every time someone like you, and there are plenty of them, throws a hissy fit over McPherson. Do you go on rants when some Christian fundies predict dates (every other week) for the end of apes? No and neither do all the other McPherson haters. Wonder why that is? What is so different? Oh maybe it’s because deep down you know we’re going bye bye and McPherson is the messenger? Personally I believe that apes will still be around in 2030, but none by 2130. 14 previous extinction periods on this planet (5 mass) before we came along and all of them involved massive releases of CO2 from volcanism. This time we’re the volcanism. Even the meteorite was not enough to do in the dinosaurs. Forget about the puny human forth turning – we in the planetary 15 turning. Don’t need no stinking climate models either. All the evidence indicates a pattern and the only difference this time is that some too clever apes unwittingly pulled the trigger.
Asteroid impact, volcanism were one-two punch for dinosaurs
http://news.berkeley.edu/2015/10/01/asteroid-impact-volcanism-were-one-two-punch-for-dinosaurs/
derhundistlos on Sat, 9th Apr 2016 10:08 pm
Ape- Typical response from a McPherson sycophant. Your Chairman McPherson stated over and over again that he never made this prediction until one commentator with GUTS proved McPherson was telling lies. Yes, I know you would prefer to overlook this egregious intelectual dishonesty. To make matters even more outrageous, the chairman reverted to the ugliest name-calling in an effort to quiet the truthers.
Finally, McPherson now does not want to hear alternative view points so he disallows any form of criticism, yet you continue to defend these actions. You and the chairman are the essence of hypocrisy.
No, I don’t deny NTE so don’t make assumptions about someone you do not know. You look like a raving idiot.
I will repeat, Chairman McPherson is a phony, a fraud, and a bully.
dave thompson on Sat, 9th Apr 2016 10:08 pm
2030 is yet to be seen. 0nly about 14 years away. At the rate we humans are going, extinction in this time frame is not outside the realm of possibilities. Look at the shape of the oceans, about 1/2 the phytoplankton has gone missing. Along with the large fish. On land about 20% of forest ecosystems untouched by humans are left. Where will the oxygen we breath come from? How long can humans survive without the natural base of the food chain?
Apneaman on Sun, 10th Apr 2016 1:02 am
derhundistlos, I don’t care. I’ve told many on that site to fuck off with their woo woo and noble savage bullshit, so you can take your sycophant accusation/guess and shove it up your ass – remove your head first. Me thinks you are the sycophant or rather former sycophant who got his heart broken when he found out his hero wasn’t perfect. You’ve left the flock and are now revenge running around the internet exposing your former master. Yes you sound exactly like a jilted lover. Welcome to the real world asshole- no heroes.
derhundistlos on Sun, 10th Apr 2016 2:18 am
ape- Yeah, I have noticed that you are a universally disliked prick with a big fat mouth that you like to run without pause. You are no different than everyone else you criticize, although your shit stinks even worse given your holier than thou attitude of being superior to all the rest of us. People like you and your dear leader are truly grotesque. Your love for the chairman is so blind that you are incapable of recognizing the truth. Yep, you are pure douche bag.
makati1 on Sun, 10th Apr 2016 8:53 am
Dave, You see what I see. 14 years can change everything, but it will NOT be in a positive direction, unless you consider extinction as a positive event. The first world war changed everything in 5 years. The second world war again changed everything in about the same time frame ans spawned the Imperial war economy. World war 3 will take an hour and there will only be the dead and those who wish they were. But I see no humans alive in 2100, no matter what we do in the years until then.
makati1 on Sun, 10th Apr 2016 8:55 am
Dog, yes you, derhund, we all know what side you are on, and it is not with the more open minded and intelligent crowd here. Too bad. You will not last ling.
Davy on Sun, 10th Apr 2016 9:30 am
Manilly Billy, derhundistlos and other like him are tired of the BS coming out of you and the blame and complain gang. Your foul mouths and finger pointing when you yourselves cannot look in the mirror. You are the absolute worst Makatti Bill with you rancor of hate and resentment followed up by your braggart self-promotions. Smells of cat piss.
JuanP on Sun, 10th Apr 2016 10:31 am
Derhun, I read Guy McPherson for a while, but I haven’t for a couple of years. I agree with him on some things and disagree with him on others. I am turned off by his certainty, though. I am so uncertain about everything I know. I’ve had to relearn time and again a lot of stuff because most of what I was taught was a lie. I just distrust people who are so certain they know their way is the best, etc.
I guess one could say that in the end I found him boring, but Guy McPherson is an original thinker, and I respect him for that.
Apneaman on Sun, 10th Apr 2016 2:20 pm
Major labour protest in France and I can find only 1 link (Canada) of it covered by any N American MSM. Maybe they don’t want anyone getting any bright ideas?
‘Still no fear’: Tear gas, firecrackers & stones at anti-labor reform rally in Paris (PHOTOS, VIDEO)
https://www.rt.com/news/339035-paris-protest-labor-gas/
theedrich on Mon, 11th Apr 2016 2:42 am
Since the topic here seems to have changed to how long humans may still be around, perhaps an additional consideration may be helpful: namely, the way in which the game may end.
The White goyim of the West have been subjected to tales of the Holocaust probably more than 66,666,666 times. According to the promotors of the Big H, six million Chosenites were liquidated by the nasty Nazis during World War II. (We here pass over in silence how many Russians and Ukrainians were exterminated by Stalin’s willing-helper Jews during his reign before, during and after WW II.)
What is never, ever mentioned, however, is that the U.S. and its saintly ally, Britain (who dragged us into both WW I and II), slaughtered many times the fabled six mil through carpet bombing of civilian cities and that wondrous coup de grâce, the nuking of Japan.
After the capitulation, superhero Dwight D. Eisenhower murdered up to a million German soldiers in concentration camps, according to James Bacques in his Other Losses. All of this, of course, is denied, covered up or excused by politically correct “histories” of the victorious powers. (It is well known that only the victors get to write the history books.) Also never mind that “I like Ike,” through his Red-friendly “Operation Keelhaul,” returned countless anti-Soviet Russians and others to the tender mercies of Uncle Joe Stalin to meet horrible deaths.
Having achieved such success through the mass murder of civilian populations and POWs, this technique has become the favored technique for America’s “democratization” of the world. Of course, if the end can be achieved by less spectacular (and especially less publicized) means, then those means are ostensibly used instead, as in Yugoslavia, Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya and, so far, Syria. (Must always keep the media effects in mind.)
The only fly in the ointment is the fact that what is good for the goose is also good for the gander. North Korea, with the aid of China, is fending off U.S. conquest by developing nukes of its own. (It remembers what happened to Libya’s Qaddafi after that man gave up his nuclear program.) And perhaps it is earning a little cash by selling the technology to other players in the power game. We know, e.g., that Pakistan (which has already bought such technology from N. Korea) is currently going for broke in expanding its nuclear capabilities. India must answer that move of the Paks’ with its own, corresponding one-up-manship. ISIL wishes to enter the game as well.
The Washington, D.C. megalomaniacs, meanwhile, are straining to keep ahead of it all, upgrading their ca. 7,000 nukes and delivery systems (subs, bombers and silo-based ICBMs plus, as is well known, space-based nuker satellites). How else to control the world?
Moreover, what is the use of all of these toys if they never see action? As the world literally and figurative heats up, the chance become greater and greater that we will see their use before long. Maybe even against the U.S., in some false-flag operation. As the number of Allah-devotees in America grows, so will these chances.
And after that, evolution can return to normal.