Iraqi Withdrawal: Seven Scenarios

What happens if the United States and coalition forces withdraw rapidly from Iraq? The U.S. and the Iraqi governments have their own scenarios. Iran, al-Qaida, Syria and Turkey have also analyzed potential outcomes.

Business and government make plans. Every plan anticipates a future outcome. Since the future can’t be predicted, the best plans acknowledge uncertainty. Acknowledging uncertainty means accepting risk — the risk of being wrong. The art of leadership is being “less wrong.”

Here are seven “scenarios” sketching “potential outcomes” of a quick withdrawal from Iraq.
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