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Page added on May 19, 2008

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Has Peak Oil, as a meme, “tipped”?

Has Peak Oil, as a meme, “tipped”? Our latest oil price poll suggests that well over 70% of the sample (N>3000 now) thinks that oil will at least stay above $114 a barrel for the next two months–and almost half think it will hit $140 a barrel in that timeframe. Search volume on Google for the term is up dramatically in the past month, as is traffic at The Oil Drum. One indicator of a “tipping point” for acceptance of Peak Oil may be the state of backwardation in oil futures. I first raised this idea over 2 years ago, but recent market movements, coinciding with attention in the press, may be validating it: when the markets accept Peak Oil, we will see the end of backwardation in crude oil markets, and possibly even Contango. Here’s a chart of what has happened over the past 6 weeks…
Much more after the jump to The Oil Drum.



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