GFDL Study Suggests Doubling of Category 4 and 5 Hurricanes this Century

A team of scientists from NOAA

These results are based on projections of a substantial warming of the tropical Atlantic hurricane regions over the 21st century due to an increase in greenhouse gases. The projections used on a standard future emission scenario from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

In these experiments, the models showed a decrease in the total number of hurricanes by the end of this century, yet still produced nearly a doubling of category 4 and 5 hurricanes. The largest increase in intense hurricanes was seen in the Western Atlantic region (between 20