Crude Oil Crisis Coming to an End?

It’s no coincidence that a meaningful top in the crude oil price occurred very close to the last presidential election in 2004. This time should be no different as the oil price must come down in order for the massive bail-out and economic relief efforts to take full effect. It is doubtful in the highest that the market controllers would allow a persistent rise in the crude oil price to wreck the economy. Don’t be deceived – the oil price is governed by artificial manipulation of supply and demand, not “Peak Oil” as some would have us believe.

Concerning the Peak Oil myth, here’s what noted economist Ed Yardeni recently had to say on the topic: “The peak oil hysteria may have triggered a short-covering rally by commercial accounts, i.e., hedgers, who couldn’t take any more margin calls or couldn’t stand the pain of being locked into prices of $100 or less. While all this has been happening, the oil market ignored rapidly mounting evidence that prices between $100-$150 rather than $150-$200 may be starting to dampen demand and boost supply.”
Any observer of the history of commodity bull markets will notice that every time a major commodity establishes a long-term rising trend, the stories in the popular press are always “bent to fit the head” of the prevailing trend. The so-called Peak Oil Theory is no exception. What history also teaches is that sooner or later, supply has a way of coming out of the most mysterious cracks and crevices. When it does, it invariably spoils the party for the perma-bulls, who foolishly envision a never-ending rise in the price of their favorite commodity.

Once the oil price comes down and brings gasoline prices down with it, consumer will have a lot less to worry about and economic activity will increase. Another “oil crisis” will be behind us and the markets will have one less thing to worry about.

Market Oracle