2006 Energy Outlook – How The US Will Use Energy

The EIA has released their 2006 energy outlook. You can download the whole 236 page document from here as well as various sections. As far as energy demand goes, the EIA sees a 1.1% increase per year in energy consumption up until 2030 (where the analysis ends). From this energy increase, fossil fuels will provide 88% of the growth (with coal providing 53%, petroleum 34% and natural gas 20%). Most of the increase in coal will come after 2020 though, because that’s when natural gas is expected to become too expensive. Renewables don’t really enter into it.
US industry is expected to become more energy efficient (in terms of energy used per GDP), at a rate of 2.1% per year. Advanced automotive technologies, such as hybrids, flex-fuel and electric vehicles, will exceed 25% of sales by 2030.

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