by ReverseEngineer » Wed 04 Feb 2009, 03:54:15
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('patience', 'R')E,
What part of insurance don't you understand?
Maybe it would be the part where Insurance companies are supposed to make a profit? Well, given the evidence of AIG, I suppose that is a fallacy in itself, but that is another discussion
Anyhow, calling Unemployment "Insurance" rather than a Tax is just a nomenclature difference, its really one in the same thing.
If the Goobermint says to a Bizness, "You are REQUIRED to pay in 5% of your Profits for Insuring your workers against your firing them", this is a Tax on the business. How does that differ from saying "You are REQUIRED to pay 10% of your Profits to provide Welfare to the Perpetually Unemployed"? It only differs in how much it costs to the bizness.
Far as the Goobermint Workers who work in the Unemployment Division, they are very similar and have the same types of job classifications as Welfare Workers. You have workers assigned to investigating the cases and trying to make sure as few people as possible are eligible for receiving Bennies. Same as Insurance Company adjusters who look for every loophole possible to deny your claim if its a big one.
The money to pay for those who are not productive at any time has to come from SOMEWHERE, you can't make something from nothing despite what Helicopter Ben thinks. LOL. Call it an Insurance scheme, call it Taxation, cal it what you will but it still amounts to the same thing as long as somebody or some entity which makes money is required by law to pay part of that money back out to provide a Safety Net for the citizens. Its Taxation.
The main difference in "normal" times would be the length of time you would be eligible for such bennies, in normal times Unemployment tended to last about 26 weeks. Now it has already doubled past that to over a year in some places. Eventually of course as the number of Elgible Unemployed still unemployed after a year exceeds the amount of money being dropped into the system by the "Premium" the companies are required to pay in, this Insurance Scheme goe Belly Up, just like AIG. Its based on an actuarial analysis that looks at normal cases of Unemployment, not "Black Swan" events. Economic theory is notorious for ignoring the Black Swan events. In this case, what you have is not just one Black Swan, but a whole FLOCK of them hitting the Jet Engine of your economy at the same time. Unfortuantely, it does not appear at this time we have a Captain Sully at the stick to ditch this plane safely and get the passengers off alive.
Without the infusion of Helicopter Ben's Funny Money, the Insurance Scheme of Unemployment will go Bankrupt as quickly as every other Insurer and Bank is going Belly Up. The only question still unanswered is how long that Funny Money still buys anything, and how long there will be anything left to buy.
Reverse Engineer