by Iaato » Mon 09 Apr 2007, 21:34:40
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Fredrik', 'A') crucial question about the more or less imminent post-collapse society will be its dominant ideology and value system.
Since the 1960's, liberal social values have continued their triumph in nearly all Western societies. Think feminism, open homosexuality, individualist lifestyle choices, free sex, liberal secularism and the general "let all the flowers blossom" attitude. Of course there has been some reactionary backlash (in the form of social conservatism), but its successes have been mostly limited in scale and endurance.
In my opinion, it's no coincidence that all this individualism and pluralization has happened during an age of an unforeseen economic and technological progress. Not only has technology and the ensuing prosperity freed people from constant worry about daily bread, they have also given them possibilites to enjoy and express themselves in ways unimaginable a hundred years ago. They have substantially increased tolerance for lifestyles and behavior that would have been considered illegitimate in more austere times. This correlation between welfare and tolerance is mirrored by the fact that poor and undeveloped societies are usually very conservative and patriarchal in their values and practices.
The question is, what will happen to the modern liberal individualist value system when its economic and technological basis collapses?
My guess is that in a time of desperation, famine and anarchy, people will cling to any available ideology or religion that gives them security and hope for the future. This in itself may strengthen conservative social views.
I think that Fredrik has asked a really important question here that has not been answered yet in this thread. What does our system currently value, and how will it change as we descend? How do we guide culture positively during a time when a lot of people are going to feel very rudderless. I'm going to try to take a step back into theory and answer it energetically. Values, morals, and religion all act as a form of cultural DNA to program the behavior of human groups. These values function on different scales at the individual, community, and national levels to program the behaviors that will create maximum power for the system. For example, very early religions like the Druids worshipped the sun and nature as the source of everything. Religions that formed after the time that man harnessed tools and developed technology had values that supported growth and were less worried about the importance of natural renewable resources--Go Forth and multiply, for example. Our current religions appear to still be growth oriented and unconcerned about the value of energy. Some of the religions have been left behind due to the rapid cultural change, rigidity of the religion, and lack of coherence between the two. Religion as a whole has lost its function of guiding humanity.
The liberal social values that have developed during the last century are, I think, a direct outcome of excess energy and waste. Tolerance and liberalism develop from adequate resources for all. Capitalism also develops out of excess energy in a rapidly growing system.
So what will the values be of a culture that is working on energy descent? I think eventually, we'll be back worshipping the sun and nature. In the meantime, one author has taken a crack at values for a system in descent.
Thou shall not waste potential energy.
Thou shall know what is right by its part in survival of thy system.
Thou shall do unto others as benefits the energy flows of thy system.
Thou shall revel in thy systems work rejoicing in happiness that only finds thee in this good service.
Thou shall treasure the other life of thy natural system as thine own, for only together shall thee all survive.
Thou shall judge value by the energies spent, the energies stored, and the energy flow which is possible, turning not to the incomplete measure of money.
Thou shall not unnecessarily cultivate high power, for error, destruction, noise, and excess vigilance are its evil wastes.
Thou shall not take from man or nature without returning service of equal value, for only then are thee one.
Thou shall treasure thy heritage of information, and in the uniqueness of thy good works and complex roles will thy system reap that which is immortal and immortal in thee.
Thou must find in thy religion, stability over growth, organisation over competition, diversity over uniformity, system over self, and survival process over individual peace.
--Odum, Environment Power & Society first edition, 1971
I think that values that must be incorporated into a new culture will include waste and overpopulation as sins, valuing the natural system as our lifeboat, and the values of cooperation rather than competition, stability over growth. And as long as we are overpopulated, the value of individual life will be diminished. Capitalism will fall by the wayside. Religion will become more influential again in guiding people.
Without some of these values, the culture may correct for decreasing energy sources by harsh, very conservative measures, feudalism, lock-step intolerance, and population control through all-out war.
Disclosure: As far as religion, I'm a real fan of the Druids.