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Values in a post-PO society

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby bshirt » Sun 08 Apr 2007, 14:27:30

I can't imagine how the current "welfare check in every mailbox" policy in the US being sunk wouldn't have drastic changes in values nationwide.

The "liberated" and "empowered" gals will be shocked when they don't get free housing, dental, medical, food stamps, etc just for getting knocked up repeatably. And/or divorce their husband and get the kids, house, cars and child support for forever.

It'll be huge.
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby Ludi » Sun 08 Apr 2007, 14:45:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bshirt', 'I') can't imagine how the current "welfare check in every mailbox" policy in the US being sunk wouldn't have drastic changes in values nationwide.

That's hilarious, bshirt. The percentage of the US population on welfare is around 2% recently.
It'll be "huge." :lol:
http://www.acf.hhs.gov/news/stats/6097rf.htm
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby bshirt » Sun 08 Apr 2007, 23:52:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bshirt', 'I') can't imagine how the current "welfare check in every mailbox" policy in the US being sunk wouldn't have drastic changes in values nationwide.

That's hilarious, bshirt. The percentage of the US population on welfare is around 2% recently.
It'll be "huge." :lol:
http://www.acf.hhs.gov/news/stats/6097rf.htm

Ok, I should have been more specific.

How about adding other federal entitlements (2005 numbers) like medicaid (53.4 million people), medicare (42.3 million people), food stamps (25 million people) and child nutrition (32.3 million people).

Then there's various disability programs, HUD, etc, etc.

So yeah, hilarious or not, I do indeed think the change will be huge.
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby Fredrik » Mon 09 Apr 2007, 05:55:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bshirt', 'H')ow about adding other federal entitlements (2005 numbers) like medicaid (53.4 million people), medicare (42.3 million people), food stamps (25 million people) and child nutrition (32.3 million people).
Then there's various disability programs, HUD, etc, etc.
So yeah, hilarious or not, I do indeed think the change will be huge.

And what will aggravate the change even more is the fact that a collapsing economy will greatly increase the number of people needing government support - just when the government is losing most of its tax income because of demand destruction and subsequent bankrupcies.

Although the US will have huge problems because of its suburban consumer-centered economy (as Kunstler and others have pointed out), the traditional American individualistic "everyone take care of himself" attitude might have a positive side to it. Americans will probably be quicker to make necessary drastic changes in their lives than people in countries where the state-supported safety net is taken for granted. There, people will be very reluctant to accept that the state may not be able to guarantee welfare or even food for everyone.
"Only scarcity and effort make life worth living."
"A fundamental, devastating error is to set up a political system based on [individual] desires." -Pentti Linkola
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby gg3 » Mon 09 Apr 2007, 07:26:05

All hail Barbaria! Land of manly virtues, where men are free, women are not, and sheep are scared!
OK, I'm going to call out this BS for what it is.

Torjus, in general I admire you but right now I'm going to hold your feet to the proverbial campfire in your yurt. Does your fiancee have the right to say No to sex? If she does, you're living with feminism. If she doesn't, you're a rapist.

And as for despising vegetarians, watch where you point your hunting rifle, you just shot yourself in the foot. Every vegetarian is one less person competing with you for a dwindling meat supply. Smarten up and encourage vegetarianism: more meat for you.

All this anti-feminist stuff is a bad cover story for men who either believe that each erection carries a God-given right to use it any way they choose, or that each erection may be their very last.

Real men do not fear real women. Strong men do not fear strong women. And free men do not fear free women.

Bshirt, do you get two days off from work each week? Thank the commies for that one, the 5-day week was the invention of the dreaded IWW, the Wobblies. And I say that as a small business person with a major libertarian streak for whom the word "regulation" is right up there with "indigestion," and who agrees with Reagan that the Soviet Union was an evil empire.

How quickly free people want to give up their freedom! How quickly they retreat into the certainty of various forms of tyranny!

Think back to the last time Western Civilization faced an active threat to its very existence: World War Two. Here in the US, sexist roles went out the window as Rosie became a riveter. Racism went out the window as black soldiers and white soldiers performed with equal courage and valor, and in the aftermath of the war, the evils of Jim Crow were defeated one after another after another. Conservation was the order of the day, and Victory Gardens provided enough of a supplement to the national diet to enable us to get through the shortages.

Those who clamor for neo-feudal tyranny would have been defeatists in WW2. "Make peace with the Nazis and Imperial Japan!" they would have shouted from their rooftops. Total lack of spine. Cowardice in the face of crisis. In Europe they would have been, and likely were, the collaborators who, after the Wehrmacht caravan rolled through their streets, would have gone around hunting down Jews in their neighbors' attics. In America and the UK they would have been, and probably were, the appeasers, the advocates of surrender.

Our grandfathers roll over in their graves at such things, while we enjoy the freedom they fought and died for, and take it for granted like yesterday's toy that's left in the toy box in favor of something more "exciting."

Frankly, that's disgraceful.
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby bshirt » Mon 09 Apr 2007, 09:07:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gg3', 'A')ll this anti-feminist stuff is a bad cover story for men who either believe that each erection carries a God-given right to use it any way they choose, or that each erection may be their very last.
Real men do not fear real women. Strong men do not fear strong women. And free men do not fear free women.
Bshirt, do you get two days off from work each week? Thank the commies for that one, the 5-day week was the invention of the dreaded IWW, the Wobblies. And I say that as a small business person with a major libertarian streak for whom the word "regulation" is right up there with "indigestion," and who agrees with Reagan that the Soviet Union was an evil empire.
How quickly free people want to give up their freedom! How quickly they retreat into the certainty of various forms of tyranny!

gg3, I think the five day work week (or something similar) very well may have happened without the commies. Heck, I don't know. So for once I'll give kudos to the "worker's paradise" dudes.

I don't fear "real women", compadre'. I'm just following the thread's title as to value changes with PO. We have tens of millions of women/men (I'm too lazy to googel, but I'll bet the gender who recieves far, far over 50% of the handouts is women) here in the US recieving various entitlements which allows them independance and/or a livable lifestyle that surely will drastically their status when the freebies are gone due to PO.

As the old saying goes, "once you subsidize something, you get more of it". Otoh, once the subsized (due to PO) who generally know only how to slob at the public trough have the pork removed.....well, it'll be quite a change.

You're a sharp cookie, gg3. Surely you've got to agree with that.
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby mmasters » Mon 09 Apr 2007, 10:11:07

Don't forget the metrosexuals. Let em vanish back into hole they came out of.
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby Fredrik » Mon 09 Apr 2007, 13:40:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gg3', 'H')ow quickly free people want to give up their freedom! How quickly they retreat into the certainty of various forms of tyranny!

I understand your frustration. I certainly won't welcome any form of tyranny either... but it won't be up to me or you, but the bulk of the population that will be hit very hard by PO. And facing that existential threat, it will act on its ancient collective survival instincts, not on political ideologies.

The current egalitarian-liberal social paradigm will face a huge challenge when most people have lost their jobs, can't look to the government for support, can't drive their cars for lack of gas, can't afford the thousands of things that they've taken for granted, can't count on police protection when attacked by desperate hordes, and finally begin to realize that in order to survive, they must become members of a strictly controlled and ruthlessly defended food-producing social unit.

That said, I definitely would prefer my present easy life to the hardships, hunger, cold and perhaps tyranny that await me, mine and the whole western world.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gg3', 'T')hink back to the last time Western Civilization faced an active threat to its very existence: World War Two. Here in the US, sexist roles went out the window as Rosie became a riveter. Racism went out the window as black soldiers and white soldiers performed with equal courage and valor, and in the aftermath of the war, the evils of Jim Crow were defeated one after another after another. Conservation was the order of the day, and Victory Gardens provided enough of a supplement to the national diet to enable us to get through the shortages.

Only this time, America (and the rest of us) will face an enemy that they simply cannot defeat. We can only mitigate our own demise. And this time, it will be a very difficult, painful and depressing life-long challenge for everyone but the best prepared "green" individuals. People won't struggle for a glorious victory against a foreign enemy, they will struggle to have food for another day. It will be a permanent and bitter lifestyle change.

At least the new generation will have it easier one day in that it will see the austere circumstances as normal life. To them, our current culture, with all its material wealth, freedoms and opportunities will appear as a strange fairy-tale.
"Only scarcity and effort make life worth living."
"A fundamental, devastating error is to set up a political system based on [individual] desires." -Pentti Linkola
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby PrairieMule » Mon 09 Apr 2007, 20:48:56

Honestly I think our bellies will be growling so loudly it's not going to matter who is queer,christian, left, right, black, white, brown, etc . I think the two new classes will be those that work and those that don't.

At least that's what John Titor says.
If you give a man a fish you will have kept him from hunger for a day. If you teach a man to fish he will sit in a boat and drink beer all day.
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 09 Apr 2007, 21:14:06

Egalitarian/non-hierarchical societies have comprised the bulk of human societies. Hierarchical societies, such as feudalism, are the tiny minority.
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby Iaato » Mon 09 Apr 2007, 21:34:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Fredrik', 'A') crucial question about the more or less imminent post-collapse society will be its dominant ideology and value system.
Since the 1960's, liberal social values have continued their triumph in nearly all Western societies. Think feminism, open homosexuality, individualist lifestyle choices, free sex, liberal secularism and the general "let all the flowers blossom" attitude. Of course there has been some reactionary backlash (in the form of social conservatism), but its successes have been mostly limited in scale and endurance.
In my opinion, it's no coincidence that all this individualism and pluralization has happened during an age of an unforeseen economic and technological progress. Not only has technology and the ensuing prosperity freed people from constant worry about daily bread, they have also given them possibilites to enjoy and express themselves in ways unimaginable a hundred years ago. They have substantially increased tolerance for lifestyles and behavior that would have been considered illegitimate in more austere times. This correlation between welfare and tolerance is mirrored by the fact that poor and undeveloped societies are usually very conservative and patriarchal in their values and practices.
The question is, what will happen to the modern liberal individualist value system when its economic and technological basis collapses?
My guess is that in a time of desperation, famine and anarchy, people will cling to any available ideology or religion that gives them security and hope for the future. This in itself may strengthen conservative social views.

I think that Fredrik has asked a really important question here that has not been answered yet in this thread. What does our system currently value, and how will it change as we descend? How do we guide culture positively during a time when a lot of people are going to feel very rudderless. I'm going to try to take a step back into theory and answer it energetically. Values, morals, and religion all act as a form of cultural DNA to program the behavior of human groups. These values function on different scales at the individual, community, and national levels to program the behaviors that will create maximum power for the system. For example, very early religions like the Druids worshipped the sun and nature as the source of everything. Religions that formed after the time that man harnessed tools and developed technology had values that supported growth and were less worried about the importance of natural renewable resources--Go Forth and multiply, for example. Our current religions appear to still be growth oriented and unconcerned about the value of energy. Some of the religions have been left behind due to the rapid cultural change, rigidity of the religion, and lack of coherence between the two. Religion as a whole has lost its function of guiding humanity.

The liberal social values that have developed during the last century are, I think, a direct outcome of excess energy and waste. Tolerance and liberalism develop from adequate resources for all. Capitalism also develops out of excess energy in a rapidly growing system.

So what will the values be of a culture that is working on energy descent? I think eventually, we'll be back worshipping the sun and nature. In the meantime, one author has taken a crack at values for a system in descent.

Thou shall not waste potential energy.
Thou shall know what is right by its part in survival of thy system.
Thou shall do unto others as benefits the energy flows of thy system.
Thou shall revel in thy systems work rejoicing in happiness that only finds thee in this good service.
Thou shall treasure the other life of thy natural system as thine own, for only together shall thee all survive.
Thou shall judge value by the energies spent, the energies stored, and the energy flow which is possible, turning not to the incomplete measure of money.
Thou shall not unnecessarily cultivate high power, for error, destruction, noise, and excess vigilance are its evil wastes.
Thou shall not take from man or nature without returning service of equal value, for only then are thee one.
Thou shall treasure thy heritage of information, and in the uniqueness of thy good works and complex roles will thy system reap that which is immortal and immortal in thee.
Thou must find in thy religion, stability over growth, organisation over competition, diversity over uniformity, system over self, and survival process over individual peace.
--Odum, Environment Power & Society first edition, 1971

I think that values that must be incorporated into a new culture will include waste and overpopulation as sins, valuing the natural system as our lifeboat, and the values of cooperation rather than competition, stability over growth. And as long as we are overpopulated, the value of individual life will be diminished. Capitalism will fall by the wayside. Religion will become more influential again in guiding people.

Without some of these values, the culture may correct for decreasing energy sources by harsh, very conservative measures, feudalism, lock-step intolerance, and population control through all-out war.

Disclosure: As far as religion, I'm a real fan of the Druids.
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 09 Apr 2007, 21:50:09

We learn from biology that diversity in life systems leads to greater chance of survival. Cultural diversity - tolerance - could be seen as a survival mechanism in a rapidly changing world.
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby 128shot » Mon 09 Apr 2007, 23:52:00

probably a herd to religion-religious nuts always gain followers in times of social hardship and collapse "God willed this because our sins-repent!" kinda thing.

Those who remain free spirited and don't throw away their individuality totally will prosper, because they will still hold a entrepreneurial mindset to do what they can with the resources around them. These will be the people who set up the successful trading posts etc
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby Fredrik » Tue 10 Apr 2007, 04:24:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'E')galitarian/non-hierarchical societies have comprised the bulk of human societies. Hierarchical societies, such as feudalism, are the tiny minority.

I find this statement very bold and far-fetched. The way I see it, actually functioning egalitarianism (in its true form, not "equality of free men served by slaves" such as ancient Greece) is the product of a long ideological process, human rights and liberal attitudes growing a par with technology and economy. There may be a few exceptions to this in more peripheral cultures.

China, Japan, India, Egypt, Babylon, Persia, Greece, Rome, medieval Europe, Islam, the Incas and Mayas... practically all cultures that had a highly developed, interdependent society were more or less authoritarian and hierarchical. Of course, one can always speculate about possible egalitarianism in less developed, prehistoric cultures, but I suspect that a local chieftain/warlord/shaman ruled tribe was much more common in social units larger than a hunting company consisting of a few families.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'W')e learn from biology that diversity in life systems leads to greater chance of survival. Cultural diversity - tolerance - could be seen as a survival mechanism in a rapidly changing word.

I kind of agree with this - and I sincerely wish that at least some level of tolerance will remain in matters of race, religion etc. It makes sense that people with different skills and strengths should tolerate each other and work for the common good, especially in times of crisis, regardless of ethnic or cultural background.

But how will we deal with those who don't want to work, but still eat the food we have grown with great effort? Or with those who constantly harass their neighbors? Thieves, killers etc.? Right, we need someone to bring them to respect the rules, or execute penalties against them, or to forcefully expel them and keep them out. See, we need a "police force" with special authorities to protect us.

And how about those outsiders that steal our crops during the night, causing famine in our village? Right, we need a defending militia. In fact, we should start one with our neighboring villages, to have more manpower. And to function effectively under stress, military organizations need a rigid and unquestioned hierarchy... so it will be the largest and strongest village of this "confederation" that will set the leader from among them. But the leaders of that stronger village community have announced that they won't give us their much needed help unless we hand them some of our sovereignty...

And what about those people in our midst who follow a religion that exempts them from certain duties necessary for the community? Or a religion that permits them to act in a manner harmful or offensive to others? They say that their god would be angry if they gave in to the common rules. So can we tolerate their religion, or should we limit or ban its practice? And how should we deal with those who are rumored to be planning an uprising against the village administration, to usurp power? And so on. You know where I'm getting at...
Last edited by Fredrik on Tue 10 Apr 2007, 05:47:22, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby bshirt » Tue 10 Apr 2007, 05:29:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Fredrik', 'B')ut how will we deal with those who don't want to work, but still eat the food others have grown with great effort? Or with those who constantly harass their neighbors? Thieves, killers etc.? Right, we need someone to bring them to respect the rules, or execute penalties against them, or or to forcefully expel them. There, we need a "police force" with special authorities to protect us.
And how about those outsiders that steal our crops during the night, causing famine for our children? Right, we need a defending militia. In fact, we should start one with our neighboring villages, to have more manpower. And to function effectively under stress, military organizations need a rigid and unquestioned hierarchy... so it will be the largest and strongest village of this "confederation" that will set the leader from among them.
And what about those people who believe in a religion that exempts them from certain duties necessary for the community? Or a religion that permits them to act in a manner harmful or offensive to others? They say that their god would be angry if they didn't. So can we tolerate their religion? ...And so on.

I strongly believe "those who won't work", in total contrast to today's US society where they're rewarded endlessly will be expelled in one fashion or another and so will almost certainly die in short order.

Those who claim their religion exempts them from work, defense, etc will face the the same results as above. I suppose an exception might be religious colonies. But even with them if their beliefs are not in line with the brutal realities of survival will face being anihilated sooner or later.

With PO, not to mention a dozen other doomer scenarios, the present "great welfare state" will be long, long gone.
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby SevenTen » Tue 10 Apr 2007, 06:42:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Fredrik', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'E')galitarian/non-hierarchical societies have comprised the bulk of human societies. Hierarchical societies, such as feudalism, are the tiny minority.

I find this statement very bold and far-fetched. The way I see it, actually functioning egalitarianism (in its true form, not "equality of free men served by slaves" such as ancient Greece) is the product of a long ideological process, human rights and liberal attitudes growing a par with technology and economy. There may be a few exceptions to this in more peripheral cultures.
China, Japan, India, Egypt, Babylon, Persia, Greece, Rome, medieval Europe, Islam, the Incas and Mayas... practically all cultures that had a highly developed, interdependent society were more or less authoritarian and hierarchical. Of course, one can always speculate about possible egalitarianism in less developed, prehistoric cultures, but I suspect that a local chieftain/warlord/shaman ruled tribe was much more common in social units larger than a hunting company consisting of a few families.

Actually, Ludi is referring to most tribal cultures being egalitarian. It's a common misconception to think that a tribal "chieftan" or shaman had actual authority to make laws, force people to do things, etc. In a community of 50 to 150 people, this doesn't happen. Hierarchies in tribal cultures are temporary, and dependent on the situation.

In numbers of cultures, egalitarian cultures historically outnumber strictly hierarchical cultures by a huge margin.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'W')e learn from biology that diversity in life systems leads to greater chance of survival. Cultural diversity - tolerance - could be seen as a survival mechanism in a rapidly changing word.

I kind of agree with this - and I sincerely wish that at least some level of tolerance will remain in matters of race, religion etc. It makes sense that people with different skills and strengths should tolerate each other and work for the common good, especially in times of crisis, regardless of ethnic or cultural background.

Multiculturalism doesn't work. Even Ludi knows that different tribal cultures living side by side for generations will still be at a low level of conflict with their neighbors.

Multiculturalism is just another thing lubricated by petroleum. With the decline of cheap energy, tensions will rise again between people of differing faiths, different skin colors, different backgrounds. Just like all throughout history.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut how will we deal with those who don't want to work, but still eat the food we have grown with great effort? Or with those who constantly harass their neighbors? Thieves, killers etc.? Right, we need someone to bring them to respect the rules, or execute penalties against them, or to forcefully expel them and keep them out. See, we need a "police force" with special authorities to protect us.
Ask Ludi why tribal cultures do not need formal laws or a police force, why they have virtually zero behavior we would define as crime.

What does it say about this society that has tried to "protect" itself from its own members using "rule of law" for the last 3500 to 4000 years or so since the Code of Hammurabi, so very unsuccessfully?

What does it say about a society that needs to "protect" itself from its own members at all? It's broken. Has been broken since long before any of us were born.

People don't give up on themselves unless everyone else has already given up on them first. These are your killers and thieves and drug addicts and crack whores and suicides. These are the unwanted children of this culture. And our solutions, laws, police, judges, jails, institutions, shrinks, therapies, and a veritable cornucopia of medications ... they are solutions tacked on to the back end of problems that began much earlier.

You cannot unbreak a glass. In our throwaway world, it's easy to just get a new glass. And for the broken cog that needs replacing, a new human as well.

This problem-solving mechanism we have woven into the world is dependent on us being able to expand our resources, expand our space, expand our population. To continue solving problems this way, we must continue to grow.

Which we cannot do.
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby Fredrik » Tue 10 Apr 2007, 07:43:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SevenTen', 'A')ctually, Ludi is referring to most tribal cultures being egalitarian. It's a common misconception to think that a tribal "chieftan" or shaman had actual authority to make laws, force people to do things, etc. In a community of 50 to 150 people, this doesn't happen. Hierarchies in tribal cultures are temporary, and dependent on the situation.

As as long as a primitive community is really small and self-sustaining, it could function (in good times) without coercion from a higher authority, as people understand their co-dependence. I would expect this to change as the social unit grows and the culture advances (hunter-gatherers to farmers).
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SevenTen', 'A')sk Ludi why tribal cultures do not need formal laws or a police force, why they have virtually zero behavior we would define as crime.

Couldn't that be, at least in part, because honor/shame codes are more implicit but stronger in small primitive communities? The immediate response to unaccepted behavior would be social stigmatization and, after further violations, exclusion from the group. So even without an explicit power structure, the pressure not to deviate from standard behavior is still there in small groups. In fact, small communities usually have more rigid social rules and taboos.
Last edited by Fredrik on Tue 10 Apr 2007, 10:08:38, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby gg3 » Tue 10 Apr 2007, 07:50:27

So easy to forget that we've been down this road before and lived to tell the tale.

Consider the 1920s depression. The so-called "Great" depression, as with the so-called "Great" War before we started giving them numbers; perhaps we should call it WD1 for World Depression 1, to be followed by a WD2 in the near future.

The years leading up to WD1 were known as the Roaring 20s for good reason. These were economic boom times, the early creation of a middle class with expanding consumption levels, and widespread popular access to comforts & conveniences unheard of in the previous generation or even the previous decade. Electric appliances started becoming common, automobiles multiplied like rabbits across the countryside, and Joe Workingman started investing in the stock market.

When the bottom fell out, the twin evils of fascism and communism reared their ugly heads as the paradigms of the future, united in the common bond of tyranny so complete that it spawned the new word "totalitarianism." Long before the world became aware of concentration camps and gulags, genocides and pogroms and purges, the world was well aware of the ruthlessness of these regimes. But that ruthlessness was thought by most to only be applied against those who dared dissent against the regimes. It was accepted in much the same way as mainstream opinion presently accepts the ruthlessnesses of present-day pragmatically-useful dictatorships such as Saudi Arabia (we tut-tut as rape victims are stoned to death for adultery, and then we fill our tanks and smile).

In the mid 1930s, as Germany under Hitler was pulling itself out of WD1, and the USSR under Stalin was demonstrating that it was basically immune from WD1 altogether, it was also acceptable to suggest that democracy's days were numbered in the face of these examples.

And yet...

A decade is a long time by the standard of an individual life's experience, and longer still in a far more slowly-paced era where mass communication was limited to the radio and the newspaper.

As WD1 dragged on it appeared that it might be a permanent state of affairs. Today we anticipate WD2 as if it too will be a permanent state of affairs, and the best available science even says we're right.

And yet we somehow managed to deal with the radical downsizing of consumption, the instant disappearance of lifetime savings and equity, and the very real hunger in the belly, without reverting to barbarism.

During the worst years of WD1 it appeared that it was the beginning of the end, and that Hitler and Stalin were the shape of things to come. And yet we did not give in and we did not give up.

Looking back on WD1, we do not see evidence of a massive increase in predatory or parasitic behavior. What we see is that competition continued within defined rule-sets, cooperation increased, and rule-sets were changed over time to rectify the known causes and effects of the depression.

To say that we can't do it again is to say that you believe the human species has, in a very physical and evolutionary way, regressed irretrievably during the span of less than a century. On that point the science says you're wrong.

But if you truly believe that, you've already Darwinized yourself in spirit even if not in the flesh.

And if you don't truly believe that, then roll up your sleeves, as there is much work to be done, and a new world to be built.

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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby Fredrik » Tue 10 Apr 2007, 10:31:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gg3', 'D')uring the worst years of WD1 it appeared that it was the beginning of the end, and that Hitler and Stalin were the shape of things to come. And yet we did not give in and we did not give up.
Looking back on WD1, we do not see evidence of a massive increase in predatory or parasitic behavior. What we see is that competition continued within defined rule-sets, cooperation increased, and rule-sets were changed over time to rectify the known causes and effects of the depression.
To say that we can't do it again is to say that you believe the human species has, in a very physical and evolutionary way, regressed irretrievably during the span of less than a century. On that point the science says you're wrong.

I kind of envy your optimism. I wish I could share it, but my doomerism won't let me.

No, I'm afraid we can't do it again, not in the way I assume you mean it. Not because we've regressed as humans, but because the physical means to do it won't be there.

One should remember that WD1 was a temporary recession. It brought unsurmountable hardships for some, but more or less manageable hardships for most. And eventually it was over.

As someone stated succinctly, the big difference between the great depression and PO is that the latter will make energy not only temporarily unaffordable (as in a depression), but permanently unavailable (although richer people may still drive around for a short while before being hit). Government policies or rectifying measures won't help one bit if the oil needed to run everything simply isn't there anymore.
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Re: Values in a post-PO society

Unread postby Iaato » Tue 10 Apr 2007, 12:15:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gg3', 'L')ooking back on WD1, we do not see evidence of a massive increase in predatory or parasitic behavior. What we see is that competition continued within defined rule-sets, cooperation increased, and rule-sets were changed over time to rectify the known causes and effects of the depression.

Yes, in WWI, competition was outer-directed, while internal behaviors were highly cooperative. In the coming age, a much more cooperative system will be necessary in order to efficiently use the limited resources and recycle wastes. Beyond the initial period of system restructuring, competitive exclusionary behaviors will probably be shunned. I hesitated to jump into this thread, in fact, after doing a content analysis of the numbers of competitive behaviors displayed by the denizens of the thread. :P I overcame my reluctance because I feel that changing our cultural DNA is an important role for forums like this.

And I totally agree with Ludi that a stable mature system is almost by definition more diverse. Unfortunately, the definition of diversity may mean diversity of roles in the system as a priority rather than diversity of races or cultures--that is a good question? Certainly relocalization will produce diverse local cultures that reflect their environments. I know fer sure that Anchorage will change, and that the culture of los Anchorage will not look like that of a relocalized group in Florida, for example. I have a vision of semi-migratory alaskans who hunker down next to the fire in the winter and skijor to work, and spend the summer down on the Kenai in fish camps, just like the Athabaskans used to do.

And bshirt is essentially rephrasing the maximum power principle when stating,$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')I strongly believe "those who won't work", in total contrast to today's US society where they're rewarded endlessly will be expelled in one fashion or another and so will almost certainly die in short order.
Individuals who reinforce the produtive operation of local systems will in turn be reinforced. Eventually, those who don't contribute to the organization of the system will be extinguished. The paradox of energy descent, however, is that the system will continue to operate in the short term using signals/information developed in response to the old system of excess energy. There will be a period where systemic cues will reinforce waste and inefficiency in one place while feeding back positively towards recycling and efficiency in others. This is the chaos we are beginning to see now. Relocalization will reinforce local systems who use resources efficiently and productively.

I like 710's idea that taboos are an essential form of information in smaller, low energy groups. We've just about expunged the taboo in our current culture. Taboos will be back with a vengeance, I'm afraid, in the future.

I'd like to challenge Fredrik and about 4/5 of the rest of this forum to call doomerism for what it actually is. Grieving. The term doomerism implies a permanent state of sulk from which we don't have to emerge. I could get quite comfy sitting here with this warm laptop on my lap feeling gloomy. Being a doomer gives one that permission. It's certainly the path of least resistance once one has come to terms with peak oil. Grieving implies doing the work of loss on a temporary situational basis. Get through it, face the losses, and get on with it. There's a lot of work to do, and we are way behind. I agree with gg3.
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