by Micki » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 23:47:54
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')s it really going to collapse though? I don't pretend to understand Wall Street but it just seems that with the Fed mechanisms and various economic voodoo that they could get away with anything...
Plus, a weak dollar is a boon for American exports. If they are engineering inflation, maybe its just for this aim?
FX is largely dependent on foreigners. So what WS and Fed Reserver are trying to do is to convinve foreigners US$ is near bottom. i..e G7 tried some spiel that was supposed to be US$ supportive, Paulson keeps repeating his strong dollar support etc.
This is however lip service only. So far not much has been done to actually fundamentally support US$.
What I think we may see is however a race to the bottom where nations that don't want strong currencies start lowering interest rates etc. Europe recently also started to talk down Euro. Once again this is talk only at this stage.
With exports, you have to remember that USA has got rid of much of it's manufacturing base etc. What you are more likely to see is that with weak dollar, foreigners will be increasingly interested to buy up companies they see as having value. (i..e resource companies)
At some point in time US economy will be competative again.
Perhaps when Chinese and Indian shoppers prefer things from USA as they are made by low cost labourers.