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US Energy Peaks

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US Energy Peaks

Unread postby bobbyboy » Thu 24 Aug 2006, 09:54:54

An interesting graph courtesy of the EIA which I have annotated to point out the peaks:
Image
AER 2005

Of course the current peaks may not turn out to be all time peaks. The coal peak is perhaps the most interesting as it is seldom (if ever) discussed despite it not having been surpassed for 8 years thus far; is this a long enough rear view mirror? Geothermal, Solar and Wind are currently too small to make it on to the EIA's graph with current peaks in 1993, 1996 and 2005 respectively.
Last edited by bobbyboy on Mon 15 Jan 2007, 16:13:07, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: US Energy Peaks

Unread postby Jack » Thu 24 Aug 2006, 14:36:07

A most interesting graph! Thank you for posting it.
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Re: US Energy Peaks

Unread postby seahorse2 » Thu 24 Aug 2006, 14:46:19

Yes, pictures speak a thousand words.

Thanks Bobbyboy
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Re: US Energy Peaks

Unread postby mekrob » Thu 24 Aug 2006, 18:16:03

Is this end-use or total consumption (for US production)?
I want to put out the fires of Hell, and burn down the rewards of Paradise. They block the way to God. I do not want to worship from fear of punishment or for the promise of reward, but simply for the love of God. - Rabia
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Re: US Energy Peaks

Unread postby jeezlouise » Thu 24 Aug 2006, 18:58:10

If you let your eyes go unfocused and let your brain take in all the graphs at once, a "peak everything" seems to emerge about, oh, now-ish.

Hey, it's no less scientific then what professional "economists" seem to be doing these days.
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Re: US Energy Peaks

Unread postby roadcage » Sat 02 Sep 2006, 19:23:09

You have to be careful with guvmnt stuff. Otherwise you would interepet

http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/ipsr/21.xls

as world oil supply peaking in 2nd qtr 2005.
And of course we "know" that can't be right, cause GW sez so.

Sorry about the broken link, but this is what was displayed in my address bar when I originaly opened the file

It can be found at the bottom of the petroleum page of the eia site
in the international Data section

titled "World Oil Supply"
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Re: US Energy Peaks

Unread postby snowhope » Sat 02 Sep 2006, 20:07:19

http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/ipsr/t21.xls

yep, looks like we are post peak!
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Re: US Energy Peaks

Unread postby Geko45 » Sun 03 Sep 2006, 20:30:53

I've been watching this for awhile. Here is my plot of the monthly world oil supply (t14.xls instead of t21.xls). More like a plateau than a peak, but could this be the "bumpy plateau" that we all posit will occur?

EIA Monthly World Oil Supply

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Re: US Energy Peaks

Unread postby Frank » Mon 04 Sep 2006, 09:32:43

I wonder how much of that is artificially constrained? US consumption actually dropped a tad in 2005 (per BP) and I haven't heard any stories about gas lines ....... yet.
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Re: US Energy Peaks

Unread postby caliginousface » Mon 04 Sep 2006, 11:00:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Frank', 'I') wonder how much of that is artificially constrained? US consumption actually dropped a tad in 2005 (per BP) and I haven't heard any stories about gas lines ....... yet.


ARCO gas stations always have lines! :-D
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