by BlueGhostNo2 » Thu 22 Jan 2009, 20:07:39
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cbxer55', 'T')he number I have heard is 53 trillion when you throw in Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid.
I think we are as farked as the UK if that number is anywhere near true.
The thing to realize is the US debt is all denominated in US dollers, the US can stiff it's creditors by defaulting or slowly stiff them by inflating. The option of slowly stiffing them is bad but MUCH better than a default. (and is infact what the US has been doing for ages). The US is also very strong economically, this is balanced by a HUGE government and HUGE individual consumption.
However the combination of these two facts mean individuals can reduce consumption further without hitting real (absolute) poverty. And the final level of sustainable consumption per person is probably alot higher as there are real industries which can absorb the employees and export.
Contrast that with the UK, we've just taken on a huge load of non £ denominated liabilities in the shape of banks. So inflation will make paying those back alot harder.
Our major export was financial services (~20% gdp) we also had high tech engineering (might be useful if renewables / fusion take off) but hardly any natural basics to export, no food, no oil nada.
So, I think the UK is absolutely more buggered than the US, but there are countries out there less buggered than either.
Denmark, NZ, Aus, etc