$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('baha', 'I') am right on the hairy edge

The night temps are in the 30s and days in the 50s and 60s. It's not really cold yet. With 25% reserved I am just barely making it thru the night. And if it is a cloudy day I don't get a full charge and don't make it thru the night. Here is three days worth. Including various loads.
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There are two things going on here. My baseload was 300 watts, it has increased to about 700 watts with the heat pump on. And the hours of sun have gone from 10 to 7. ( I have a tree shading the array until about 9am. He has a death wish)
That means dinner activities are now carried by the battery. I cook with gas but lights and fans are running. 5-8 is typically prime time power usage and the sun is gone by then.
It doesn't get really cold here until January. But that is after the winter solstice. I am thinking I will use 100% of the battery in Dec and Jan. No one else is going to do it...if it will melt, I will make it.
I have been corresponding by email with my Powerwall customers. I give them my data and they give me theirs. I am by far the most efficient person on the planet. No one else can make it thru the night. Although everyone has settled on 50% reserved for backup. And everyone lives in their big climate controlled box and doesn't understand that windows open

The funny thing is, everyone is happy as a pig in Sh*t.

They are using 100% of their solar output in their own house. The power they use and the solar production they make is no longer part of the official statistics. There is no way for TPTB to know how much power they make or use. Keep that in mind next time you read statistics about solar production and % carried. TPTB don't have a clue...
Baha; I'm west of you in NC and, FYI, my record production days have all been in February and early March on cold clear days, well prior to the Spring equinox. Mid fall days have also been very good. Any way you can time-shift some loads on days like this when you have surplus production? I store surplus as heat in the floor and hot water tank, along with running the dishwasher and laundry.