Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

THE Foreclosure Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Help this poor house flipper out - he is facing foreclos

Postby cube » Sat 30 Sep 2006, 23:59:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'T')he guy was destined to lose his shirt. Even had he made money on his 7-8 houses, he would have turned around a just bought more with the profits, perhaps even increasing his leverage.
Isn't that how most people are?.....although not to such an extreme.

Q: What does the average American do when he has half of his house paid off?

A: Sell it and buy a bigger house and get back into more debt.

I think that pretty much accurately describes 80% of all the home "owners" out there.

I'm a very mellow person. You can "cut me off" on the freeway and I'll forget about it in 10 seconds. However in the world of "investing" I'm a totally different person.

Investing is a game of economic warfare. It's not a game of mutual benefits. Somebody must lose so someone else can win. Whoever sold this poor soul those homes must of been really glad they did right now. Had they held onto the homes they would be in this man's position but not as bad.

I've noticed most people don't see investing as "war". (day traders are an exception :wink: ) People quite often use terms like "build wealth", "grow your money", "make your money work for you"......so naive.
cube
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3909
Joined: Sat 12 Mar 2005, 04:00:00

Re: Help this poor house flipper out - he is facing foreclos

Postby rwwff » Sun 01 Oct 2006, 00:18:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', 'I')'ve noticed most people don't see investing as "war". (day traders are an exception :wink: ) People quite often use terms like "build wealth", "grow your money", "make your money work for you"......so naive.


Those are not investing terms; they are defense terms. I play defense, and never lose. I never expect to buy a million dollar house; I never expect to buy a luxury car. I always expect my liquid net worth to go up, every month, always, no exceptions. I always expect my secured debt vs purchase price to go down, and my highest priority in life is to live comfortably in a paid off house.

Investing is war, and victory is never assured.

Thus, I worship at the feet of the great Hedge Gods, and laugh in the face of Peak Oil and Real Estate crashes.

All Hail Junior Year Principles of Accounting.
All Hail the CPA Miser
All Hail Junior Year Principles of Accounting.
[sup]I think they warped my fragile little mind...[/sup]
:-D

Course, it could've simply been watching my role model commanding the finances of a large company while never spending more than $2 on lunch, and driving a ten year old car....

Enjoy life, don't be a nut, spending money is not happiness, working till you can't is.
abundance fleeting
men falling like hungry leaves
decay masters all
User avatar
rwwff
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2601
Joined: Fri 28 Apr 2006, 03:00:00
Location: East Texas

2 million foreclosures

Postby smiley » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 15:31:59

Like most people I have a problem with big numbers. I need to play around with them to understand their meaning. In doing so I came across some things I don't understand..

The number of foreclosures will hit 2 million this year. The US has 300 million inhabitants, an average household size of 2.6 and a house ownership rate of 66%.

http://www.forbes.com/feeds/ap/2007/07/ ... 68151.html

So 2 million means:

- 3% of total sold properties will foreclose this year!!!!!
- 5.2 million or 1.7% of the total population will be directly affected by this in 2007!!!!!

That means that if you're sitting in a full bus one person will statistically be about to foreclose this year.

Now if I look at the media. I see a lot of suits whining about how their funds lost millions or billions even. But is the real story not all those millions that have to go through the foreclosure process?

I don't know how bad a foreclosure is in the US (here you're pretty much f#cked up for the rest of your life, forget about ever buying a house again). But still this would be a major human catastrophe.

Of course you can say that these people were too blame. But I think that is too simple. It's like telling the people in Kansas, "though luck you know that there are hurricanes here, shouldn't have built here".

These people took risks, but they did so encouraged by companies and institutions downplaying the risk, and they did so because the market doesn't leave them that many options.

Why is that absolute lack of media attention. Why isn't CNN crowded with poor families which have to leave their house. Is that Big biz pulling their strings because they don't want people distracted from their own financial problems. Is it because they don't want people to see what happens if you take the risk and get it wrong?

Any idea's
User avatar
smiley
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2274
Joined: Fri 16 Apr 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Europe

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby Roccland » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 15:37:57

Call 911, Foreclosures Are Up

May want to think about getting one of these nightstands...

Image

Image
500 MPH into a brick wall - me
User avatar
Roccland
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1604
Joined: Sat 16 Jun 2007, 03:00:00

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby dutchcyclist » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 15:58:20

A lot of people have second homes, on wich they will foreclose first
User avatar
dutchcyclist
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 47
Joined: Sun 30 Jul 2006, 03:00:00
Location: Groningen, netherlands

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby smiley » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 18:35:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A') lot of people have second homes, on wich they will foreclose first


I don't get it. Why would you foreclose on a second home? You would sell it before it came to that wouldn't you?

Or am I missing something here. I mean a foreclosure here is a bankruptcy. The bank sells the house (cheaply) and picks you clean. It will haunt you for the rest of your life. You cannot even apply for a mobile telephone plan because you're blacklisted.

Most people would do anything to avoid that.
User avatar
smiley
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2274
Joined: Fri 16 Apr 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Europe

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby gnm » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 18:41:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smiley', 'O')f course you can say that these people were too blame. But I think that is too simple. It's like telling the people in Kansas, "though luck you know that there are hurricanes here, shouldn't have built here".


[smilie=eusa_think.gif]

I think you mean -tornados-

-G
gnm
 

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby Jack » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 18:59:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smiley', 'I') don't get it. Why would you foreclose on a second home? You would sell it before it came to that wouldn't you?


To whom would you sell it?

Let's say the house was worth $500,000. Someone bought it and put down 1%, or $5,000. The house is now worth $400,000. The debt is $495,000. By the way - the "owner" doesn't have any significant part of that $95,000 shortfall available.

This is the whole issue of sub-prime mortgages. Lots of people in the U.S. have bad credit, including bankruptcies. However, we wouldn't want that to slow their consumption, now, would we?

So the credit markets offer all manner of financing - whether for houses, cars, credit cards, or cell phones. The borrower pays a high price, the seller makes enough money from the additional charges that the overall yield from a large pool of such borrowers is lucrative, and all is well.

Unless...unless the assumptions are wrong, and the default rate among poor credit risks exceeds expectations. Then the lender loses a great deal.

8)
Jack
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4929
Joined: Wed 11 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby Polemic » Tue 14 Aug 2007, 23:21:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jack', '
')Unless...unless the assumptions are wrong, and the default rate among poor credit risks exceeds expectations. Then the lender loses a great deal.


From what I understand, the lenders just bundled up these crappy loans with thousands of others (taking a nice commission in the process), and sold those toxic securities to hedge funds, pension funds, and foreign investors... So even though many of these mortgage lenders are going out of business, it was profitable run for the insiders.

[web]http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/schiff/2007/0810.html[/web]
User avatar
Polemic
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 353
Joined: Sun 24 Sep 2006, 03:00:00
Location: Austin, TX
Top

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby Jack » Wed 15 Aug 2007, 00:01:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Polemic', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jack', '
')Unless...unless the assumptions are wrong, and the default rate among poor credit risks exceeds expectations. Then the lender loses a great deal.


From what I understand, the lenders just bundled up these crappy loans with thousands of others (taking a nice commission in the process), and sold those toxic securities to hedge funds, pension funds, and foreign investors... So even though many of these mortgage lenders are going out of business, it was profitable run for the insiders.


With regard to the loans being defaulted upon, you're absolutely correct. After the default, the borrower has a worse credit rating, and they come under the higher charge paradigm I mention.

If I may add to your point - all the middle persons, from the mortgage broker to the securities firms that packaged the deals to the firms that assigned ratings made lots of money. But whoever wound up with the paper (or toxic securities as you so aptly name them) is likely to get hurt.
Dieoff. Fun to watch. Better with hot buttered popcorn! [smilie=new_popcornsmiley.gif]
Jack
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4929
Joined: Wed 11 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby Eli » Wed 15 Aug 2007, 00:35:28

Well, here at least the home it self is held in collateral for the home loan. The bank can't sue and take your wages they can only get your house.

They used to have a way to discourage people from just walking away from their house if they got into financial trouble. This incentive to stay was called a "down payment". Because of this go go housing boom banks thought they could stop taking "down payments", real estate only goes up you know.

The banks messed up and abandon all financial reason.

If I was some renter/home owner in California and I had a 100% financed loan I would pack my bags and go rent some where else. Screw the banks, take my house and may you choke on it.

The mistake people are going to make is that they are going try and stay in their homes because they are emotionally invested but it will not make financial sense to do so.

Seriously if anyone finds them self in this position don't run up your credit card trying to pay the light bill and the mortgage. Get up and walk out. IF the deed is not fully in your name free and clear, you are really just renting to own from the bank. Same goes with cars.
User avatar
Eli
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3709
Joined: Sat 18 Jun 2005, 03:00:00
Location: In a van down by the river

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby What2DO » Wed 15 Aug 2007, 03:25:31

Most if not all of the foreclosures right now are ARM, people were stupid enough to get into a house that they could never afford because of either no down payment and very very low interest rates, but the catch was in a few years when their ARM was up the rates would be very high so they went from a $1000 dollar a month house payment to a $3000 dollar a month payment. Im sure alot of them thought they could either flip the house and make some money while others thought they would be able to switch over to a 15 or 30 years fix. Well guess what they could'nt. This is the mess we're in now and of course this will spill over into the stock market which we are seeing now there will be some more bad before good but i believe it won't be doom. Its thier own fault for being so damn stupid and we are all going to pay for it, one way or another.
User avatar
What2DO
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 124
Joined: Wed 19 Apr 2006, 03:00:00
Location: Palmdale,Ca

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby Cloud9 » Wed 15 Aug 2007, 07:51:30

A good case study is a little girl I know. She was in law school. Here mother was a realtor living on the coast here in Florida. The flipping of houses on the coast had gotten to be insane. The little girl’s mother talked her into buying a two bedroom one bath home for $400,000 right off the beach. Based on what the market had done, she would live in the house for two years while she went to law school. Then she would sell it and make enough money to pay off her student loans. Because she was a student and had no income, she went into an ARM. She graduated this summer. She landed a job making twice my salary. The bottom fell out of the market. Every house on her street is for sale. She is drowning in debt and does not have two nickels to rub together. Every penny she can scrape together goes to servicing her debt. Her ARM adjusts next summer. She is neither stupid nor greedy. She operated on bad advice. Unless a miracle happens, she will lose here house and her credit next summer.
User avatar
Cloud9
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2961
Joined: Wed 26 Jul 2006, 03:00:00

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby Pretorian » Wed 15 Aug 2007, 11:58:41

well house is not hers to lose; as for a creditscore, there are about 6 billion people or more on earth who have never heard of it and they can live without it , believe it or not. If I was that girl I'd open all creditcards I could right now.
Pretorian
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4685
Joined: Sat 08 Apr 2006, 03:00:00
Location: Somewhere there

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby Eli » Wed 15 Aug 2007, 12:18:43

Cloud9 if you are in any way close to this girl you need to tell her to walk away from that house.

Let the Bank have it. With the new BK laws if she lets this house take her down she will have to pay on it, and the IRS will get to set how much money she lives on. She needs to avoid BK at all costs because it will put her on the hook to her debtors.

Her credit will be ruined either way but a law degree and a high paying job is all she will need. The Banks are going to choke on all the foreclosures, she could default rent for a year and come back and by the same house for 200,000.
User avatar
Eli
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3709
Joined: Sat 18 Jun 2005, 03:00:00
Location: In a van down by the river

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby Tyler_JC » Wed 15 Aug 2007, 12:25:37

Not sure if anyone's mentioned this yet, but the borrower is liable for every penny printed on the IOU, unless he/she declares bankruptcy.

In the United States, a mortgage is a promissory note. It is backed up by both the value of the property AND the ability of the borrower to pay.

It is certainly possible to sell a house and still owe part of a mortgage even though the house is no longer yours.
"www.peakoil.com is the Myspace of the Apocalypse."
Tyler_JC
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5438
Joined: Sat 25 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Boston, MA

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby Tyler_JC » Wed 15 Aug 2007, 12:29:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pretorian', 'w')ell house is not hers to lose; as for a creditscore, there are about 6 billion people or more on earth who have never heard of it and they can live without it , believe it or not. If I was that girl I'd open all creditcards I could right now.


Sure, if you want to live like a South American peasant.

But for those of us in the industrialized world, a credit score is a major factor in your quality of life.

Want an apartment? You need good credit.

Want an auto loan, credit card, mortgage, or even a consumer loan for a sofa? You need good credit .

Want a job? Your credit score has to be at a certain level in order to even be considered employable.
"www.peakoil.com is the Myspace of the Apocalypse."
Tyler_JC
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5438
Joined: Sat 25 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Boston, MA
Top

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby I_Like_Plants » Wed 15 Aug 2007, 20:12:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '
')Sure, if you want to live like a South American peasant.

But for those of us in the industrialized world, a credit score is a major factor in your quality of life.

Want an apartment? You need good credit.

Want an auto loan, credit card, mortgage, or even a consumer loan for a sofa? You need good credit .

Want a job? Your credit score has to be at a certain level in order to even be considered employable.


It's not going to be a choice for most people. The Greatest Depression coming and we're worried about credit scores? And, as if we can do anything about them?

Next week, tomorrow, any of you reading this who haven't been instantly converted to peasent status can be. Your retirement is based on hedge funds built out of subprime paper and elmer's glue. Your "secure" job is offshored or eliminated. If you're 42 or younger, you can be drafted.

People are better off learning to live with NO credit, it will not be easy at first, like exercise, but it will be worth it.

Instead they are well-trained slaves, wracking their brains to figure out how they can possibly keep spending on credit even as their life melts away under them.
I_Like_Plants
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3839
Joined: Sun 12 Jun 2005, 03:00:00
Location: 1st territorial capitol of AZ
Top

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby Eli » Wed 15 Aug 2007, 22:14:18

Revelation 6:5

When the Lamb opened the third seal, I heard the third living creature say, "Come!" I looked, and there before me was a black horse! Its rider was holding a pair of scales in his hand. 6Then I heard what sounded like a voice among the four living creatures, saying, "A quart of wheat for a day's wages, and three quarts of barley for a day's wages, and do not damage the oil and the wine!"
User avatar
Eli
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3709
Joined: Sat 18 Jun 2005, 03:00:00
Location: In a van down by the river

Re: 2 million foreclosures

Postby Pretorian » Thu 16 Aug 2007, 04:46:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pretorian', 'w')ell house is not hers to lose; as for a creditscore, there are about 6 billion people or more on earth who have never heard of it and they can live without it , believe it or not. If I was that girl I'd open all creditcards I could right now.


Sure, if you want to live like a South American peasant.

But for those of us in the industrialized world...


Mind me asking you, have you been anywhere outside of USA?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '
')Want an apartment? You need good credit.


You need money, and/OR an ability to pay rent, to get an apartment. Thats all it takes.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '
')Want an auto loan, credit card, mortgage, or even a consumer loan for a sofa? You need good credit .

Why would anyone need a consumer loan for a sofa? WHY?
An average American can buy a sofa with 1 or 2 days of his wages. You guys are messed up pretty badly.
As for autos, you can buy them with cash too you know that? Are you trying to say people with a poor credit score cycle to work in USA? Mortgages-- renting is much cheaper, whatever is that you are planning to buy, in US at least. Even if you buy it with cash.
Credit cards-- this is a joke right? If you mean you need those plastic things to not carry around a wad of cash, you can get the same deal with debit cards.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '
')Want a job? Your credit score has to be at a certain level in order to even be considered employable.

This is just hilarious. What job ? Top-secret clearance kind of job with DOD? They do care only about federal debt, once they are interested in you. A relative of mine recently got a very high-up state job. He was pulled out of 200 ( two hundred) of highly qualified aplicants. His credits score is probably 420-440, he doesnt pay even his student loans ( and havent for at least 7 years), much less some random credit card bills. Just FYI, he is not homeless and has a car.
Pretorian
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4685
Joined: Sat 08 Apr 2006, 03:00:00
Location: Somewhere there
Top

PreviousNext

Return to Open Topic Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

cron