by ralfy » Tue 10 Nov 2015, 06:25:34
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ennui2', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '
')Ennuie might want listen to his own advice and stop lecturing on issues he doesn't understand.
You're trying to change the subject. There is this unspoken assumption by people here that there is a narrow band of mitigations that have little or no downsides. But the fact is that what you or I view as a mild sacrifice is not necessarily seen as a mild sacrifice outside of the doomer echo-chamber, hence the pushback over incandescent bulbs. Whether the move to compact fluorescent or LEDs would "solve" limits to growth is NOT the issue. The issue is the fact that there can never be enough of a universal consensus to do anything due to all of these competing interests and value-systems. (The push-back over incandescents has nothing to do with the embodied energy comparisons, since nobody gives a crap about that issue. It has everything to do with people being inherently anti-regulation due to their definition of what constitutes 'freedom'. Same deal with wanting freedom to breed or roll-coal or live in a McMansion or whatever.)
I have listened to green rhetoric full of this or that utopian prescription for humanity for ages and always, always, the rubber never meets the road because of how diverse people are. There are some people who are so adamant about the free-market or small-government that they simply will not listen to ecological arguments, as irrational as it is. They would rather we go over a cliff than to sacrifice their fundamentalist beliefs.
That is ultimately the problem. It has nothing to do with publishing, let's say, a study that goes over the embodied energy comparisons that you're trotting out about light-bulbs. Data isn't important. People's convictions are, and they are most often based on emotion or sense of identity or some other irrational factors.
You yourself are part of that fundamental human flaw, which is why you keep trying to portray me using a strawman, so you are a supreme hypocrite.
There's really only ONE issue, which is human nature.
Hubbert pushed for a technocracy (think dispassionate Vulcan like logic applied to decisionmaking). That doesn't work because people make decisions mostly out of emotion. That's why bubbles happen, for instance. And it's why societies rise and fall, the quick gratification. The get rich quick scheme. The "I'm alright jack, keep your hands off of my stack." Utopian prescriptions are just mental masturbation unless you can prove they can be adopted by the mainstream.
But just go right back to hurling personal insults my way, Pstarr. Keep taking out your frustration on me like a punching-bag. But when I rant like this, it's based on all of my thousands of hours of absorbing these issues. This is what I consider to be an informed opinion, and the trajectory we see unfurling before us seems to be validating it. The idea there will be this magical sea-change into permaculture and donkey carts--now that is the pie in the sky. It has nothing to do with what I want to see happen. It's about me actually viewing the real world through a realistic lens.
The issue isn't so much human nature but a world with physical limits. The latter remains no matter what changes are made to the former.