by lexicon » Thu 27 Dec 2007, 16:24:25
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('virgincrude', 'Y')ou could have seen it coming if you were in Pakistan, or were close to any Pak nationals: this was written on the wall (and she knew it) and although she felt Musharraf would authorise it, I believe it was planned all along by her main sponsors: Washington.
They urged Mush to declare the fake 'emergency' and drop the corruption charges against her so she could return without being arrested on the spot. The only barrier was the judiciary, and Mush took care of them with the arrest early in the year of the Chief Justice, who was undoubtedly going to declare Mush's bid for democratically elected power to be illegal.
Bhutto was more popular in the West than in Pakistan, besides her text-book Oxford English, she only spoke one of the 5 or so national dialects- totally out of touch with the masses, and the corruption charges would have been successfull, and she would have been thrown (quite rightly) in jail. Recently, in so called pre-election negotiations she was insisting the judiciary should not be reinstated before the elections, and a new judiciary should be named by the election winners. This would have ensured she be free from the threat of legal proceedings.
However, by dying, she has inadvertently become a major icon and people who may never have thought of voting for her party, will consider it now, purely as an act of vengeance against Mush, who is hated for his pandying to Washington. Whoever committed this disgusting act (why blow up so many people, was it not enough to assassinate her and turn the gun on himself?) is not important right now, it was however, easily predictable and it's hard to understand the motives behind Bhutto's return- except for her greed for money and power- things which go hand in hand in Pakistan.
It is unlikely the 8th Jan elections will go ahead now, as parties will need more time to recoup, something which works against the present ruling party, who need swift actions before people have time to ponder on this. The longer the delay, the less likely they will be re-elected. All over Pakistan, people will vote out their regional heads, all appointed by Mush, apparently people in Peshawar were so incensed when they heard of Bhutto's assassination, their anger frightened the police away- there is no stomach for civil war.
I am certain that if I (and Bhutto herself) could see this coming, then Washington also had a pretty clear idea of how things would pan out, and as the major sponsors for her return (they didn't give a shit about Sharif, who was the legitimately elected leader Mush kicked out remember, it was the Saudi's who chaperoned HIS return ....) they obviously were planning a destabilisation of the country by moving their pawns- Mush and Bhutto. Mush would not have wanted this, they are braying for his blood in the streets now, MUSH=DOG one of the worst insults in Islam. His days are numbered, he's either off to Washington for talks and a soothing cup of tea and exile offer, or his head's in the noose before cricket season.
Interesting analysis. The key question is: who benefits? Obviously, the current administration in Washington benefits. But who in Pakistan benefits from destabilization? How about The Quiet Man?
The rise of Pakistan's 'quiet man'
By Syed Shoaib Hasan
BBC News, Islamabad
The rise of Gen Ashfaq Pervez Kayani through the ranks of the Pakistani military has been rapid if not extraordinary.
The man nominated by Gen Musharraf to be his replacement as army chief is noted for his patience, diligence, intelligence and sheer determination.
snip
Soon after, he was made the head of Pakistan's powerful Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency. In March 2007, he was part of the infamous "tribunal" of intelligence chiefs who met Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry the day before his suspension by President Musharraf.
He was later named as the only one who sat silently through the entire episode.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/7024719.stm
Considering how many analysts have spoken of how in Pakistan it's hard to tell where ISI ends and the CIA begins, it wouldn't be to much of a stretch to believe this former ISI head and current army chief is in Washington's pockets.
"Old elephants limp off to the hills to die; old Americans go out to the highway and drive themselves to death with huge cars".
-Hunter S. Thompson