Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Survivor Peak Oil: Outwit, Outplay, Outlast.

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Unread postby JohnDenver » Sat 02 Jul 2005, 00:28:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('oiless', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', ' ')I think it's only a matter of time until the appropriate military people realize that suburbia and the private auto are a grave threat to national security. This may result in real changes, because they will be coming from the top down this time. The "love affair" of the consumer will not be taken into consideration when national security is at stake


I realize that Americans have already given up large portions of their freedom, (Patriot Act) however I suspect the government would have more problems at home than abroad if they were to start taking peoples' "right" to drive away, while at the same time conscripting massive numbers of sons and daughters away to fight and die in resource wars. The spin machine might be able to to spin people to the correct level of fear and patriotism to enable this, but I have my doubts.


That's the beauty of it. The Americans are so brainwashed into the necessity of the private auto, that they feel an irresistable compulsion to walk into the trap.

Personally, I would wait a little longer to pull the plug. There is zero danger of the U.S. exercising any moderation or self-control, so I would let the American's sleep another 10 years or so. Let them sprawl even more, let them deplete their domestic resources to nothing, while OPEC quietly beefs up its finances and increases its share of the global oil market. Then, one day, out of blue like September 11, just shut off the export taps. And then its like you say: America doesn't have the will (or the fuel) to defeat OPEC.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('oiless', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'T')he U.S. is a paper tiger. Their military power is a bluff, and people are starting to see through it.


Be that as it may, you guys have the most nukes, and the ability to deliver them.


Yes, Jack brought up that idea too. We'll nuke Saudi Arabia, or hit it with smallpox or a neutron bomb. The U.S. will commit genocide on an entire nation, simply to get the oil. I don't think the "cover story" angle will work. You're going to have to kill a lot more than 1 million people in that accident. Saudi Arabia alone has a population of 26 million people. I don't think it's possible to kill 26 million people by accident. I don't think anyone will believe it was an accident either. So you're left with the deliberate, obvious murder of 26 million people for oil. Maybe you could kill half of them, and leave the other half? I don't think that would work. Anyone left is going to be an insane homocidal maniac, whose sole goal in life will be to make Americans suffer. And let's suppose that you actually do succeed. How's your average soccer Mom going to feel when she's buzzing over to Toys'R'Us on fuel provided by the massacre of 26 million people?

The reputational fallout of the nuke/smallpox strategy is too great. The new Holocaust won't be happening in a vacuum. The entire world will be watching it on television, and reading about it in the newspaper. If the U.S. resorts to such measures, they will once and forever expose themselves as a nation of insane hypocrits, thieves and murderers. American moral authority will drop to zero. No one will ever listen to the U.S. or trust it ever again.
JohnDenver
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2145
Joined: Sun 29 Aug 2004, 03:00:00

Unread postby NEOPO » Sat 02 Jul 2005, 01:23:15

I am here to abuse poor old retired guy 8)

Do you have children/grand children/family you care about that wont die when you will?? etc etc???
Dead or close to death and no longing caring about life/living implies to me that you either
A. have no children
B. are self centered and only think about yourself - you heartless bastard!!
C. have children yet cannot stand to be in the same room with your own solar powered satan spawn :-D
D. are a combination of both A and B or B and C.

For the record, which is it?!?!?!?
Vee have Vays of making you talk!!! :roll:

I admit to my selfish desire to preserve my offspring, my spouse and myself in that order.
User avatar
NEOPO
Permanently Banned
 
Posts: 3588
Joined: Sun 15 May 2005, 03:00:00
Location: THE MATRIX

Unread postby RG73 » Sat 02 Jul 2005, 01:27:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', ' ')If the U.S. resorts to such measures, they will once and forever expose themselves as a nation of insane hypocrits, thieves and murderers. American moral authority will drop to zero. No one will ever listen to the U.S. or trust it ever again.


I think we're pretty much there already.
User avatar
RG73
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 196
Joined: Fri 20 May 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Austin, Tx
Top

Unread postby RonMN » Sat 02 Jul 2005, 08:02:11

One idea about the starving masses showing up on your doorstep.

If we really got to that point then there would be NO gas/diesel to run anything...so tractors wouldn't be running for plowing fields. A family of 4 or 5 couldn't possibly plow 40 acres with a shovel. So before the "masses" show up, you'll see a straggler refugee asking for help...you let him use an acre, show him how to hunt/gather/fish/plant & shelter himself and get his/her undying loyalty. There's another person for your personal protection army.

Then another straggler comes along...

After a while you'd have to make a descision on how many people your land could possibly sustain & stop taking in any others, however at this point you'd have a decent amount of people ready to wage war for the protection of your little village.

It's not a perfect idea...but it's better than having no options at all!
User avatar
RonMN
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2628
Joined: Fri 18 Mar 2005, 04:00:00
Location: Minnesota

Unread postby KevO » Sat 02 Jul 2005, 08:22:36

The ASPO doc at another thread is also a peak oil milestone, along with this initial post and subsequent thread. Cheers and well peached Monty my lovely.

KevO
KevO
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 2775
Joined: Tue 24 May 2005, 03:00:00
Location: CT USA

Unread postby TheTurtle » Sat 02 Jul 2005, 08:51:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('RonMN', '
')
After a while you'd have to make a descision on how many people your land could possibly sustain & stop taking in any others, however at this point you'd have a decent amount of people ready to wage war for the protection of your little village.

It's not a perfect idea...but it's better than having no options at all!


Pops will be King! :-D
“Humankind has not woven the web of life. We are but one thread within it. Whatever we do to the web, we do to ourselves.” (Ted Perry)
User avatar
TheTurtle
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1905
Joined: Sat 14 May 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Along the banks of the muddy Mississippi
Top

Unread postby retiredguy » Sat 02 Jul 2005, 11:17:03

Hey NEOPO,

I can take all the abuse you wish to hurl :-D

Yes, I do have a child, but she is almost 30 and is fully-fledged.

You can call me selfish or heartless, but the reality is that, as an individual, there is very little one can do about PO or anything in general.

The analogy that comes to mind is the Titanic. When the ship started to sink, the passengers had but a few choices. They could hope for survival by getting aboard the limited number of lifeboats available (small group survival) or they could grab something that floats and jump the ship (individual survival). By leaving the ship, they insured their immediate survival but had to survive a period of time in a hostile environment.

Then there were those who stayed on the ship. Some did so out of a sense of duty, some did so, perhaps, because they thought the ship wouldn't sink after all. Others, maybe some older folks, decided that jumping the ship was just postponing the inevitable. Maybe they decided that they had had a good run and going down with the ship was the best option.

I don't see any absolutes in this scenario.

May I ask how you are preparing for PO?
User avatar
retiredguy
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 633
Joined: Tue 11 Jan 2005, 04:00:00
Location: southern Wisconsin

Unread postby katkinkate » Sat 02 Jul 2005, 19:23:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('holmes', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DomusAlbion', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('holmes', ' ')..... It reminds me of millions of whiny brats that need good spankings. :-D.


Mother Nature and inevitable world events will do the spanking.......


LOL. I know this is perverted, but itll be more like fisting. :shock:


I understand some people actually enjoy that activity. :P

Ah.. hem. Back to the topic. :)
Kind regards, Katkinkate

"The ultimate goal of farming is not the growing of crops,
but the cultivation and perfection of human beings."
Masanobu Fukuoka
User avatar
katkinkate
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1276
Joined: Sat 16 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Brisbane, Australia
Top

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sun 03 Jul 2005, 12:33:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('holmes', '
')still talking about peak this peak that. back and forth. mundane topics. rehashed over and over. Its done. the facts are blatant.


When I saw the thread title and first post I thought it might indicate a small shift from talk to action...

Naw.


I think we are battling two forces here, Pops. The first is that many, if not most, haven't taken the time to read what has been discussed already.

And second, there is a classic case of denial going on. Sometimes I get the impression that people feel if they hash this over long enough and support their "silver bullet", that the "invisible hand" or technology will deliver to Home Depot the solution to peak oil, and it is only a credit card purchase away. :lol:

Note this quote from my initial post:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Montequest', 'L')ocally, it can mean everything.


Locally and individuallly is where any focus should be. If you are waiting for TPTB to come to the rescue, I think you can expect little to be delivered...except maybe a draft notice or more loss of civil liberties.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO
Top

Unread postby Pops » Sun 03 Jul 2005, 14:39:30

I guess a forum such as this one is all about endless speculating, rehashing (what us old timers view as) ‘old topics’ and me bitching about it! :)

Retired guy’s analogy rings true to the Doomer in me for the part he left out, namely the people at the helm (TPTB) believed the status quo indestructible, will not be able to avert the impact when it becomes apparent, and will be unable to correct the problem after the fact.

I don’t believe in the inevitability of complete destruction, not only are their more factors than my small brain can imagine but also, just as Monte points out, I think there are real solutions to be found locally.

I certainly wouldn’t suggest that everyone should head for the hills and grow rutabagas. It turns out that is a good solution for me; I’ve been chasing the buck for 30 years, know I will enjoy the life and hope to be less impacted by the economic effects of PO to boot. There are as many responses to PO as there are people and hashing out the possibilities is one that I engage in all the time, on the other hand, I do stuff most every day with PO in mind.

I have no inside track, don’t pretend to comprehend all the macro factors and currently my crystal ball is on the fritz, but I sincerely believe once the party gets going and the economic effects begin to be felt much more than the current ‘nuisance-level’ price increases, it could be very hard to get out of the way.

Of course my advice is probably worth much less than you’re paying for it.

Signed

Pops
King of Thunder Bottom
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
User avatar
Pops
Elite
Elite
 
Posts: 19746
Joined: Sat 03 Apr 2004, 04:00:00
Location: QuikSac for a 6-Pac

Unread postby mark » Sun 03 Jul 2005, 16:24:34

Aaron,

Really, what's the real problem? Peak oil is a symptom, overpopulation is a symptom. Fractional reserve banking is a symptom. So, what's the real problem?

Inquiring minds want to know!

Thanks for the post Monte (where've you been?) and those wonderful replies all.
mark
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 215
Joined: Wed 01 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: chicago

Unread postby Aaron » Sun 03 Jul 2005, 16:30:44

Growth
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

Hazel Henderson
User avatar
Aaron
Resting in Peace
 
Posts: 5998
Joined: Thu 15 Apr 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Houston

Unread postby shakespear1 » Sun 03 Jul 2005, 17:33:42

Short memory and it's not my problem attitude.
8)
Men argue, nature acts !
Voltaire

"...In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation."

Alan Greenspan
shakespear1
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1532
Joined: Fri 13 May 2005, 03:00:00

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sun 03 Jul 2005, 18:01:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', 'G')rowth


Yep, I've said it many times here. Let it sink in this time:

The cumulative biotic potential of any given species always exceeds the carrying capacity of it's environment. We know this to be true, but somehow we think it doesn't apply to us. Finally, we are left with cultural direction and asset inertia. We don't know any other way and we have too much invested in doing it the way we know to change.

There are limits. We are reaching them.

Note to Mark,

Been busy with a work project. And thanks!

MQ
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO
Top

Unread postby Ardalla » Sun 03 Jul 2005, 18:25:40

The real problem is is human beings are part of Nature and all Nature is flawed. The biggest human flaw is we lie to ourselves, to each other ... we even lie when we are trying to tell the truth.

I used to think I could make a conscious effort to see the truth. I now know it's impossible. It has to do with the wiring of my brain. When human beings first stood up in the grasslands of Africa, we saw what appeared to us to be a world governed by supernatural forces: lightning, floods, earthquakes, a mysterious sky full of objects that moved. We assumed these natural forces were conscious beings we could appease with the right rituals.

Even now, there is a part of my mind that believes in the supernatural. All of this delusion we see concerning PO is just people carrying on as usual: lying to themselves. When PO happens there will be people all around me talking about Jesus and the Rapture, looking for scapegoats (round up the usual suspects), or just being incredulous and waiting for someone to lead them to a place of safety.

As human beings we have always had this flaw. It has not destroyed us previously because we lacked the power to really screw things up on a macro scale. We now have that power. It was necessary for us to make the leap from the supernatural to the real. We didn't/haven't made that leap. Sure, now we have science and technology coupled with a massive world economy that has created a consumerist world in which everything is linked to cheap energy availablility. However, that highly efficient, modern mind is coupled to a supenatural brain that is still churning out lies and delusions. We still want to sacrifice the virgin in the volcano. Maybe the oil god will be appeased and grant us a few more decades.

Somewhere around 1900 we needed to see where we were headed in terms of world population and oil supplies. I can't see how that was even a possibility in 1900. It would have required a sea change in the human psyche which could not have happened at that time. Nature, it seems, has created an animal that can destroy much of organic life on this planet. Is Nature suicidal? If I believed that Nature was a conscious being, I might be inclined to think so.
User avatar
Ardalla
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 198
Joined: Sun 23 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Charlottesville, Virginia

Unread postby Ludi » Sun 03 Jul 2005, 18:35:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ardalla', 'N')ature, it seems, has created an animal that can destroy much of organic life on this planet. Is Nature suicidal? If I believed that Nature was a conscious being, I might be inclined to think so.


Except not all humans have behaved as we have.

Any culture based on endless growth is doomed to fail. Not all cultures have been based on endless growth.
Ludi
 
Top

Unread postby mark » Sun 03 Jul 2005, 19:22:04

Ah, yes...growth.

As true as that is, growth seems to be the natural condition of the human species. The first two humans would have been awfully lonely if not for growth. Any two who come together (OH oh) desire to procreate, is it not in our genes?

Perhaps un-intelligent growth would more accurately describe our present prediciment. But then some would ask, what is intelligent growth? How do we manage to both grow as intelligent beings and maintain a sustainable economic civilization? What's the ultimate answer to life on earth?

I know, I know, that's a whole new thread... and probably one without a satisfying answer for all.
mark
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 215
Joined: Wed 01 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: chicago

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sun 03 Jul 2005, 23:39:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mark', '
')As true as that is, growth seems to be the natural condition of the human species.


Not just the human species, all species. And we all can grow until we reach the limits of our environment to support us, then nature steps in and culls us back to a sustainable population. That is the nature of all life on earth.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO
Top

Unread postby Jack » Mon 04 Jul 2005, 00:27:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'Y')es, Jack brought up that idea too. We'll nuke Saudi Arabia, or hit it with smallpox or a neutron bomb. The U.S. will commit genocide on an entire nation, simply to get the oil. I don't think the "cover story" angle will work. ..snip... How's your average soccer Mom going to feel when she's buzzing over to Toys'R'Us on fuel provided by the massacre of 26 million people?

The reputational fallout of the nuke/smallpox strategy is too great. The new Holocaust won't be happening in a vacuum. The entire world will be watching it on television, and reading about it in the newspaper. If the U.S. resorts to such measures, they will once and forever expose themselves as a nation of insane hypocrits, thieves and murderers. American moral authority will drop to zero. No one will ever listen to the U.S. or trust it ever again.


I think you underestimate the power of propaganda coupled with denial.

The soccer Mom can easily be persuaded that the actions were a necessary preemption to an imminent strike against the U.S. Were not 15 of the 19 hijackers of the 911 incident Saudis? Have we not heard that many of the insurgents in Iraq are from Saudi Arabia?

And then there's the credible deniability angle. Unmodified diseases can come from anywhere. Perhaps everyone's nightmare, that Al Queda acquired biological weapons, really happened...and they've been used against our dear friends, the Saudi royal family. Or maybe they had an accident and released it prior to attacking us. Thus, we would need to save our Saudi friends and their legitimate government. We could be seen as being on the side of the angels by some - and that's all that's needed.

Keep in mind that the soccer Mom will wish to believe; and so, by giving her cheaper fuel and something to believe, she will be content. Again, that's all that is required.

As for the world's opinion; the world forgets quickly, and forgives sins more quickly than a Gypsy fortune teller - in each case, after the palms are crossed with silver. Look at history, or at current events, and you will see it is true.

Of course, I being the altruistic, kind hearted fellow that I am, I would never advocate such a thing. As mentioned earlier, that would be wrong. It might even impact my karma. Can't have that, now, can we? 8)
Jack
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 4929
Joined: Wed 11 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Top

Unread postby jdmartin » Mon 04 Jul 2005, 02:03:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'f')irefights with starving hordes of blistered footed suburbanites is really pretty far down on my to-do list


:lol: :lol: :lol: Pops, that is timeless. I hope you don't mind, but I am going to use that in my signature for a while. I will, of course, give you full credit! Made my night...
After fueling up their cars, Twyman says they bowed their heads and asked God for cheaper gas.There was no immediate answer, but he says other motorists joined in and the service station owner didn't run them off.
User avatar
jdmartin
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1272
Joined: Thu 19 May 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Merry Ol' USA
Top

PreviousNext

Return to Peak Oil Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 7 guests

cron