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Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby eclipse » Sun 15 Apr 2007, 23:49:34

So .... who's going to put up a few posters? There's 3 to choose from, and they are free.
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby peripato » Mon 16 Apr 2007, 00:31:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') think you're confusing wealthy people with elites. The wealthy is the one who tries to buy his way out (still a vulgar) and the elite is the one that squashes you like a cockroach.

Perhaps, as not all members of the elite are necessarily rich - but it sure does help!
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby peripato » Mon 16 Apr 2007, 00:42:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eclipse', 'S')o .... who's going to put up a few posters? There's 3 to choose from, and they are free.

I don't think it would make much difference to be honest. Perhaps some few additional souls may be warned in time, but as for society as a whole...? It would be a case of too little too late. Imagine if sufficient people did wake up to the realization that the world as they know it was nearly at an end? The resulting panic would probably trigger a collapse far harder and more sudden than even the most fervently doomerish could imagine. Then any personal plans for preparation would be consigned to the trash heap in the ensuing anarchy. No! Better to keep them fat, dumb and happy for as long as possible. In this the elites are indirectly doing those undergoing post peak oil preparation a great favor. When the time comes the opportunity to dine on the kitchen scraps of disaster will be legion.

BTW I like your site.
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby eclipse » Mon 16 Apr 2007, 01:10:31

OK, so you're a doomer and I'm fine with that.

But are there any $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'p')eakniks
on this board that want to help mitigate this and break the story open so that we can rezone, refuel, rebuild, replant, reinvent, replenish... etc on a war-time economy scale?

(PS: I'm not really interested in debating who is right... the peakniks or doomers.... even if I'm right about the technical options open to us with renewable electricity, rezoning, trains and trams etc... you doomers could still be right if we make the wrong POLITICAL decisions and society panics too hard. So I'm not up for another 10 rounds of "why civilization will fall". I believe it will "collapse" somewhat in the Joseph Tainter sense of the word — back to slightly simpler modes and economies, not the average mad Max reading of the word.)

Is anyone else going to put up some more posters?
Dr James Hansen recommends breeder reactors that convert nuclear 'waste' into 1000 years of clean energy for America, and can charge all our light vehicles and generate "Blue Crude" for heavy vehicles.
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby peripato » Mon 16 Apr 2007, 03:14:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eclipse', 'O')K, so you're a doomer and I'm fine with that.

But are there any $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'p')eakniks
on this board that want to help mitigate this and break the story open so that we can rezone, refuel, rebuild, replant, reinvent, replenish... etc on a war-time economy scale?

(PS: I'm not really interested in debating who is right... the peakniks or doomers.... even if I'm right about the technical options open to us with renewable electricity, rezoning, trains and trams etc... you doomers could still be right if we make the wrong POLITICAL decisions and society panics too hard. So I'm not up for another 10 rounds of "why civilization will fall". I believe it will "collapse" somewhat in the Joseph Tainter sense of the word — back to slightly simpler modes and economies, not the average mad Max reading of the word.)

Is anyone else going to put up some more posters?

Perhaps you have chosen the wrong forum? :) What you're proposing, no matter how benign, is for the continued growth in humans and human systems. Isn't this obsession with growth exactly what got us into this mess in the first place?
Last edited by peripato on Mon 16 Apr 2007, 03:21:24, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby eclipse » Mon 16 Apr 2007, 03:17:02

What, so most people here read my Super-famine poster and think "Shhh, don't tell anyone because it's true" not "Hey, TELL EVERYONE so it WON'T be true!" ? :cry:
8O
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby peripato » Mon 16 Apr 2007, 03:24:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eclipse', 'W')hat, so most people here read my Super-famine poster and think "Shhh, don't tell anyone because it's true" not "Hey, TELL EVERYONE so it WON'T be true!" ? :cry:
8O

No, what's the point in the poster campaign? As you admit some collapse is coming regardless of what happens, so why try and hasten that event by scaring people into disengagement from the current paradigm? This just leaves you and your family less time to prepare in whatever way you can for the troubles that lie ahead.
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby SevenTen » Mon 16 Apr 2007, 08:16:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('peripato', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eclipse', 'W')hat, so most people here read my Super-famine poster and think "Shhh, don't tell anyone because it's true" not "Hey, TELL EVERYONE so it WON'T be true!" ? :cry:
8O

No, what's the point in the poster campaign? As you admit some collapse is coming regardless of what happens, so why try and hasten that event by scaring people into disengagement from the current paradigm? This just leaves you and your family less time to prepare in whatever way you can for the troubles that lie ahead.

This is the same problem I struggle with. Since there isn't enough room for everyone in the lifeboats for everyone, what is the benefit of telling everyone that the ship is sinking? It's an ethical problem that ****s with your head.

On the other hand, not telling people will also **** with your head.

So you're ****ed either way.

So I guess it just depends at this point which way feels better for you in your situation.

I am working on spreading awareness in a limited but targeted way. The general public cannot and will not hear this stuff. But there are some audiences that will be receptive to it.

For most people, the primary motivator for behavior is the avoidance of pain. Secondary is the pursuit of pleasure. If you use some element of fear in your presentation, there must be a way of alleviating that fear with a specific action that you provide. Otherwise, in response to a non-immediate risk most people will engage in denial.
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby eclipse » Wed 18 Apr 2007, 20:48:17

I guess it all depends on where you are on the Peakniks, Doomers, and Collapse dial. I'm definitely a peaknik, and think that IF we get the word out early enough, we'll only suffer a "Great Depression" as we slowly adjust our cities and lifestyles to an electron economy. So I put up posters and tell people. I lend them movies. I originally set up and led Sydney Peak Oil, and some great people there arranged a presentation to the NSW Upper House minority parties in 2005. We helped run the Richard Heinberg and David Holmgren tour, and had 700 people on 2 separate nights in Sydney in 2006. Sadly, due to burnout, I must pull back from too much involvement in SPO and just concentrate on my posters.

Yet I'm still a peaknik... once a "war time" economy kicks in of emergency proportions, we can achieve a lot. I fully get that if peaknik campaigning is successful, then it could shake stock-market and business "confidence" and bring on a recession.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Thus, the real dilemma of coping peak oil, for a while at least, is really quite simple. If the government should lay out the full ramifications of peaking in hopes of rallying the people to make preparations, the most immediate consequence is likely to be serious economic setback triggered by an unambiguous announcement itself.

Falls Church News

But the alternative is to blindly wander into the future without any backup plan bouncing around in political minds... and that's where peakniks come in.

I think anyone that despairs because of "Net energy" theories really needs to read the work done by Herman Scheer.

Rowan — a SPO moderator — has been compiling some Scheer material on SPO. It's quite encouraging. I especially like Scheer's emphasis on local energy, changing energy paradigms, dealing with "base load" issues, and the speed with which large renewable systems can be built.

In truth, they will not run what we are running the way we are running it. There is going to be an enormous amount of economic pain as we adapt it. But even Kunstler does not refer to a universal dieoff scenario.
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby peripato » Thu 19 Apr 2007, 01:03:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut the alternative is to blindly wander into the future without any backup plan bouncing around in political minds... and that's where peakniks come in.

Well depending on who you are this means either, grabbing what's left of finite resources, or waiting until peak oil arrives since you don't want to upset the apple cart before necessary (too many rich people would be inconvenienced otherwise). Plan B = war or inertia - take your pick.
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby eclipse » Thu 19 Apr 2007, 01:16:37

I reject that those are the only 2 options. It's too cliche.

All this conspiracy theory Marxist stuff about the "rich" makes me ill... don't rich people want to eat too? Aren't some of them parents and grandparents? No, awareness is the key, and an emergency big government redirection plan around renewables, rezoning, and rail (to just name 3).

Otherwise what the heck are we doing here, sitting around whining like a bunch of self-congratulatory Apocalyptic Outsiders?


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]The extremists — Apocalyptic Outsiders
Unfortunately peak oil can attract some unusual types. This knowledge can take on a cult-like pathology. In many cults the extreme views of adherents has placed them outside of the mainstream. Because they feel alienated and judged by society, they return the favour and judge society. As such, extremist cult members like the Branch Davidians of Waco, Texas have been referred to as Apocalyptic Outsiders.

I have noticed the tendency for some extreme Doomers to even want to keep peak oil to themselves. This is not characteristic of all Doomers, please don't take offense if you hold little hope for civilization at the end of the oil age. I am speaking about a very specific mindset here. It seems that the Apocalyptic Outsider has too much of their identity caught up in their end of civilization belief system — to the point that if society did Powerdown successfully, these individuals would be saddened and disappointed. In other words, if civilization did not come crashing down after the peak, who would this person be?

The characteristics that mark the Apocalyptic Outsider are:

* a tendency to gloat smugly over the coming destruction of civilization.
* a judgmental attitude to the uninitiated (and even non-Doomer Peakniks are scolded for their inferior position.)
* a tendency to kick back and enjoy esoteric discussions over the end of civilization — rather than actually doing anything about it
* very harsh criticism of those who do try to mitigate peak oil
* can be obstructive, critical, destroy group moral, and is ultimately attention seeking.

The irony is that these Apocalyptic Outsiders often object to the term Doomer as derogatory, but are the very people that might make the term derogatory!
This navel gazing mindset can be a waste of time at meetings. Not only does little get achieved with this critical attitude present, but it stifles brainstorming and destroys activism. This version of the Doomer wants to fatalistically congratulate themselves for their clever perceptions rather than campaign, or even set up a Lifeboat as many other Doomers would.

I'll let Worldchanging sum up my response to this sort of thinking.

"But this sort of Worldending thinking is poisonous. Like so many other ego-apocalyptic fantasies, it plays off two toxic memes: the idea that collapse is a positive force, and the idea that people have no ecologically acceptable place on this planet. Better writers than me have explored why both of these ideas are insane. What isn't explored often enough, though, is the effect these ideas and their like have on our culture: they sap our will to do better.

Collapse and extinction scenarios stoke our resignation, and let us off the hook for taking the tough, hard steps we'll be called to take over the next century if we are to build a sustainable civilization. We can't build what we can't imagine, but there's a corollary as well: what we imagine has a way of deeply influencing us (or, as Montaigne put it, "A firm imagination often brings on the event.").

A culture full of engaged, creative optimists with visions of a bright green future will produce a very different world than a culture of jaded misanthropes waiting for the Planetary Melt-Down. Optimism is a political act, challenging as it does the primary defense of the status quo -- that change is impossible. It is also a creative one. Yet our culture is full of portrayals of the end, and almost completely empty of images and stories and plans that show today to be the beginning of a new era. That's dysfunctional.

We know that we can do profoundly better than we are, that indeed, there's no technical reason why we can't build a society whose impacts on the natural world are positive.

So, yes, it's interesting to read a story about how long it would take for our skyscrapers to fall into ruins -- but it'd be thrilling to read a story about what it would take for humanity to thrive on Earth forever."


(From Worldchanging: Thriving on earth forever.)

Apocalyptic Outsider effects on Campaigning: The Apocalyptic Outsider is so fanatical about their precious Malthusian nightmares, that their zeal makes them over react to a playful term. (The Doomer would love to see the best of civilization preserved and catastrophe prevented — but has little hope of that happening — and probably has a tongue-in-cheek appreciation of the term "Doomer".)

Your peak oil group leaders may have to discuss whether or not the Apocalyptic Outsiders should form their own social group. (IE: Leave your group!) It's harsh to have to spell this out, but peak oil awareness is too important to let this clouded and self-obsessed thinking interfere with meetings.


http://eclipsenow.blogspot.com/2007/03/ ... lapse.html
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby peripato » Thu 19 Apr 2007, 01:37:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut even Kunstler does not refer to a universal dieoff scenario.

You point being? Nature cares not what our preferences or beliefs for the future are. Our population is still growing exponentially, whilst the finite resources we rely on are being consumed at astronomical rates. How long do you think this can go on for?
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby peripato » Thu 19 Apr 2007, 01:42:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') reject that those are the only 2 options. It's too cliche.

Whether you accept it or not that's what's happening. Resource wars and exponential worldwide economic growth are the reality.
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby peripato » Thu 19 Apr 2007, 01:53:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')therwise what the heck are we doing here, sitting around whining like a bunch of self-congratulatory Apocalyptic Outsiders?

What would you propose we do? Grow our way out of our dillema? Unfortunately what you're proposing, no matter how benign its intent...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '.')..rezone, refuel, rebuild, replant, reinvent, replenish... etc on a war-time economy scale...

...is for the continued growth in humans and human systems. Isn't this obsession with growth exactly what got us into this mess in the first place?
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby eclipse » Thu 19 Apr 2007, 03:03:01

Show me where I argued for exponential population growth?
I am a member of Sustainable Population Australia!

Just because I am for maintaining law and order and "civilization" does not mean I am pro-growth. Sorry. Try again. Watch the documentary "Crude Impact"... I'm all for the solutions they talk about, and a big one being "Tag, you're it".

In other words, instead of sitting around whining about why nothing can be done like a defeatist teenager trying to just enjoy the "vibe of the thing" a little longer, it's time to be an adult and get into some activism. Get political. Write letters. Call talkback radio. Join a re-localization group at Postcarbon, or 100 other things.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hether you accept it or not that's what's happening.


Sorry, I don't see 80% dieoff happening right now. I see the beginnings of a cultural revolution that can redefine industrial society.

Maybe you need to spend less time here and more time at
http://www.worldchanging.com/
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby peripato » Thu 19 Apr 2007, 03:38:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eclipse', 'S')how me where I argued for exponential population growth?
I am a member of Sustainable Population Australia!

Whatever the argument this is what's happening (exponential population growth), irrespective of your political leanings. The Chinese are communists, but their population is still increasing.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'J')ust because I am for maintaining law and order and "civilization" does not mean I am pro-growth. Sorry. Try again. Watch the documentary "Crude Impact"... I'm all for the solutions they talk about, and a big one being "Tag, you're it".

The things that you're proposing will only lead to more growth.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n other words, instead of sitting around whining about why nothing can be done like a defeatist teenager trying to just enjoy the "vibe of the thing" a little longer, it's time to be an adult and get into some activism. Get political. Write letters. Call talkback radio. Join a re-localization group at Postcarbon, or 100 other things.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('peripato', 'w')hat's the point in the poster campaign? As you admit some collapse is coming regardless of what happens, so why try and hasten that event by scaring people into disengagement from the current paradigm? This just leaves you and your family less time to prepare in whatever way you can for the troubles that lie ahead.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hether you accept it or not that's what's happening.

Sorry, I don't see 80% dieoff happening right now. I see the beginnings of a cultural revolution that can redefine industrial society.
Resource wars and exponential economic growth with attendant finite resource drawdown are the reality.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')aybe you need to spend less time here and more time at
http://www.worldchanging.com/
Why comrade privelaged consumer?
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby eclipse » Thu 19 Apr 2007, 03:42:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')The things that you're proposing will only lead to more growth.


I think you actually need to watch Crude Impact and know the people who made it before you start throwing silly accusations like that around. As if Richard Heinberg is pro-growth!
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby peripato » Thu 19 Apr 2007, 03:51:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eclipse', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')The things that you're proposing will only lead to more growth.


I think you actually need to watch Crude Impact and know the people who made it before you start throwing silly accusations like that around. As if Richard Heinberg is pro-growth!

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('peripato', 'U')nfortunately what you're proposing, no matter how benign its intent...

Quote:
...rezone, refuel, rebuild, replant, reinvent, replenish... etc on a war-time economy scale...

...is for the continued growth in humans and human systems...

Even a Powerdown on this scale leads to growth.
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby eclipse » Thu 19 Apr 2007, 07:26:26

:lol:

Have you even seen the movie?

:lol: :lol:
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Re: Super-famine 2015 posters in A4 and US letter!

Unread postby peripato » Thu 19 Apr 2007, 09:37:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eclipse', ':')lol:

Have you even seen the movie?

:lol: :lol:

Have you ever seen Albert Bartlett the Movie?
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