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Simple questions for doomers

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby miniTAX » Tue 24 Jan 2006, 17:07:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leanan', 'T')he breaking point, I suspect, will be when the average citizen cannot afford whatever it takes to use the energy. (A car, perhaps. Or just the monthly power bill.) They will not want to pay taxes so rich people can still drive their limos. Even if they are hybrid limos.

If there must be a breaking point, then I suspect it's OVER 80%, the tax rate the French already have for years without revolution (as yet) :-D
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby Leanan » Tue 24 Jan 2006, 17:16:26

I don't think tax rates matter. Obviously, not everyone pays the highest tax rate.

I think the breaking point, at least here in the States, will come when people realize that things are never going to get better. That not only will they never be rich, their children will be poorer than they are, and their grandchildren poorer still. That's when the spit is really going to hit the fan.
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby miniTAX » Tue 24 Jan 2006, 17:38:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leanan', 'I') don't think tax rates matter. Obviously, not everyone pays the highest tax rate.

Tax rates, and therefore end-user prices DO matter. That's pure macro-economy. Just raise 0.5 point of interest rate and the real estate boom turn bust (like in Great Britain).

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leanan', '
')I think the breaking point, at least here in the States, will come when people realize that things are never going to get better. That not only will they never be rich, their children will be poorer than they are, and their grandchildren poorer still. That's when the spit is really going to hit the fan.

Well, getting richer generation after generation is definitely NOT possible. But getting poorer when people are so rich and so wasteful (like in the US), I presume is not unlivable. Just compare to the European or the Japanese a lower standard of living. It doesn't prevent them from living longer and they are no more frustrated, right ?
Humans are a successful animal species because they excel in adaptation, not in grievances :-D
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby Doly » Thu 26 Jan 2006, 10:01:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('crapattack', '
')Our only "success" has been to foul our own nest to the point we probably can't survive in it anymore. The hrace runs a big risk of not making it and taking the planet down with us. I wouldn't call that successful, I'd say we've been a project gone wrong and we'll be lucky to survive it.


It's a bit early to say that. In 50 years time, when we'll know for sure if we've collapsed or not, we can talk.
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby crapattack » Thu 26 Jan 2006, 10:02:21

miniTAX:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')umans are a successful animal species because they excel in adaptation, not in grievances


Our only "success" has been to foul our own nest to the point we probably can't survive in it anymore. The hrace runs a big risk of not making it and taking the planet down with us. I wouldn't call that successful, I'd say we've been a project gone wrong and we'll be lucky to survive it. If we do we'll have to learn how to do better.
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby miniTAX » Thu 26 Jan 2006, 20:02:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('crapattack', 'm')iniTAX:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')umans are a successful animal species because they excel in adaptation, not in grievances


Our only "success" has been to foul our own nest to the point we probably can't survive in it anymore. The hrace runs a big risk of not making it and taking the planet down with us. I wouldn't call that successful, I'd say we've been a project gone wrong and we'll be lucky to survive it. If we do we'll have to learn how to do better.

Sorry not to be part of the "WE" you include me in. We sure must differ in adaptation abilities or grievances.
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby crapattack » Thu 26 Jan 2006, 20:26:37

MiniTAX wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')orry not to be part of the "WE" you include me in. We sure must differ in adaptation abilities or grievances.


Sorry to tell ya buddy, unless you're not Homo Sapiens Sapiens, then you're included with the rest of us advanced apes whether you like it or not. On the other hand, if you really are an alien and you really do think we haven't screwed up this planet royally, perhaps you can wave your magic laser beam and take care of our little global warming and oil supply problem for us.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')umans are a successful animal species because they excel in adaptation, not in grievances


Oh and we do excel in grievences. Very much so. Hate to tell you. As an alien you might want to get off now. We're very good at grievences. Yes indeed. We are good at adapation too, but VERY good at killing each other.
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby miniTAX » Thu 26 Jan 2006, 20:37:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('crapattack', '
')Sorry to tell ya buddy, unless you're not Homo Sapiens Sapiens, then you're included with the rest of us advanced apes whether you like it or not. On the other hand, if you really are an alien and you really do think we haven't screwed up this planet royally, perhaps you can wave your magic laser beam and take care of our little global warming and oil supply problem for us.

I'm not an advanced ape.
I'm a thinking machine, heir of Adam & Eva, and I'll eat the apple once you and other advanced apes have finished killing yourselves out of paranoia :-D
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby Leanan » Thu 26 Jan 2006, 21:35:02

We already ate the apple. Look where it got us.
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby coyote » Fri 27 Jan 2006, 00:27:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eastbay', 'I') suppose we should try anything, but placing our trust in the our energy future in windmills seems like... well, simply jousting at windmills.

:lol: Good one eastbay...
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby coyote » Fri 27 Jan 2006, 00:36:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('miniTAX', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('crapattack', '
')Sorry to tell ya buddy, unless you're not Homo Sapiens Sapiens, then you're included with the rest of us advanced apes whether you like it or not. On the other hand, if you really are an alien and you really do think we haven't screwed up this planet royally, perhaps you can wave your magic laser beam and take care of our little global warming and oil supply problem for us.

I'm not an advanced ape.
I'm a thinking machine, heir of Adam & Eva, and I'll eat the apple once you and other advanced apes have finished killing yourselves out of paranoia :-D

I guess that's the equivalent of believing he's an alien, crapattack: he really doesn't believe that he is Homo Sapiens Sapiens. That effectively makes him immune. I have a feeling your arguments are not going to make it through that force field.
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby Odin » Mon 30 Jan 2006, 15:49:06

The problem with the doomers is that they seem to forget that the demand for fuel will go way down when the suburbs are abandoned and we go to a more compact settlement pattern. The only things that will absolutely require biodiesel, ethanol, and hydrogen for on a large scale is farm machinery, trucks for hauling things to and from train stations, a much reduced airline fleet, and as backup power for small ships when the wind isn't blowing (large ships could use both wind or nuclear).
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 30 Jan 2006, 17:51:20

Yeah, trucks...

The problem with anti-doomers is they apparently don't think major changes to settlement, employment, transportation, infrastructure, etc are any kind of big deal. No big deal, change our entire way of life in a decade or so.

No problem.
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby crapattack » Tue 31 Jan 2006, 05:44:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he problem with anti-doomers is they apparently don't think major changes to settlement, employment, transportation, infrastructure, etc are any kind of big deal. No big deal, change our entire way of life in a decade or so.

No problem.


I know. It would be cute 'n all, if they weren't such a pain in the ass about it. Denial, delusion and an overabundance of wishful thinking spring to mind. Nothing bad can ever really happen too these folks because they bought the book on positive thinking. I'm naturally a very optomistic person too. I would loooooove it if just once one of these bright ideas really did have a hope in h*ll of saving our butts. Unfortunately I have an overabundance of second thoughts.

Humans = shoppers.
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby AmericanEmpire » Tue 31 Jan 2006, 12:45:12

What makes me a doomer is that even if we had a miraculous new energy source to replace oil with a different fuel source it'd take time to retrofit our entire industrial infrastructure to run on it. So we'd still be up shit creek.

Half the homes in the US burn natural gas. Most the cars and trucks run on gasoline and diesel fuel. You gonna change all that overnight? Don't thing so.

What most of us live and work in took a hundred years of oil burning to build up. It was built by and runs on oil. And we got tons of the oil infrastructure now. Will be totally usless without oil.
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby miniTAX » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 16:58:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AmericanEmpire', '
')Half the homes in the US burn natural gas. Most the cars and trucks run on gasoline and diesel fuel. You gonna change all that overnight? Don't thing so.

Why overnight ???

BTW, it seems that GW Bush had heard the "doomers" voices. He now declares his will to be less dependant of ME oil and to promote nuclear and renewable energy.
Thank you PO, you make the [s]world[/s] US change :-D
So bad for POilers who don't want to switch to electric home heating and cars :P
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby PrairieMule » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 17:20:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('miniTAX', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AmericanEmpire', '
')Half the homes in the US burn natural gas. Most the cars and trucks run on gasoline and diesel fuel. You gonna change all that overnight? Don't thing so.

Why overnight ???

BTW, it seems that GW Bush had heard the "doomers" voices. He now declares his will to be less dependant of ME oil and to promote nuclear and renewable energy.
Thank you PO, you make the [s]world[/s] US change :-D
So bad for POilers who don't want to switch to electric home heating and cars :P


Well Minitax, there is one thing Bush is right about. Like it or not this country will be consuming 75% less oil by 2029.
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby Leanan » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 18:32:19

It's socioeconomic effects that worry me. Maybe it won't be a problem in other countries, but in this one...I just don't think we're going to adapt well to an economy where people are poorer and poorer every year. It's supposed to be the opposite, for us. And living in more compact settlements will only make it worse.
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby Ludi » Wed 01 Feb 2006, 22:06:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leanan', 'I')t's socioeconomic effects that worry me. Maybe it won't be a problem in other countries, but in this one...I just don't think we're going to adapt well to an economy where people are poorer and poorer every year. It's supposed to be the opposite, for us. And living in more compact settlements will only make it worse.


Yes, especially since our culture doesn't tend to foster reciprocal support, which makes closeknit communities function and helps smooth out the discomforts of what most people would see as poverty. Sharing resources, risks, and responsibilities isn't something we do very well in this "paddle your own canoe" "every man for himself" "I've got mine, screw you Jack" society.

I'm really hoping we'll all learn the benefits of other social organizations, those that foster mutual support. We really have to to get through this.
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Re: Simple questions for doomers

Unread postby miniTAX » Thu 02 Feb 2006, 07:59:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PrairieMule', 'W')ell Minitax, there is one thing Bush is right about. Like it or not this country will be consuming 75% less oil by 2029.


I believe Bush said he intents to replace 75% of M East oil by 2029. It's not quite the same as what you wish :wink:
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