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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Reading Peak Oil Deniers Is a Waste of Time

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Reading Peak Oil Deniers Is a Waste of Time

Unread postby Tanada » Wed 02 Sep 2009, 12:38:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', 'I') also don't think very sharp declines in crude production are in the cards; fields can completely keel over but major producing nations tend to decline gradually, having a range of fields by default. Mexico is the poster child for decline, having gone down 9.05% for 2008, but other countries with sharp declines (Yemen, Italy, Chad) tend to be minor producers in the first place. The aggregate for the world would be that much more gentle in the first place. HL suggests this will be the case as well, fwiw.

How nations will react to the news of peak oil is another matter entirely, of course. I'm more concerned about that than the logistics of providing basic staples such as food, it being of more immediate import. How the renewable EV and fossil fuel ICE markets will coexist is something else I'm more interested in at the moment than how I'll get enough veggies to eat in 5 years; if that really becomes an issue and society hasn't adjusted somewhat beforehand it'll likely end in as dire a fashion as you're suggesting. Things like the new CAFE standards are steps in the right direction.



This is more or less the point I was trying to argue over in the Peak Oil might be Irrelevant thread, I firmly believe that TPTB want to keep a lid on things, and if that means drilling national parks or in the middle of Disneyland then they will do so to reduce the decline rate AMAP.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Alfred Tennyson', 'W')e are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
Tanada
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