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GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby Keith_McClary » Tue 17 Nov 2009, 21:49:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('IslandCrow', '
')http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/8362291.stm

A bit more here:
GM says on track for 2010 share offering

Save your pennies.
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby Keith_McClary » Mon 11 Jan 2010, 01:11:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')y LIAM DENNING

Last year's North American International Auto Show in Detroit was something of a danse macabre. The specter of recession haunted the displays. General Motors and Chrysler were weeks away from bankruptcy.

This week's show promises a bit more cheer. U.S. vehicle sales, while back to 1982 levels, appear to be stabilizing. Yet the industry's near-death experience didn't lead to the profound changes needed.

For car companies and their investors, this lost opportunity will shape the next decade. As shown by the salvation of GM and Chrysler, and the tussle over Opel, politicians still love their cars and the job-providing factories that make them.

In North America, capacity is down from 18.3 million units in 2006 to about 16 million, says IHS Global Insight. That still is 17% more than forecast 2010 sales. Meanwhile, in Europe, political unwillingness to close factories is "more entrenched than ever," says Tim Urqhart, senior analyst at IHS. Globally, capacity to make 90 million vehicles compares with expected sales of 62 million this year, estimates Goldman Sachs.

Chronic overcapacity resulting from high barriers to exit has made for a dismal long-term investment. Shareholder returns for the global auto sector have trailed the market and have been on a downward trajectory for three decades. U.S. firms have struggled to adapt to deteriorating conditions in their home market, historically attractive because of a "unique" combination of size, wealth and low fuel prices, says John Casesa, managing partner at consultancy Casesa Shapiro Group.

One strategy has been to globalize. But few car makers are truly global. Ford Motor and GM have big positions in North America and Europe, but these are low-growth.

Emerging markets are the next big thing, with China alone expected to account for almost half of incremental vehicle sales by 2024, says Casesa Shapiro. But profits won't be easy, given China's fragmented industry and price-conscious buyers.

As a whole, however, low returns mean the industry needs to take capital out of the production process. That should mean mergers. But few will want to risk repeating Daimler's experience with Chrysler. Technology-sharing joint ventures are more likely, with Toyota Motor and Hyundai Motor particularly attractive partners, says Goldman.

Meanwhile, Ford shifted from the model of regional engineering fiefdoms to cost-saving, unified vehicle platforms sold world-wide. That sort of self-help will be critical. Despite structural weaknesses, the industry must accommodate the demands of climate-change legislation, changing vehicle tastes and new entrants, like China and India exporters. Detroit 2020 promises to be a very different show, perhaps with fewer exhibitors. Hopefully for Detroit, that would result from consolidation, rather than merely the real action having moved elsewhere in the world.

WSJ
EDIT What grabbed me is global capacity 90 million, sales 62 million. That's 45% excess capacity.
I read elsewhere that VW, Hyundai and Subaru are gaining. Some of the other companies have to go, but there will be lots more tax dollars thrown at them on the way down.
Last edited by Keith_McClary on Mon 11 Jan 2010, 13:42:21, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby Novus » Mon 11 Jan 2010, 06:00:46

Did you see the cars they are showing this year? It is mostly all gas guzzlers from GM. Turbo charged this, V8 powered that, 400 horse power here, 500 horse power there. When will these idiots ever get a clue? They should have been allowed to go under. Stupid Stupid Stupid.
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby shortonsense » Mon 11 Jan 2010, 10:43:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Novus', 'D')id you see the cars they are showing this year? It is mostly all gas guzzlers from GM. Turbo charged this, V8 powered that, 400 horse power here, 500 horse power there. When will these idiots ever get a clue? They should have been allowed to go under. Stupid Stupid Stupid.


Between the Volt and the Leaf, I see hope!! Plus, gasoline is still plentiful, so those who want 400HP can buy it and use it.

But yes, the two domestics should be history. As a US taxpayer I don't really want to own car companies which build cars people don't want to buy.
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby Tanada » Mon 11 Jan 2010, 14:02:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')ord Motor Vehicles have emerged winners at the Detroit Auto Show winning the title “North American Car and Truck of the Year”. The jury which decided about the twin honors consisted of 49 journalists from around dozen newspapers, online publications, magazines, freelance writers and editors. Ford created a history by becoming the only company to win the honors in both the categories of Car and Truck in 17 years of the award history. In the car category it was their Fusion Hybrid model and in truck group it was the Transit Connect a Euro – designed small commercial van, remodeled to suit the American market.
LINK

Once again proving that a company that keeps its freedom to design its own vehicles is better off than a government controlled company.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Alfred Tennyson', 'W')e are not now that strength which in old days
Moved earth and heaven, that which we are, we are;
One equal temper of heroic hearts,
Made weak by time and fate, but strong in will
To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby Keith_McClary » Thu 08 Apr 2010, 01:53:12

This Is Progress? GM Loses $4.3B, Needs $12.3B to Fund Its Pension
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')eneral Motors is out of bankruptcy but the troubled car giant still can't turn a profit. The company lost $4.3 billion in its first six months since emerging from bankruptcy. GM Chief Financial Officer Christopher P. Liddell is confident the road ahead will be smoother, saying "there's a chance of achieving profitability in 2010."

Let's hope so. The U.S. government owns 61% of the company.

GM is also struggling with its pension obligations; a large portion of GM's loss was due to a settlement with the United Workers Automobile Workers union over retiree health care liabilities.

According to a report by the Government Accountability Office, GM will need to add $12.3 billion into its pension fund by 2014. If GM and Chrysler (which is in the hole $2.6 billion) terminate their pensions, the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation – funded by, you know who - would then become responsible for as much as $14.5 billion in unfunded liabilities.
GM needs the economy to recover while the price of oil stays low.
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby timmac » Thu 08 Apr 2010, 02:04:04

Most companies coming out of BK usually ends up better and stronger, but GM comes out of BK still billions in the red and needs 12 billion to help with pension ??.

This might sound stupid but they might be better off just shutting down..
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby Ludi » Thu 08 Apr 2010, 12:27:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('timmac', 'M')ost companies coming out of BK usually ends up better and stronger, but GM comes out of BK still billions in the red and needs 12 billion to help with pension ??.

This might sound stupid but they might be better off just shutting down..



But that would be admitting failure and that is UnAmerican! 8O
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby efarmer » Thu 08 Apr 2010, 19:18:13

Spontaneous deceleration, the government pays you, spontaneous acceleration,
you pay the government.

Simple.
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GM pays back loans.

Postby Maddog78 » Wed 21 Apr 2010, 15:05:06

http://ca.news.finance.yahoo.com/s/2104 ... -sign.html

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')ETROIT - General Motors Co. has repaid the US$8.1 billion in loans it got from the U.S. and Canadian governments, a move its CEO says is a sign automaker is on the road to recovery.

GM CEO Whitacre announced the loan paybacks - US$8.4 billion including interest - Wednesday at the company's Fairfax Assembly Plant in Kansas City, Kansas.

"GM is able to repay the taxpayers in full, with interest, ahead of schedule, because more customers are buying vehicles like the Chevrolet Malibu and Buick LaCrosse we build here in Fairfax," he said.

"We are now building some of the best cars, trucks, and crossovers we have ever built, and customers are taking note. Our dealers are increasing their sales, we are investing in our plants, and we are restoring and creating jobs."

GM had made about $2 billion in loan payments to the U.S. government and $384 million to Canada in December and March and had promised to repay the full loans by June. But company officials have said its cash flow, mainly from the sales of newer models, has been better than expected, allowing it to make the remaining $5.8 billion in payments early - about $1.1 billion to Export Development Canada and another $4.7 billion to the U.S. Treasury Department.

Whitacre also announced that GM is investing $257 million in the Kansas factory and the Detroit-Hamtramck plant, both of which will build the next generation of the midsize Chevrolet Malibu.

GM got a total of $52 billion from the U.S. government and $9.5 billion from the Canadian and Ontario governments as it went through bankruptcy protection last year. The U.S. considered as a loan $6.7 billion of the aid, while the Canadian governments held $1.4 billion in loans.

snip..........................
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby Keith_McClary » Wed 16 Jun 2010, 18:20:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')url=http://news.therecord.com/Business/article/730082]GM withdraws applications for EU aid to Opel[/url]

BERLIN — General Motors Co. said Wednesday that it is withdrawing applications for some 1.8 billion euro ($2.2 billion US) in European government aid to its Opel and Vauxhall units and will fund their restructuring itself.
...
In Detroit, GM spokesperson Tom Wilkinson said the decision not to seek European aid means U.S. and Canadian government dollars will be used to help restructure Opel.
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby Keith_McClary » Sat 24 Jul 2010, 02:34:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')url=http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE66M03120100723]GM plans to file for IPO during week of August 16: sources[/url]

(Reuters) - General Motors Co GM.UL plans to file its registration for an initial public offering during the week of August 16, just after the expected date for its second quarter results, according to two people with direct knowledge of the preparations.
A GM filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission would be the first step toward an IPO to reduce the U.S. government's ownership in the automaker after a $50 billion bailout in 2009.

By filing with the SEC in August, GM is aiming to complete its IPO before the November U.S. elections, according to the sources, who asked not to be named because the closed-door preparations remain confidential.
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby Keith_McClary » Thu 11 Nov 2010, 03:26:09

GM posts $2B profit as IPO nears
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')img]http://www.cbc.ca/gfx/images/news/topstories/2010/07/22/general-motors306x172.jpg[/img]
GM, whose headquarters are shown here, plans to raise $10 billion US in its forthcoming initial public offering. Stock prices will have to rise substantially for governments to make back what they forked over in bailouts, though. (Paul Sancya/Associated Press)

IPO will be Nov. 18
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby gollum » Thu 11 Nov 2010, 10:20:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Novus', 'D')id you see the cars they are showing this year? It is mostly all gas guzzlers from GM. Turbo charged this, V8 powered that, 400 horse power here, 500 horse power there. When will these idiots ever get a clue? They should have been allowed to go under. Stupid Stupid Stupid.



In all fairness, yes GM in the past failed to build good quality small efficient cars. However they built the cars that Americans wanted and that used fuel subsidized through our military involvement in the middle east. Having looked at both the Volt and the Cruze our next vehicle will be a GM. In these times I consider it unsightly and unpatriotic to not support American jobs and workers.
I would actually commend GM right now for putting money in to these projects during a time or relatively low fuel prices. The public absolutely demanded SUVs and trucks the past decade, what else were the car makers supposed to do?
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby Lore » Thu 11 Nov 2010, 12:42:53

The auto industry is under a slight pause in what inevitably will be a spiral downward. Boom and bust oil shocks will whipsaw the future buyer into near stupefaction. At which point they will buy only the least amount of transportation that suits their limited budget. In time that may end up just being a bicycle, a horse or foot power.

It makes little sense in terms of valuable energy spent, either fossil fuel or electric, to drive a couple hundred pounds of person down the road encased in a ton of vehicle. The only thing that will keep the relics of this industry going is the fact that as a country the U.S. is so spread out and dependent on a network of roads to supply its citizens with the necessities of life.
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby Keith_McClary » Thu 11 Nov 2010, 13:52:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gollum', 'I')n all fairness, yes GM in the past failed to build good quality small efficient cars. However they built the cars that Americans wanted and that used fuel subsidized through our military involvement in the middle east. Having looked at both the Volt and the Cruze our next vehicle will be a GM. In these times I consider it unsightly and unpatriotic to not support American jobs and workers.

Here's a song for you, though the tune's imported.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ack In A US Made Car - Bob Rivers
(Back In The USSR-Beatles)

Ohhh...
Used to drive a Honda C-I-V-I-C
Didn't sleep a wink at night
Auto-workers laid-off in Detroit last week
Man it's such a dreadful sight

I'm back in a US made car
You know how lazy we are, boys
Back in a US made car

Power steering, power windows, seats and brakes
It's bigger than the Astrodome
Drive it under 50 or the back-end shakes
God I hope it gets me home

I'm back in a US made car
You know how lazy we are, boys
Back in a US
Back in the Do-Less
Back in a US made car

Those foreign cars really knock me out
They leave Chevettes behind
They cruise right past all the screams and shouts
From GM unemployment li-li
Li-li-li-li-li-li-lines

Oh tow that Iacocca monster to my house
You didn't have to twist my arm
It's my patriotic duty to be helping out
Can't let the big three buy the farm

I'm back in US made car
A gallon don't go too far boy
Back in a US made car
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby Maddog78 » Thu 11 Nov 2010, 16:20:00

My co. vehicle is a 2006 GMC pickup. It only has 37,000 miles.
The tranny blew up the other day. When it was towed in they found axle seals and power steering leaks, too.
Only cost $5200 to fix. 8O
Good thing it isn't my personal vehicle.
Maybe it was just a lemon?


I think I'll go with Ford next time.
They have an engine with over 400 hp now. :twisted:
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby radon » Thu 11 Nov 2010, 18:44:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gollum', ' ')In these times I consider it unsightly and unpatriotic to not support American jobs and workers.


Some 15 to 20 years ago we had a similar situation in Russia with our uncompetitive post-Soviet industries, including auto-makers. Western economic advisers then flocked in the country to implement the market reforms, declared these industries "moribund", and prescribed what they called "shock therapy" in order to supposedly revive/restructure these industries. This had disastrous effect on these industries, with few notable exceptions relating to those fields that were spared from that therapy, like certain defense sectors and a government-favored automaker. More importantly, that therapy devastated many lives of people working in these industries, contributing heavily to the horrible post-Soviet demographics (plummeting longevity, widespread alcohol abuse etc.). Those who opposed the "shock therapy" on the exact basis that this was "unsightly and unpatriotic" were condemned as incurable and untouchable "commies". From the ethical perspective, the sheer human suffering that resulted from those policies was presumed to be justified on the grounds that the people who were intent on building communism (i.e. the Russian population in general) were anyway inherently deficient on the face of the history, and as such deserved that suffering.

By the way, the Russian drivers joke that Chevrolets are an American challenge to Lada. Lada is the most popular Russian domestically made car, and is an object of endless mockery on the part of the Russian auto-fans.

I am not sure about terming things "patriotic/unpatriotic", but from the experience of ours described above, not to support (or at least not to attempt to support) the jobs and workers is certainly unsightly, and perhaps not particularly humanly.
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby copious.abundance » Thu 11 Nov 2010, 22:29:32

LINK
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')ov. 11, 2010
Detroit comeback?: Ford, GM profits both top Toyota

General Motors earning bigger profits than Toyota? Sounds like 1980, not 2010. But it's happening.

Of course, Ford is out in front of both of them. But it was only two years ago that the notion of Toyota being stopped on its march to the top of the automotive heap looked inevitable. By contrast, Ford, General Motors and Chrysler were Detroit basket cases.

Now, GM has reported third-quarter net income of $2.2 billion, bringing its earnings this year to $4.8 billion. Bloomberg makes the comparison that shows it is well above the $4.5 billion profit by Toyota. And Ford has hit it out of the park: $6.4 billion in the nine months ended Sept. 30, already more than doubling last year's profit of $2.7 billion. Honda Motor Co.'s $5.3 billion in profit is the second-highest this year.

[...]
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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Re: GM, Ford, and Chrysler Death Watch Thread

Postby copious.abundance » Thu 11 Nov 2010, 22:35:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lore', 'T')he auto industry is under a slight pause in what inevitably will be a spiral downward. Boom and bust oil shocks will whipsaw the future buyer into near stupefaction. At which point they will buy only the least amount of transportation that suits their limited budget. In time that may end up just being a bicycle, a horse or foot power.

It makes little sense in terms of valuable energy spent, either fossil fuel or electric, to drive a couple hundred pounds of person down the road encased in a ton of vehicle. The only thing that will keep the relics of this industry going is the fact that as a country the U.S. is so spread out and dependent on a network of roads to supply its citizens with the necessities of life.

:lol:
LINK
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Trucks outsell cars by widest margin in 5 years
(AP) – Nov 4, 2010

DETROIT (AP) — Trucks outsold cars by the highest margin in nearly five years in October, a sign the economy may be starting to improve.

These trucks aren't the tractor-trailers that haul freight. They're pickups, SUVs, minivans and smaller SUVs. The category — known as light-duty trucks — made up 54 percent of all new U.S. vehicle sales last month, compared with 46 percent for cars, according to industry tracker J.D. Power and Associates. It's the biggest difference since December 2005, when trucks accounted for 56 percent of sales.

Strong truck sales make economists giddy because they mean people are willing to spend money again. Small business owners feel comfortable enough to buy a new pickup truck or delivery van for their company; and regular folks are confident enough in their jobs and finances to take on beefy SUV payments.

[...]
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
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