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How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

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How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby Carlhole » Thu 11 Feb 2010, 18:14:26

The Atlantic

The Great Recession may be over, but this era of high joblessness is probably just beginning. Before it ends, it will likely change the life course and character of a generation of young adults. It will leave an indelible imprint on many blue-collar men. It could cripple marriage as an institution in many communities. It may already be plunging many inner cities into a despair not seen for decades. Ultimately, it is likely to warp our politics, our culture, and the character of our society for years to come.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'â')€œWe haven’t seen anything like this before: a really deep recession combined with a really extended period, maybe as much as eight years, all told, of highly elevated unemployment,” Shierholz told me. “We’re about to see a big national experiment on stress.”


Joblessness will hit men, and particularly young men (and of those, black males) much harder.

Probably, we'll have to put them to work building prisons because the nihilism will simply be too tempting.

More likely, China and India will export much of their huge excess male populations to the US so that the prisons can be built here more cost effectively and with cheap, better educated, and more conscientious labor.
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby Armageddon » Thu 11 Feb 2010, 18:42:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he Great Recession may be over



It has barely started. They just papered over it temporarily. It will be resuming soon.
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby heroineworshipper » Thu 11 Feb 2010, 18:45:08

Better get good at playing Farmville.
People first, then things, then dollars.
There will be enslavement, cannibalism, & zombie invasions.
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby Rod_Cloutier » Thu 11 Feb 2010, 20:46:36

I lost my job due to a work injury in Nov. 2008. After months of physiotherapy, I have had literaly 20 job interviews with no luck in finding replacement employment. After exhausing my credit cards, line of credit ect, and after missing 6 months of mortgage payments to the bank on the house, I finally sold the house before it went to foreclosure. I took the money from the house and paid off all my debts.

So now I am debt free, but in a rental situation again. Still not having employment I had to go onto the public welfare. This has helped, but I forsee a future where all kinds of entitlement programs and social safety nets are quickly unravelled. It will be nice while it lasts or until I can find employment.

I went to a job interview last week where I went into a trucking company for a 'entry level position'. It was in a rundown building underneath a run down 100 year old Bridge. When I arrived they first had me wait at reception for 15 minutes (standing without a chair), then the guy came out of his office telling me he had sent me an e-mail saying he cancelled the interview- but he guessed I didn't check my e-mail before I came. I then had the worst 6 minute job interview in my life. The guy was wearing heavy cologne, had a gold chain with a bronze medallion around his neck and looked like a mafia guy off the 'Soprano's'. His personality was the epitome of this. He didn't like me and I certainly didn't like him, I couldn't get out of his office fast enough. I was so upset when I got home I had to take a strong drink to dull down the humiliation and despair,

Its hard to believe in any kind of future when 'mafia' style employers are the only ones doing any hiring.

I saw Michael Ruppert's collapse movie yesterday. He is of the opinion that the only thing worth hoarding and stocking up on is seeds. Seeds can lie dormant for years, and unlike hoarded food, people are less likely to shoot you to get your stockpile. Seeds could be the hallmark barting commodity of the future. What little money I have surplus, I am buying up bulk seeds as a hedge against economic and social collapse.

Jobless recovery hides the reality that the new jobs that are being created are not the middle class stable jobs that will enhance social stability for society at large in the future. I think the existing situation, in the recovery after a financial collapse, is a forewarning of far, far, worse things to come!
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Thu 11 Feb 2010, 21:39:35

Very sorry to hear that Repent. Might I make a suggestion? I was in a similar situation years ago and it worked for me. Buy a motorhome. Or build one. Even a little van will do if that's all you can afford. Then get moving, go where the work is. Usually in any recession/ depression there are still seasonal high demand areas. I know in the USA it is often difficult to compete with illegal workers for farm jobs, this is unfortunate, but I wouldn't let it stop me. Often the big farms need cheap labour for harvest work, but will pay a little more to the tractor drivers and overseers. A relative of mine over there just bought himself a small snow plough and has built up in the last 2 winters to be quite successfull. I don't know where you are in the States, but I certainly wouldn't be staying in a city waiting for the axe to fall. Sometimes it is necessary to sacrifice in order to get. Having to sacrifice home and familiarity for the sake of being able to see at least some light at the end of the tunnel is the choice I would make. Another advantage with this idea is that you can get out and check out some of the 'transition towns' and alternative communities; which may end up being much better places to be than any city.
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby Rod_Cloutier » Thu 11 Feb 2010, 22:06:20

Seagypsy: Sorry if I was venting a little bit. I live in a transportation city. 7 National trucking companies have their head offices here, as well as rail and intermodal companies. I've worked my whole life in transportation and I don't know how to do anything else, sooner or later something will come up here.

I also have 2 mentally challenced kids at home, so I can't just get up and move. I have to worry about their educations, and 'special needs' provisions before I can think of myself.

My point however was that joblessness, removes the dignity and integrity of hard work, and that is something that is hard to live with. In the future, as joblessness spreads expect of a lot of people sinking into despair from the loss of purpose.

Think also of all those workaholics who are working 15 hour days, saving for a rainy day and a utopian retirement, who are going to wake up one day (after hyperinflation), and realize all their work was for nothing. Then we will have a revolution of anger, frustration and grief and that's when things are going to get really ugly and scary. Those who have the most to lose, have the farthest to fall, and they will be far worse off than someone like myself, who is accustomed to doing without.
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby SeaGypsy » Thu 11 Feb 2010, 22:15:40

Wouldn't be Cleveland by chance? (No answer required!)

I gypsied around with 2 step kids for 6 years. We lived in 5 states and the kids went to 17 different schools. It didn't do them any harm at all. Stability is overrated IMO. When their mum and I split, I asked them which was their favorite school and went back there, got them a house to rent nearby. These kids have chatmates all over Australia.
I know this may be different if the kids are seriously challenged; so please don't take offense. Whatever happens I wish you all the best, I'm sure others here do likewise.
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby Roy » Fri 12 Feb 2010, 08:58:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hatever happens I wish you all the best, I'm sure others here do likewise.


Second that. I am sorry you're having such a rough time. I live on the front lines as well, in a former manufacturing area that has seen the majority of the blue collar jobs go overseas.

What's left is rapidly deteriorating. Even the super walmart here is laying people off. They used to be the employer of last resort, and many former skilled mfg workers from my company work there or used to. For less money and they have crappy hours. I feel bad for them too.

The only thing separating me from them is my education and the fact that the type of work I do either can't or hasn't yet been outsourced.

I had two interviews last week, and both interviewers told me they had received over 100 resumes (150 in one case) for a single position. It's definitely a buyers market right now. Like Seagypsy said, flexibilty seems to be the best asset a person can have.

Best of luck and don't give up!

That article is very long, detailed, and insightful. Good find Sir Knight!
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby ian807 » Fri 12 Feb 2010, 11:21:54

Guy, I feel for you. I've been there.

These days I'm doing a little better and have rental properties and tenants. They're where you are now. What's worked for some of them (not all) is hiring themselves out for hauling, cleaning, delivery and in one guy's case, computer repair. It's not much money, but it's honest work and usually all cash. Not much, but it keeps the wolf from the door.

They all advertise on Craigslist, which is free, but you have to do it every day or your ad sinks to the bottom and out of sight.

Hope this helps. Take care, man.
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 12 Feb 2010, 15:35:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Repent', '
')My point however was that joblessness, removes the dignity and integrity of hard work, and that is something that is hard to live with.



There is certainly a lot of work to do, which may be its own reward, for instance, growing food.

Joblessness in many cases = lack of imagination, maybe.

But then, I've never had a job I could count on, so I don't identify with the idea of working 15 hours a day for someone else, and then losing that one job and feeling life is over. It's a completely foreign way of life to mine. :?:
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby Ayoob » Fri 12 Feb 2010, 16:07:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Repent', '
')My point however was that joblessness, removes the dignity and integrity of hard work, and that is something that is hard to live with.



There is certainly a lot of work to do, which may be its own reward, for instance, growing food.

Joblessness in many cases = lack of imagination, maybe.

But then, I've never had a job I could count on, so I don't identify with the idea of working 15 hours a day for someone else, and then losing that one job and feeling life is over. It's a completely foreign way of life to mine. :?:


I guess if you've lived that way then unemployment must not be a problem.

Well, that certainly takes the weight off!
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby Ludi » Fri 12 Feb 2010, 16:55:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ayoob', '
')I guess if you've lived that way then unemployment must not be a problem.

Well, that certainly takes the weight off!



No, it's certainly a problem for people who are used to a predictable life. Just saying, it is hard for me to identify with it. It's hard for me to identify with a mindset that says "things have changed therefore I will sit down and feel hopeless for the rest of my life because things aren't going the way I expected them to." And they get paid to sit there and feel hopeless, apparently (unemployment compensation).
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby culicomorpha » Sat 13 Feb 2010, 01:05:51

Well, I'm partly tempted to leave this one alone, but I can't resist...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')any working women struggle with the idea of partners who aren’t breadwinners. “We’ve got this image of Archie Bunker sitting at home, grumbling and acting out,” says Kathryn Edin, a professor of public policy at Harvard, and an expert on family life. “And that does happen. But you also have women in whole communities thinking, ‘This guy’s nothing.’”

I have mixed feelings about this observation. On the one hand, I'm bothered by the fact that these women seem to only value men for their money. On the other hand, for men who beat their wives and otherwise treat them like crap, they are nothing. And really, the patriarchal privilege in the US - in particular - has gotten out of hand, and it's about time women start kicking their butts to the curb if they don't have anything to offer. Perhaps this is an example of an enantiodromia where the pendulum swings back to female-centered societies, like in the days of the pagans?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')ncome inequality usually falls during a recession, and the economist and happiness expert Andrew Clark says that trend typically provides some emotional salve to the poor and the middle class. (Surveys, lab experiments, and brain readings all show that, for better or worse, schadenfreude is a powerful psychological force: at any fixed level of income, people are happier when the income of others is reduced.) But income inequality hasn’t shrunk in this recession. In 2007–08, the most recent year for which data is available, it widened.

One of the best pieces of evidence for systematic corruption and a rigged economic system I've come across lately.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')f necessity, those solutions must include measures to bolster the economy in the short term, and to clear the way for faster long-term growth; to support the jobless today, and to ensure that we are creating the kinds of jobs (and the kinds of skills within the population) that can allow for a more broadly shared prosperity in the future. A few of the solutions—like more-aggressive support for the unemployed, and employer tax credits or other subsidies to get people back to work faster—are straightforward and obvious, or at least they should be.

Sounds an awful lot like BAU. And since it's largely BAU that got us here, it's almost impossible to follow the logic. I interpret this suggestion as: keep people working for the sake of keeping them working. Seems rather like circular logic to me. Perhaps it never occurred to the author that most of what passes for work nowadays is meaningless, ecologically destructive, offers little in the way of security, and instead is simply a method to keep people from going out in the streets and burning down government buildings and pitchforking the rich. I think it's only a matter of time before that starts happening though. I don't know how many guards and guns they have, but I don't think it's enough...
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby mos6507 » Sat 13 Feb 2010, 10:32:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('culicomorpha', '
')simply a method to keep people from going out in the streets and burning down government buildings and pitchforking the rich.


You'd be hard pressed to prove that theory.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('culicomorpha', '
')I don't know how many guards and guns they have, but I don't think it's enough...


Modern big-corp capitalism is an economic model that everyone has bought into. The poor envy the rich and powerful as much as they resent them. Until the downtrodden can come up with a better model, engaging in a Rodney King style riot won't accomplish anything, and could actually make matters worse.

I mean, really. This class warfare is about as intellectually mature as a kid having a tantrum because his brother got the cookie instead of him.
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby MarkJ » Sat 13 Feb 2010, 11:09:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')The weight of this recession has fallen most heavily upon men, who’ve suffered roughly three-quarters of the 8 million job losses since the beginning of 2008. Male-dominated industries (construction, finance, manufacturing) have been particularly hard-hit, while sectors that disproportionately employ women (education, health care) have held up relatively well. In November, 19.4 percent of all men in their prime working years, 25 to 54, did not have jobs, the highest figure since the Bureau of Labor Statistics began tracking the statistic in 1948. At the time of this writing, it looks possible that within the next few months, for the first time in U.S. history, women will hold a majority of the country’s jobs.

In this respect, the recession has merely intensified a long-standing trend. Broadly speaking, the service sector, which employs relatively more women, is growing, while manufacturing, which employs relatively more men, is shrinking. The net result is that men have been contributing a smaller and smaller share of family income.

“Traditional” marriages, in which men engage in paid work and women in homemaking, have long been in eclipse. Particularly in blue-collar families, where many husbands and wives work staggered shifts, men routinely handle a lot of the child care today. Still, the ease with which gender bends in modern marriages should not be overestimated. When men stop doing paid work—and even when they work less than their wives—marital conflict usually follows.

Last March, the National Domestic Violence Hotline received almost half again as many calls as it had one year earlier; as was the case in the Depression, unemployed men are vastly more likely to beat their wives or children. More common than violence, though, is a sort of passive-aggressiveness. In Identity Economics, the economists George Akerloff and Rachel Kranton find that among married couples, men who aren’t working at all, despite their free time, do only 37 percent of the housework, on average. And some men, apparently in an effort to guard their masculinity, actually do less housework after becoming unemployed.

Many working women struggle with the idea of partners who aren’t breadwinners. “We’ve got this image of Archie Bunker sitting at home, grumbling and acting out,” says Kathryn Edin, a professor of public policy at Harvard, and an expert on family life. “And that does happen. But you also have women in whole communities thinking, ‘This guy’s nothing.’” Edin’s research in low-income communities shows, for instance, that most working women whose partner stayed home to watch the kids—while very happy with the quality of child care their children’s father provided—were dissatisfied with their relationship overall. “These relationships were often filled with conflict,” Edin told me. Even today, she says, men’s identities are far more defined by their work than women’s, and both men and women become extremely uncomfortable when men’s work goes away.


This part is similar to The Breadwinners Wear Lipstick thread.
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby Ludi » Sat 13 Feb 2010, 12:37:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('culicomorpha', 'a') method to keep people from going out in the streets and burning down government buildings and pitchforking the rich. I think it's only a matter of time before that starts happening though.



A matter of time...like, what - months? years? decades?

I would be amazed if there are any riots over lack of work in the US in this day and age. We're not that into rioting here anymore.

People keep predicting uprisings among the US working class. I'm not seeing it.
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby mos6507 » Sat 13 Feb 2010, 13:03:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '
')People keep predicting uprisings among the US working class. I'm not seeing it.


It will certainly come with hyperinflation. I can't think of anything more infuriating than seeing one's money lose its purchasing power before your eyes.
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby Ludi » Sat 13 Feb 2010, 13:10:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '
')People keep predicting uprisings among the US working class. I'm not seeing it.


It will certainly come with hyperinflation. I can't think of anything more infuriating than seeing one's money lose its purchasing power before your eyes.



So you'll be rioting?
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Re: How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America

Unread postby culicomorpha » Sat 13 Feb 2010, 17:02:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('culicomorpha', '
')simply a method to keep people from going out in the streets and burning down government buildings and pitchforking the rich.


You'd be hard pressed to prove that theory.


It's not really a theory as much as an acknowledgment that the tension and stress induced by the massive inequality will have to be relieved eventually. Either that happens in a slow, progressive manner, or it happens abruptly.

Or are you saying that people will accept being starved to death and just lay down and die?

I think my reason for believing in an abrupt readjustment comes from observing the massive degree of passive-aggressive tendencies in this country. That is to say, everything looks all fine and dandy one day, and then the next TSHTF. example: postal workers. So I'm not particularly convinced by the arguments that there is no evidence of people freaking out. As Ilargi at the Automatic Earth is fond of saying: "everything works fine, until it doesn't."
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