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THE Jimmy Carter Thread (merged)

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Unread postby Aaron » Wed 04 May 2005, 06:56:03

The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Unread postby Overlyhonest » Wed 04 May 2005, 07:06:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'n')teresting that Carter was making the same predictions the PO crowd is today, and that basically none of them came true in the time frame he indicated. Why not? How can we be sure the new batch of predictions is more accurate?

If I was to bet I would say that he understood human nature so made it a clear and present danger.
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Unread postby Aaron » Wed 04 May 2005, 07:33:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Grimnir', 'I')nteresting that Carter was making the same predictions the PO crowd is today, and that basically none of them came true in the time frame he indicated. Why not? How can we be sure the new batch of predictions is more accurate?

OPEC's embargo caused a recession which destroyed demand for oil for nearly a decade.
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Unread postby Doly » Wed 04 May 2005, 08:15:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Grimnir', 'I')nteresting that Carter was making the same predictions the PO crowd is today, and that basically none of them came true in the time frame he indicated. Why not? How can we be sure the new batch of predictions is more accurate?

Don't trust the president. Trust your brains. Read Campbell and think.
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Unread postby EnemyCombatant » Wed 04 May 2005, 08:20:50

Al Gore, a personal friend of Jimmy Carter, outlined in his book Earth In The Balance 1992 a Global Marshall Plan for saving the planet and creating a better life for everyone.
He is still going around the country doing speeches, mostly at universities, regarding the environment.

http://www.algoresupportcenter.com/eitb3.html
http://www.algoresupportcenter.com/eitb1.html
http://www.algoresupportcenter.com/eitb2.html
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Unread postby holmes » Wed 04 May 2005, 09:23:18

Although I dont agree with some of J. Carters more "liberal" stances he is a good man and had the vision that might have saved this nation form crumbling. I would have voted for him and would now. But the greed and filth took the wheel. But lets hear it for Jimmy. His words are prophetic. And still idiots in this country are fighting gas taxes that could help lead to a softer landing and conservation. pretty damn sad state this country is in. The coffers are getting bare. america is NOT the land of infinite resources anymore.
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Unread postby Grimnir » Wed 04 May 2005, 09:38:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Grimnir', 'I')nteresting that Carter was making the same predictions the PO crowd is today, and that basically none of them came true in the time frame he indicated. Why not? How can we be sure the new batch of predictions is more accurate?

OPEC's embargo caused a recession which destroyed demand for oil for nearly a decade.

Yes this is the stock answer; but demand in the 70's was much lower than it is today. It doesn't add up; the amount that was "conserved" due to the OPEC embargos wouldn't last long in a world with 90's demand levels, but we got all the way through the 90's and at least halfway through the 00's with barely a hitch. I think it's pretty clear that they underestimated how much was left to find in places like (eg) the Gulf of Mexico, and how much extraction techniques could be improved. Now; just because people made mistakes before doesn't mean they're making them again now, but I still think it makes a good object lesson and shows that you need to be careful when extrapolating present trends into the future.
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Unread postby BiGG » Wed 04 May 2005, 09:40:38

Jimmy Carters speech is 25 years old and coming from one who doesn’t have the slightest clue regarding the present world. His speech tells US all about how “God” loves US! He doesn’t have anymore of an idea of whether some alleged god loves US anymore than he has a clue regarding how modern science eliminates his fear-mongering regarding energy.
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Unread postby aldente » Wed 04 May 2005, 10:05:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BiGG', ' ')He doesn’t have anymore of an idea of whether some alleged god loves US anymore than he has a clue regarding how modern science eliminates his fear-mongering regarding energy.

What exactlely do you state here? That technology takes care of it all? You seem the one who has no clue!
This speech gives good insight about the current political situation. Here is a figure that speaks out, as a result has been voted out with the opposition aware that it is better say what people want to hear, rather than what is the case.
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Unread postby FoxV » Wed 04 May 2005, 10:17:00

just listend to the MP3 of the speech.
its amazing how the issues and arguments are pretty much exactly the same then as they are now. Clearly all of this is nothing new and our problems are simply because the powers that be choose to ignore the signs.
I wonder if you play Bush's energy speeches backwards this is what you'll hear
Angry yet?
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Unread postby BiGG » Wed 04 May 2005, 10:35:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('albente', '
')What exactlely do you state here? That technology takes care of it all? You seem the one who has no clue!
This speech gives good insight about the current political situation. Here is a figure that speaks out, as a result has been voted out with the opposition aware that it is better say what people want to hear, rather than what is the case.


I don’t have a clue here? The current political situation is exactly the same as the political situation has always been and surly technology is taking care of things Jimmy Carter had zero knowledge of regarding energy! I invite you to read these articles showing technology concerning cheap energy is moving forward at near light-speed like everything else is Geobioreactors * Energy Independence: Biomass * World's First Biomass-To-Ethanol Plant * 'Tree-power' Great Current Energy Source * Biomass Waste: Replacement For Gasoline * Microbial Fuel Cell * Cheap Biodiesel * United States Department of Energy * Great Briton

Add in the trillions of dollars going into these programs around the world right now and the immense amount of talent we currently have using super computers that can do more calculations in less than three seconds then the most brilliant scientist could do in his entire life, and we have much more to look forward to then simple 25 year old doom & gloom. I don’t have a clue here? It appears those listed on the links above do showing viable low cost alternatives to antiquated oil problems. Many people are going to get very rich being involved in the new era just like they always have.
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Unread postby holmes » Wed 04 May 2005, 10:50:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BiGG', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('albente', '
')What exactlely do you state here? That technology takes care of it all? You seem the one who has no clue!
This speech gives good insight about the current political situation. Here is a figure that speaks out, as a result has been voted out with the opposition aware that it is better say what people want to hear, rather than what is the case.


I don’t have a clue here? The current political situation is exactly the same as the political situation has always been and surly technology is taking care of things Jimmy Carter had zero knowledge of regarding energy! I invite you to read these articles showing technology concerning cheap energy is moving forward at near light-speed like everything else is Geobioreactors * Energy Independence: Biomass * World's First Biomass-To-Ethanol Plant * 'Tree-power' Great Current Energy Source * Biomass Waste: Replacement For Gasoline * Microbial Fuel Cell * Cheap Biodiesel * United States Department of Energy * Great Briton

Add in the trillions of dollars going into these programs around the world right now and the immense amount of talent we currently have using super computers that can do more calculations in less than three seconds then the most brilliant scientist could do in his entire life, and we have much more to look forward to then simple 25 year old doom & gloom. I don’t have a clue here? It appears those listed on the links above do showing viable low cost alternatives to antiquated oil problems. Many people are going to get very rich being involved in the new era just like they always have.


LOL. Your utopia will have MASSIVE COSTS. Where is this infinite amount of capital and infrastruccture coming. Are we humans creating matter to produce more of this "Technology" are we now at the pooint now where natural resources arent producing our "Toys" anymore. Humans are creating matter now. We are saved. keep growing them numbers and that economy it will all just go smoothl. Better get that techno shit out there fast BIGGBOY. LOL. I have to laugh. Its scary. Well we just got done today with a discussion about this detachment. Fear mongering? I only see fear by folks searching for that utopia that is entirely dependent on GRADE A natural resources. Hello the chafe is left the weed is almost gone. LOL. all your solutions require more and more never ending amounts of land, energy, resources, food to feed the never ending growth of bodies. well hopefully we can cut populations down and maybe they might work with 20 million in the US. But what the hay. if it makes folks happy believing in sant aclaus, cool. Ive worked on biomass projects. they Need so much input for it to be worth anything you need pre contact population levels.
We dont need no stinking water or clean air. LOL. ethanol. The cost of that will be leaving your children and their children in a soiled shithole of cancer. The enviroemment will be shot and anything resembling a free healthy country will be gone. youll have to got MEXICO to get a ggo clean breath of air. Mexico for crying out load. Help us all. These will never be the answer. Sure make the profits. Thats all that amters at this point. I for one dont want to abe anywhere near these utopian solutions productions. UGGGHH.

{edited for language by MQ}
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Unread postby Leanan » Wed 04 May 2005, 11:05:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')es this is the stock answer; but demand in the 70's was much lower than it is today. It doesn't add up; the amount that was "conserved" due to the OPEC embargos wouldn't last long in a world with 90's demand levels, but we got all the way through the 90's and at least halfway through the 00's with barely a hitch.

Remember, they extrapolating from current trends. The problem wasn't really how much we were using, it was how fast the population was growing, and the standard of living was increasing. From the 1970s, they were looking at spiking energy demand over the next two or three decades.
It didn't happen, partly because of the oil embargos. It encouraged more energy efficient cars, homes, offices and industries. And it led the western nations to discourage the American way of life among developing nations. Though we didn't get much greener ourselves, we preached to other countries that they should. And many of them listened, banning cars with more than four cylinders, putting their money into public transportation rather than highways, etc.

But what they really didn't anticipate back in the '70s was that the population bomb would be diffused. All over the world, birth rates fell sharply from what they were in the '60s and '70s. Europe, South America, Africa, China, India...the only place they didn't drop sharply was the U.S., and that's mainly due to all the immigrants we take in. The combination of women's rights, birth control technology, and urbanization greatly reduced population growth in most other countries.
The other thing they didn't anticipate was that the gap between the haves the have-nots would widen into a chasm. They imagined that the rest of the world would catch up to the west, and therefore demand similar amounts of energy. It didn't happen. The rich got richer, the poor got poorer. It may be grossly unfair, but it's let the party go on a lot longer for those of us on the industrialized side of the divide.
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Unread postby aldente » Wed 04 May 2005, 11:50:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BiGG', 'J')immy Carters speech is 25 years old

BIGG, did you actually listen to the audio before you placed the post?
And holmes, don't get heated up too much. Give BIGG the credit that he found this forum, that at least speaks for him.
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The Carter Doctrine: The first oil warmonger

Unread postby bruin » Wed 04 May 2005, 13:10:47

Let's keep things straight here. You might hate Reagan/Bush I/Bush II, but Carter was the first to spell out an American policy of war for oil.

ON 23 January 1980, in his State of the Union Address, President Jimmy Carter announced a new American policy that came to be called the Carter Doctrine. Referring to the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, Mr. Carter warned that:

An attempt by an outside force to gain control of the Persian Gulf region will be regarded as an assault on the vital interests of the United States of America, and such an assault will be repelled by any means necessary, including military force.1
Last edited by Ferretlover on Mon 08 Aug 2011, 12:00:17, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Merged thread.
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Unread postby DomusAlbion » Wed 04 May 2005, 13:14:12

The Carter Doctrine is an extention of the policies set forth by Roosevelt near the end of WW II. But you're correct in that Carter clearly stated publicly what has been US policy since 1944.
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Unread postby Pops » Wed 04 May 2005, 13:29:32

I know everyone likes to point the finger across “the aisle”, red / blue and all that BS, but you are right, the energy wars are nothing new.

IIRC the Pentagon had the plans drawn up…
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Unread postby Geology_Guy » Wed 04 May 2005, 13:37:35

The Iranians have no use for Carter. They regard him as the enemy who invaded their land (the failed hostage rescue in the desert).
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Re: The Carter Doctrine: The first oil warmonger

Unread postby tb » Wed 04 May 2005, 13:41:20

[An attempt by an outside force to gain control of the Persian Gulf region will be regarded as an assault on the vital interests of the United States of America, and such an assault will be repelled by any means necessary, including military force.1[/quote]

That included the use of nuclear weapons. Read his memoirs "Keeping Faith." The part on energy will make your blood run cold.
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Unread postby bruin » Wed 04 May 2005, 14:50:54

It goes to show that neither political party would avoid conflict in the Persian Gulf to protect it's vital interests.

There's no way to excercise your right to vote to avoid a PO meltdown.

Good luck getting a 3rd party canidate in office.
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