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Huge Opportunity in Chinese Wind Turbine Manufacturer

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Re: Huge Opportunity in Chinese Wind Turbine Manufacturer

Unread postby Carlhole » Tue 22 Dec 2009, 09:07:03

Reuters

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')ANALYSIS - State funding fuels China's global push in wind, sun

HONG KONG (Reuters) - When A-Power Energy Generation Systems secured a deal to supply turbines for a U.S. wind farm project in October, the little-known Chinese firm had an ace up its sleeve to help it clinch the deal.

A-Power was armed with $1.5 billion in financing from state-run Chinese banks to fund the 600 megawatt project in Texas.

While global peers have limited access to cheap state loans, Chinese renewable energy firms are getting a boost from Beijing as they win clean technology projects around the world. Much of that is via low-interest loans from big state banks for their clients to finance their purchases.

This support is giving China's renewable energy firms an edge over Asian rivals such as India's Suzlon Energy, Japan Wind Development and Australia's Infigen Energy, as well as heavyweights like German polysilicon firm Wacker Chemie and Danish wind energy firm Vestas Wind.

"I don't think A-Power could have done this deal without access to cheap financing," said Jacob Kirkregaard, a research fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington D.C, who recently published a paper on wind energy.

"China is clearly the big kid on the block, no doubt about that," he said, referring to the state support for renewable energy.
Carlhole
 

Re: Huge Opportunity in Chinese Wind Turbine Manufacturer

Unread postby TheDude » Tue 22 Dec 2009, 09:22:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') see this stock as a kind of barometer of the level of DOOM that is actually believable.


Nice false dichotomy. Did you look at that photo gallery I linked to? Those people might not be DOOMED, but they are most certainly F%$%CKED.

China's Wind Power Plans Turn On Coal

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n Jiuquan, new coal-fired power plants with 13.6 million kilowatts of installed capacity — the same amount of energy generated by Chile in 2009 — will be added by 2020. The need to add baseload coal-fired power plants has the effect of reducing the clean benefits of wind power.

But the local economic planner, Wang Jianxin, chairman of the Jiuquan Development and Reform Commission, says adding more polluting coal-fired power plants is unavoidable if you want to be green.

"There's no such thing as a free lunch. We're trying to get the best benefit for the lowest cost. But nothing happens without a sacrifice, and this is a necessary cost," Wang says.

During a recent visit, only four of the farm's wind turbines had been hooked up to the grid, though more are being added every day. According to Caijing, an influential business and investigative magazine, one-third of the wind power generated in Yumen district is wasted.

And that is typical, with just 72 percent of China's total wind power capacity connected to the grid, according to data from the China Electricity Council. In many parts of China, the transmission network can't cope with the rapid growth in renewable energy. But Wang, the economic planner, says these are just teething problems.

"If someone who wanted to buy a car waited for roads to be built first, and road builders waited for enough cars to be bought before building a road, then nothing would ever happen," says Wang. "Here, sometimes the power stations are built faster than the grid, sometimes the grid is built faster."

The local government will spend almost $1.5 billion in the next year, laying just 450 miles of ultra-high voltage cables that will eventually deliver the electricity to populated areas. This will be part of the world's first large-scale ultra-high voltage grid.

But Charlie McElwee, an energy and environmental lawyer based in Shanghai, says the modernization of the grid system won't solve all the problems immediately.

"There are still going to be issues with the intermittent nature of wind energy, and it's going to take 15 years or so until the grid itself is in a position to handle these intermittent power sources without these coal-fired power sources built in the same vicinity," he says.
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Re: Huge Opportunity in Chinese Wind Turbine Manufacturer

Unread postby Carlhole » Tue 22 Dec 2009, 10:37:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', '[')url=http://www.scpr.org/news/2009/12/10/chinas-wind-power-plans-turn-on-coal/]China's Wind Power Plans Turn On Coal[/url]

Good article. I liked this part:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')onetheless, China is undergoing a green revolution, says Jonathan Woetzel of McKinsey, the consulting firm. He argues that having turbines blowing aimlessly in the wind isn't necessarily wasted effort — if your intent is to build an industry.

"The intent of the government is also not only that these farms are built and operated, but also that the equipment itself is Chinese-made and the technology is developed in China, and that ultimately it becomes a global industry, and that China will become the exporters of wind technology to the world," Woetzel says.

And to that end, China is succeeding. According to the Global Wind Energy Council, China has doubled its wind power capacity every year for the past five — this year adding more wind power than any other country — and it's on track to become the world's largest producer of wind turbines this year. Given the scale of China's ambitions, the sky really is the limit.


What false dichotomy? APWR's business plan runs contrary to Doomer thinking. You might reckon that the company can grow for a while before petroleum gets too expensive for it to operate. And coal, too, runs short. But then, you would have to make a prediction as to when this company's prospects suddenly becomes OBVIOUS to the stock market. Because there is ZERO fear of that anywhere that I can detect.

The stock market has a pretty good knack for predicting the future - and it quite approving of this little Chinese darling right now. There are no market fears that cheap energy won't be available to radically build-out renewables and alternatives alongside conventional fules in a smart grid. This is APWR's business.

It sure doesn't look like anything is going to stop the Chinese renewable energy juggernaut. So believe in Doom if you want to. But you'll have to tune out important information like APWR's success.

Google Finance

Image

We're going to $25. Then $30. Then $50. Then $150!
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Re: Huge Opportunity in Chinese Wind Turbine Manufacturer

Unread postby Carlhole » Tue 22 Dec 2009, 10:57:41

Market Report -- In Play December 22, 2009 8:37 AM ET

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')n The Wires A-Power Energy Generation Systems (APWR) announces that it has signed a definitive DG contract with Thailand's Biomass Electricity Co., to develop a 150 MW biomass firing power plant in Prachinburi, Thailand. The total value of the contract is US$ 86 mln, which includes fees related to design and installation, and expenses related to procurement and sub-contracting with third-party vendors and construction companies. This biomass DG project has commenced in December and the estimated duration of the project is 27 months... ADA Carbon Solutions, the joint venture owned by ADA-ES (ADES) and Energy Capital Partners, announces that it has signed two contracts with coal-fired power companies to provide activated carbon to control mercury emissions. ACS will supply these power plant customers with approximately 25 to 30 mln pounds of AC under these contracts.


This is why the stock gapped up a little this morning.
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Re: Huge Opportunity in Chinese Wind Turbine Manufacturer

Unread postby TheDude » Tue 22 Dec 2009, 13:08:25

"Either you're long APWR or you're a Doomer" isn't a false dichotomy? Touching to see someone's still into the laughable rational markets hypothesis, too. Investors invest in what they think are sound investments, to, wow, make money. China needs more juice from any source regardless of the cost or consequences, ergo more wind now. After their bubble violently bursts we'll see how much interest remains in expensive generation like wind.

This could play out for decades. Arguing about Limits to Growth on the WWW is pretty absurd, I'm settling anymore for just busting balls and ruining parties, that's more fun than proselytizing. So you've found a hot stock, great. Call me when Chinese non-hydro renewables exceed 5%. All that CO2 they're pumping into the atmosphere impacts Himalayan glacial melt impacting hydro itself and water supplies nationwide, but I'll refrain from further harshing your buzz.
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