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THE Dairy Thread (merged)

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THE Dairy Thread (merged)

Postby skiwi » Thu 27 Jan 2005, 18:33:06

News about New Zealand's largest exporter Fonterra (milk solids,cheese)

Fonterra does not expect global milk powder and cheese prices at highs never seen before to fall any time soon.
The "extraordinarily" high prices helped New Zealand's biggest exporter report operating revenue yesterday of $5.7 billion in the six months to November 30, up 2 per cent from last year, even though the high New Zealand dollar cut income and rain cut production....

Record highs
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Postby BabyPeanut » Thu 27 Jan 2005, 20:24:30

How much of these cost increases are due to transportation fuel cost increases?

http://www.thecouriermail.news.com.au/c ... 53,00.html
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')Fruit and petrol prices fuel leap in living costs
Fleur Anderson
26jan05

EXPENSIVE bananas and soaring petrol prices drove a surprise jump in Australians' cost of living over the last three months of 2004, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics.


http://www.nynewsday.com/business/ny-bz ... -headlines
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')nflation on the rise
It likely won't surprise many New Yorkers who have been filling their gas tanks and buying milk, but the prices in the metropolitan area are rising faster than they have in 14 years and faster than in the rest of the nation.

Annual inflation in the region rose 3.8 percent in 2004, according to a Bureau of Labor Statistics regional report released yesterday. That's the highest rate since 1990, when regional inflation increased 6.2 percent, bureau regional commissioner Michael L. Dolfman said.

Within those 14 years, the regional inflation rate reached as low as 1.6 percent (in 1998).

Nationwide, inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, rose 3.3 percent annually, the highest rate since 2000, according to the bureau's national report.

At the end of the year, however, a decline in gas and heating oil prices led the CPI to actually fall .1 percent in December.


http://pittsburghlive.com/x/tribune-rev ... 95091.html
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ugar prices may hit a 4-year high by June

By Jason Gale
Bloomberg News
Thursday, January 20, 2005

Sugar prices in New York may rise to a four-year high by June because production from Brazil and Thailand is failing to keep pace with rising global demand, particularly from India, the world's top consumer, traders said.

Sugar surged 59 percent last year to a high of 9.37 cents a pound and may exceed 10 cents this year for the first time since 2001, said Adam Leetham, a trader at C. Czarnikow Sugar Pte. in Singapore. Supply from Brazil, the top producer, is limited by rising domestic demand, and in Thailand, the second-largest exporter, the government said the harvest may fall 20 percent.

...

"It is three times more expensive to buy sugar in the U.S. and make a candy product," Mars spokeswoman Liliana Esposito said. The company also is paying more for transportation and for employee health care, Esposito said.
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Postby ernest » Fri 28 Jan 2005, 16:59:20

Dairy Products are inextricably linked to oil prices. The cost of fertilizer and pesticides, both oil based, determine the cost of the grain fed to cattle.
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THE Dairy Thread (merged)

Postby skiwi » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 22:48:54

Energy fears force dairy giant Fonterra to rethink

Energy fears are forcing dairy giant Fonterra to look at new ways of securing electricity for its plants and factories. And with some of its dairy factories sited in windy areas, the prospect of using wind turbines is looking increasingly likely.

Fonterra operations director Max Parkin told a forum in Auckland yesterday that the company - the country's second biggest energy user after aluminium-maker Comalco - was being threatened by uncertainty over its power supplies.

Energy prices had risen dramatically in the past four years and there was not enough competition in gas, coal or power transmission. This included a 23 per cent rise in the price of coal, a 35 per cent lift in the cost of electricity and a 97 per cent jump in the cost of natural gas...
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Postby savethehumans » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 02:17:55

Gee, what a surprise. . . NOT! :razz:
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Postby JR » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 06:33:17

There is a huge dairy by me who is complete self-sufficient for the elecricity. They use all the cow poo!





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Re: Energy fears force dairy giant Fonterra to rethink

Postby Ludi » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 08:25:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('skiwi', 'T')his included a 23 per cent rise in the price of coal, a 35 per cent lift in the cost of electricity and a 97 per cent jump in the cost of natural gas...


Holy crap! 8O
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Postby pea-jay » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 11:37:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JR', 'T')here is a huge dairy by me who is complete self-sufficient for the elecricity. They use all the cow poo!
JR


Maybe in terms of electricity. But what about the caloric value of the dairy's output (the milk) versus its energy inputs (feed and diesel/gasoline)? When you look at this or any other modern farming industry, you will see huge inputs (fertilizer, pesticides,tractor fuel, grain harvesting, grain drying/shipment, plus whatever fuel the dairy will use) with a comparitively puny output (milk plus whatever wastes are recovered for energy or fertilizer).

That's the problem with modern ag...its too energy dependent to produce those large yields we are accustomed to.
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Postby Doly » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 11:43:16

I wonder if anybody has tested the concept of low-energy agriculture. High tech is allowed as long as it needs little energy. And I wonder what are the yields.
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Postby Ebyss » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 13:18:06

Doly, Masanobu Fukuoka does "low energy" farming, in that he uses no fertilisers or pesticides or tractors at all. His yields are as high as, if not higher than, the best farms in his country. He wrote a book called "One Straw Revolution" which I highly recommend. The yields of organic, permaculture and biodynamic farming can be as high as normal crops, but they won't work in a monoculture framework. Hence it just wouldn't be possible to have 100's of acres of corn grown organically/permaculturally. These methods depend upon a variety of plants and animals together, the more the better (ok, oversimplified).

That's why you'll see a lot of us on the planning forum advocating a return to locally produced products. They can be grown organically with little or no energy (from fossil fuels) needed, but they cant provide massive amounts of one crop. Your local farm shops should be able to supply a smaller number of people with a larger number of products (this is one way of doing it). Obviously some will specialise, but nowhere near the scale of agriculture today.
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Postby qwanta » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 15:45:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Doly', 'I') wonder if anybody has tested the concept of low-energy agriculture. High tech is allowed as long as it needs little energy. And I wonder what are the yields.


One interesting parallel is Cuba, where in the early nineties the oil, food and fertilizer imports from the Soviet Union dramatically collapsed. Cuba shifted to a smaller scale system with organic methods and urban farming playing a large role and this seems to have paid off.

http://www.twnside.org.sg/title/twr118h.htm

Somehow though I don't think this scenario would play out as successfully in the US, I think a lot of the "breadbasket" land in places like Iowa and Nebraska, has been drained of much of its nutrients and topsoil. Plus there's the question of transportation, I don't think Cuba was/is as urbanized.
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Postby Ludi » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 17:02:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('qwanta', ' ')I think a lot of the "breadbasket" land in places like Iowa and Nebraska, has been drained of much of its nutrients and topsoil.


Sadly, this is very true. Much of our agricultural land is essentially dead, having been ruined through cultivation and chemicals. This kind of land could be switched to non-conventional agriculture, but initial yields would be very low because organic agriculture depends on humus in the soil, and there isn't any. This is one reason it's difficult to transition to organic agriculture even within the conventional ag system; initially yields are so low, and pest problems are so high, the producer has to be prepared for several years of losses.
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Postby tokyo_to_motueka » Mon 02 May 2005, 09:03:15

Gloom, boom in Fonterra’s world outlook

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he background to this gloomy view of this country’s future supply potential is the picture of New Zealand’s productive capacity being submerged under urban sprawl and lifestyle blocks, while water restrictions, energy costs and resource consents for every aspect of dairying will make it uneconomic for all but the largest farmers. The alternative picture is to commit to a strategy and an action plan to counter the doomsday scenario.

At the same time, European and British dairy farmers are facing dwindling subsidies and falling milk prices which are forcing many to give up dairy farming altogether.

So the next big question is: "Who is going to pick up the supply shortfall and become the world’s milk producers?"

Fonterra has clearly identified South America as a source of supply and has already invested in dairy companies in that part of the world.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')or too many years since 1990, irrigation and increased use of fertiliser have fuelled the potential for land-use change, according to the latest trend in global commodity prices, with the result that the price of land has sky-rocketed and the pressure on resources has risen enormously.

large-scale dairy farms (herds of 500+ cows) are starting to dominate nz dairying, which is a massive change in just one generation. 25 years ago the average herd was not much more than 100 head.

this corporatised model is totally unsustainable, and PO will destroy it.
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Postby pea-jay » Tue 03 May 2005, 00:14:09

This industry is indeed screwed. Animal confinement operations that yield a consumeable product on a large production scale are totally dependent on cheap energy. It takes cheap energy to raise the grains for feed (including all of the attendant losses in efficiency), power the dairy equipment and chill, process and distribute the milk/dairy products. On a caloric basis, significantly more energy went into the production of that dairy product you are consuming than the product yields in calories.

Dairying is huge in my county. It is far and away the largest single product we produce and thanks to the 450K cows here accounts for 26% of California's milk production. It's also a dirty industry in both air and water pollution terms. Our landscapes in some areas are pock-marked with cess pits (known as lagoons) full of cow effluent.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')o the next big question is: "Who is going to pick up the supply shortfall and become the world’s milk producers?"


In the short term, California's central valley is stepping into that role. Land is cheap, labor is cheap, seasons good, regulatory environment supportive. As long as we can consider the absurdity of producing milk here, trucking it 200 miles to the LA for processing and returning it back here for sale. (let alone exporting it to other places-which we do)

In the long term we're screwed. More accuruately--theyre screwed. Where in the world do they think the feed will come from or their milk go to once the energy subsidy runs out?
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Postby tokyo_to_motueka » Tue 03 May 2005, 09:14:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pea-jay', 'I')n the long term we're screwed. More accuruately--theyre screwed. Where in the world do they think the feed will come from or their milk go to once the energy subsidy runs out?

dairying in NZ differs from most places in that all cows are grazed on fresh pasture for most of the year. they are never fed grains, only grass, hay and an occasional rotation crop like turnips.

the trouble is, even fifty years ago this industry relied on large amounts of synthetic fertilizers, mainly superphosphate made from guano mined on Nauru. Nauru is now stripped, so they have moved on to other sources of fertilizers.

the only partial solution is to move to a low-input organic dairying model. some farmers have done this successfully but the startup costs and low yields in the initial years are a significant barrier.

PO is going to have a major impact on dairying worldwide, just like it will with beef production. dairy products will return to their prior luxury status for most of the world, just like beef will.
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Postby Ebyss » Tue 03 May 2005, 11:00:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 't')he trouble is, even fifty years ago this industry relied on large amounts of synthetic fertilizers, mainly superphosphate made from guano mined on Nauru. Nauru is now stripped, so they have moved on to other sources of fertilizers


Can I ask what they're doing with all that dairy cow sh1t?
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Anyone with milk cow experience?

Postby pip » Wed 01 Jun 2005, 18:06:51

I itemized my grocery bill last month and found out I'm spending about $60 a month on dairy products. I my continual pursuit of thriftiness, a milk cow stands to be a nice investment with my costs to maintain a beef cow at just under $100. I run a herd of 15 beef cows right now so I’ve got experience there but need some direction in the milking department. If anyone’s got any experience with this I’d like to hear about it.

How do you manage the milking, what do you do with all the excess milk (a low performing cow produces 4 gallons a day?), what do you do when you’re out of town for a few days, etc. Is there a good website for info? Also, how do you convince your wife this is something she wants to do? :)
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Postby killJOY » Wed 01 Jun 2005, 19:34:47

This is one area I have just entered. In fact, our cow JUST had its first calf yesterday morning. It will nurse for 4 days, and then we will commence with our first venture in milking.

As you have ample experience with cows, you probably know more than I do. Luckily, we have friends that have milked before, so we'll have plenty of help.

Our cow is a registered Devon, so milk production is expected to be low, about a gallon a day, give or take, perfect for a small farm.

We have an old cream separator that we plan to refurbish and use for processing.

Extra milk will go to soft cheese making and to friends who have expressed and interest in buying it.

Milk is also good to feed to pigs. We just took two pigs to slaughter, so we will be getting new ones. They love milk.

This is an ongoing learning experience. As we embark on our dairy career, I'll try to remember to post what it's like.

Good luck with your cow. I was skeptical at first about keeping a dairy cow, but now I love the gal. I've been rubbing her teats daily to keep her docile and accustomed to my presence. She's very good natured and I expect to start getting milk next week.
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Postby EddieB » Wed 01 Jun 2005, 21:11:29

Going away for a few days is a no-no w/milkers when their milk is in. Unless you have good friends or hired help. I'd recommend a book like "the Family Cow". Easy to read, not a professional journal, but enough authorial experience to be worth reading.
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Postby RonMN » Wed 01 Jun 2005, 21:37:03

out of town??? NO! if your cow is milked 1 hour later than it should be, it's going to suffer...an so is the milk.

Other than that i know nothing about milking cows...but i know it's a serious busness where you'll be fired if you show up an hour late!
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