by Pops » Sun 04 Oct 2009, 08:47:31
From
Two Cheers For Expensive Oil, 3 years ago$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')till, the danger remains that prices could stay too high for too long, provoking a drop in demand just when new production and refining capacity start to come on-stream. This, in turn, could send prices spiraling downward and put an end to the current move toward greater investment,
From
"Oil refiners investment in complex plants backfires", 2 months ago$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')Aug 12 [2009] - Oil firms that invested in complex refineries to process the most difficult crude and in theory generate big profits have inadvertently forced up the cost of feedstock, wrecking the economics of their plans, especially in Europe...
...sour crude, which includes more sulphur that has little commercial value and requires longer processing, historically traded at a deep discount.
But since July this year, it has traded at near parity to lighter North Sea streams, including Brent and Forties.
Some analysts have said European refiners might have missed out on the cost advantage of a wide light-heavy spread once and for all.
I don't know what Alex Jones says about anything but if sour is selling for the same price as sweet and is costlier to refine, it doesn't matter how many refineries are planned – either finished prices go up or the refineries shut down.
Some catch that catch-22..