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THE Collapse of the US Thread (merged)

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Re: If America collapses - we're all buggered

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 20:00:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Bytesmiths', 'S')o you approve of reneging on your obligations? You enter into debt freely, then refuse to accept the consequences? You live high on the hog on someone else's resources, then declare bankruptcy when the bill is due?

Remind me never to do business with you!


OK. First off I'm not an American. I'm not sure that I see much difference between being occupied by America vs. being occupied by China. Either one sucks.

Secondly, you seriously think anyone is going to allow themselves to be occupied by a hostile foriegn government simply out of obediance to their fiscal obligations. please! People only allow themselves to be occupied by hostile governments when there is something more important at stake. Like patriotism. or greed.
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Unread postby lotrfan55345 » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 20:15:16

While I was away for like a week, why does everyone now think that China wants to invade? Did something happen that I am not aware of? The seemingly anti-Chinese sentiment? :shock:
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Unread postby Kingcoal » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 20:44:59

Reading the posts of our friends in the UK, I have to comment on something. What the hell happened to GREAT BRITAIN? What is the fatalistic crap? China conquering the world? Yeah right! China has a hard enough time keeping order in its own country. I really wish the UK would snap out of this passive attitude and go back to being snotty, arrogant and aggressive. We Americans get tired of being the only ones anymore!

Ruling the world is not a simple process and requires a hell of a lot more than just lots of soldiers and a lowest common denominator mercantilist economy. All great empires were built not only on military dominance, but also financial and technological superiority. You need the whole package; otherwise you end up like Nazi Germany.
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Re: If America collapses - we're all buggered

Unread postby Bytesmiths » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 20:49:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', '.').. you seriously think anyone is going to allow themselves to be occupied by a hostile foriegn government simply out of obediance to their fiscal obligations.
Who said anything about "hostile"?

I submit that the US will willingly succumb to its creditors, because its ruling class is in cahoots with said creditors.

The current us debt is about $25,000 <b>per person.</b> An economist on Now a few weeks ago projected that to grow ten times, to a <b>quarter of a million dollars per person,</b> within ten years.

Of course, there's a lot of people counting on that debt inflating away. I wouldn't count on that!

Your landlord -- and nearly everyone in the middle class will have one -- will be some huge conglomerate based in Peking, Taipei, Dubai, or Moscow. Unlike the local savings & loan, they won't have any qualms about tossing you out. And your neighbor will be the one doing the tossing -- "just doing my Job, ma'am."

It doesn't take much imagination to envision a nice Chinese (or Russian, or Arab) family moving in there then. The "home office" will send them over to "manage" the new factory they bought.

I'm not trying to foment ethnic trouble. I don't even believe this will necessarily happen. But I do believe it is a distinct possibility.
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Unread postby lotrfan55345 » Thu 28 Apr 2005, 23:47:15

Ya mean those TERRORIST/HEATHEN moslem ppeople! OMGA!!!!1111 And some injuns and slit-eyes comin' to take ovr Amuruca! Never!!!!11!111!!!111
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Unread postby Bytesmiths » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 00:43:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Raphael', '[')b]Uncle Sam Wants Ewe!

Baaaaaaaaaa
I love it! "We, the sheeple..."

Why do you think TV is what it is? Half cop shows, the other half spies killing spies. It's training for war.

(Myself, I find "Judging Amy" to be the at the pinnacle of TV today. Who'd have thought a show about true "public servants" who didn't carry guns would last more than a season!)

Why do you think video games are what they are? It's training for fast-food sales, and cannon fodder at the same time! Ingenious!

Why do you think 40,000 fools crowd into a stadium to watch 300 pound men pat each other on the butt? To teach us that homosexual moves are okay only if you make $20 million a year, and that might makes right.

And why to the powers-that-be give us such choices: "Iraq: bomb, or invade?" "Stiff and in the pockets of moneyed interests, or dumb and in the pockets of moneyed interests?"

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Helen Caldicott', 'A')merica has a one party system with two right wings.
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Unread postby spear » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 06:34:17

Heres another scenario.Maybe the US govt in order to pay its debt to China will send the Chinese debt ridden US citizens to work in the chinese sweatshops.Something like American boat people.AKA slaves.
Maybe whoever owes money better get their act together pronto.lol.
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Unread postby Bytesmiths » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 12:05:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('spear', 'M')aybe whoever owes money better get their act together pronto.lol.
If I could be free of our national debt by kicking in my ~$25,000 worth, I'd do it in an instant.

Unfortunately, it's a bigger problem than any individual can deal with. That's one of the reasons (to get back to the topic) the US is headed for collapse, and one of the reasons I'm leaving.

In my opinion, long-term debt as a way of life is a cancer on humanity. It's this way of thinking that allows us to use up our children's resources.
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Unread postby Bytesmiths » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 14:17:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Raphael', 'H')elen Caldicott is a fine example of someone who uses their wisdom to direct their intellect.
I had the joy of seeing her in person once, during the Reagan reign. (She noted at the time that having the leader of the free world with an IQ of about 100 is "medically contraindicated". And look where we are, two decades later...)

Her writings, while great, are NOTHING compared to her presence! Dynamic, hard-hitting, inspirational -- all the things that make Noam Chomsky a joy to read, but somewhat painful to listen to.

If you even get a chance to see her speak, don't pass it up!
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Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 22:33:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('spear', 'H')eres another scenario.Maybe the US govt in order to pay its debt to China will send the Chinese debt ridden US citizens to work in the chinese sweatshops.Something like American boat people.AKA slaves.
Maybe whoever owes money better get their act together pronto.lol.


Give me a break. The US will solve it's debt problems the way it always has in the past. They'll invade another country and steal all it's assets. Maybe next time they'll have the wisdom not to mess with such a determined lot as Iraq and Vietnam. Maybe they could invade France. :-D Clean out the Louvre and sell the paintings on E-Bay perhaps.
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Unread postby Schneider » Fri 29 Apr 2005, 22:54:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('spear', 'H')eres another scenario.Maybe the US govt in order to pay its debt to China will send the Chinese debt ridden US citizens to work in the chinese sweatshops.Something like American boat people.AKA slaves.
Maybe whoever owes money better get their act together pronto.lol.


Give me a break. The US will solve it's debt problems the way it always has in the past. They'll invade another country and steal all it's assets. Maybe next time they'll have the wisdom not to mess with such a determined lot as Iraq and Vietnam. Maybe they could invade France. :-D Clean out the Louvre and sell the paintings on E-Bay perhaps.



Argh..why did i immediatly thought about a Canada invasion for natural ressources 8O !?

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Unread postby Bytesmiths » Sat 30 Apr 2005, 00:18:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Schneider', 'A')rgh..why did i immediatly thought about a Canada invasion for natural ressources 8O !?
From my random email signatures:

<i><b>Dateline: April 15, 2020:</b> President Jenna Bush announces foreign terrorist cells have been located near the Edmonton oil fields, and offers "assistance" to Canada in the form of 150,000 US troops, now massing along the border.</i>
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Unread postby Keith_McClary » Sat 30 Apr 2005, 02:36:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Schneider', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('spear', 'H')eres another scenario.Maybe the US govt in order to pay its debt to China will send the Chinese debt ridden US citizens to work in the chinese sweatshops.Something like American boat people.AKA slaves.
Maybe whoever owes money better get their act together pronto.lol.


Give me a break. The US will solve it's debt problems the way it always has in the past. They'll invade another country and steal all it's assets. Maybe next time they'll have the wisdom not to mess with such a determined lot as Iraq and Vietnam. Maybe they could invade France. :-D Clean out the Louvre and sell the paintings on E-Bay perhaps.



Argh..why did i immediatly thought about a Canada invasion for natural ressources 8O !?

Schneider :oops:
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Hardly worth the bother, as long as we're only charging $1/barrel royalty for the oil sands.
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In a collapse, the U.S. will have to print money

Unread postby Kez » Tue 30 Aug 2005, 12:14:57

Ok I have thought about all the possibilities (I think) that the U.S. government will do if there is a big economic collapse. For example, if unemployment hits 10%, some banks start failing, foreclosures really start going on, and people start really complaining. I think the only thing they can do at that point is print money, give it to themselves, and hire people like they did during the great depression.

If they don't keep the economy going somehow, they won't get taxes coming in, and they won't be able to pay any benefits, social security, etc. They won't be able to convince other countries to keep buying the bonds because they are already heavy in debt and are having trouble paying everyone. They will raise interest rates, but that means they will pay more in debt payments. Since the trade deficit is huge and getting bigger, they won't be getting income from other countries. Less people out of works mean even less taxes coming in, causing a big downward spiral in everything.

So I think the only choice they will have is to print money, which means inflation is guaranteed. Is there something else the government can do to get things moving again? How else can they raise the money needed? It seems like printing money is the only card they will have left to play.
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Re: In a collapse, the U.S. will have to print money

Unread postby RonMN » Tue 30 Aug 2005, 12:45:29

IMHO they have 1 card to play before printing massive amounts of dollars. The last thing they did was create the right environment to make a housing bubble...Now they can make the environment right for a massive bull market (in the stock market, creating a stock market bubble of all time).

They way i see it...that will be the last thing they can do to buy time before turning the (dollar) printing presses to full steam!
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Re: In a collapse, the U.S. will have to print money

Unread postby MicroHydro » Tue 30 Aug 2005, 14:46:29

The collapse of the NASDAQ is too fresh in public memory. Creating another multi-trillion dollar equity bubble will not be possible for another generation. The Fed has no choice except hyperinflation.
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Re: In a collapse, the U.S. will have to print money

Unread postby rogerhb » Tue 30 Aug 2005, 14:48:03

You will find they have already been doing so. Look at the market wrapup "The Greenspan Legacy" by Rob Kirby at www.financialsense.com.
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Re: In a collapse, the U.S. will have to print money

Unread postby rogerhb » Tue 30 Aug 2005, 18:27:06

I think that a collapse has already occurred and the gov is simply printing money to keep the show on the road for as long as possible.

The handouts have been going on for ages, however you may not have noticed, they go to the corporations, not the people.
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Re: In a collapse, the U.S. will have to print money

Unread postby marko » Tue 30 Aug 2005, 22:44:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MicroHydro', 'T')he collapse of the NASDAQ is too fresh in public memory. Creating another multi-trillion dollar equity bubble will not be possible for another generation. The Fed has no choice except hyperinflation.


I disagree. I think that the US government will increase spending and borrowing, but that it will be the Asian central banks creating the money so that they can buy dollars to buy US debt.

They will be in denial for a year or two about the terminal nature of the US economic decline. I think that the US will have hyperinflation only after Japan throws in the towel, probably because their desperate money creation will finally spark hyperinflation in Japan.
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Re: In a collapse, the U.S. will have to print money

Unread postby Kingcoal » Tue 30 Aug 2005, 22:54:24

"Collapse" happened during the first energy crisis and the US adjusted to the new reality. The ace in the hole was persuading the Saudi's to keep asking for dollars in exchange for their oil. That kept the dollar from becoming worthless. Ever since that we've had a series of asset based, bubble economies. In the early eighties there was a real estate bubble that turned into a stock equity bubble that turned into another stock equity bubble that turned back into a real estate bubble.

What drove it all was the return of cheap oil during the mid eighties and the return of super cheap oil during the late nineties. Today's higher oil prices are being thrown right on the backs of third world production workers (costs are up, work harder!) Without them, America would have sky high inflation. How much longer it can all go on is beyond me.
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