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THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Discussions of conventional and alternative energy production technologies.

Re: THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Unread postby liammcglynn » Sun 20 Sep 2009, 00:52:04

The most recent third party report by Jacob Securities both supports and refutes your position. In 40 pages of detailed information on EEStor's approach to Barium Titanate capacitors and the four key breakthroughs that distinguish EEStor from other technology processes, the analysts specifically noted that they never saw a commercial prototype.

The absence of a prototype is certainly a concern. Certainly, in order to obtain UL certification, EEStor has to submit at least a small prototype. One would think that this prototype would be available for the JS tour. So why no appearance?

If EEStor is a scam, they are painting themselves in a pretty tight corner. UL will expect a prototype. Zenn expects a commercial component this Fall. A third party has validated the EESU permittivity score of 22,500 (the key factor in capacitor energy density and an extraordinarily high number). Likewise, a third party has validated the purity of EEStor's barium titanate powder.

Still, no prototype. Considering the technological challenges, the more plausible explanation for EEStor's reticence may be the kind of secrecy that many creative types crave during development. Doubtless, there have been many setbacks and, from my own experience as a technology architect, I understand a reluctance to share my failures until the product is ready for prime time.

I recommend looking at the JS report at http://www.theeestory.com/files/ZNN_ini ... acobCo.pdf

Your point is a good one, though.
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Re: THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Unread postby BigTex » Sun 20 Sep 2009, 05:36:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('liammcglynn', 'H')owever, when a company goes to UL with a product for certification and satisfies a defense contractor with testing, should that not give us pause to consider the possibility that they are genuine? We cannot rule out a grand fraud but rational analysis cannot reach certainty on such criminality.


I guess I am just tired of pausing to consider much of anything when it comes to pie in the sky claims.

Just show me where the magic battery is and how much it costs to buy one.

You joined the forum less than a week ago. I started this thread three years ago. Your sense of skepticism in these matters may not yet be fully developed.
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Re: THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Unread postby liammcglynn » Sun 20 Sep 2009, 12:21:26

Those of us who have been here a while have gotten used to having our hearts broken. Now we are hard, bitter, cynical and probably beyond repair.

Mos, BAU is good. That would be me if I even cared anymore.[/quote]

If you have been here a while, you have valuable information, useful information. As a technology architect, I gather and form data into compelling executive presentations. In a sense, that is just another type of forum with its own set of frustrations and obstacles. Even when I succeed in saving a company many millions of dollars, I might have to watch helplessly as the corporation collapses under the weight of toxic investments.

I know that we cannot stop or even slow the coming oil crisis and the unfathomable impact on the global food supply but I, like you, need an outlet for my frustration. Perhaps it doesn't matter if we say anything meaningful. After all, who is really listening? Still, I have my own plan, feeble as it is, to meet the coming crisis. Surely, in such a forum, I am not unique. We all have plans and all our individual plans are likewise feeble because they are individual. This may not be a forum for fostering communal efforts but our collective knowledge may open doors.

Your self-effacement indicates that you are not entirely resigned to apathy. I suspect that you are just a fighter in an empty ring.
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Re: THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Unread postby mos6507 » Sun 20 Sep 2009, 12:52:33

pstarr, your tone has changed considerably from when I left. I think you should leave a little more variability in your vision of the future. If there is anything the last year has taught me, is not to be too certain of how things are going to play out.
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Re: THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Unread postby liammcglynn » Sun 20 Sep 2009, 13:18:40

pstarr, I am a technology architect specializing in the automation of large data centers. I am also a closet economist so your point about false assumptions in predictive models is timely. The government's GAAP budget report reveals a national debt (unfunded obligations) of more than $60 trillion. You are right, we cannot repay. The economic situation relates to EEStor and EVs in general because hyperinflation seems a near certainty in the not too distant future and a currency collapse would precipitate a supply disruption. This disruption would be a temporary but devastating fuel crisis in the US. Thus, my desire for an EV with decent range and highway capabilities.

Hyperinflation is an interesting topic though probably not appropriate for this forum. It may actually hasten the longer term oil crisis.
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Re: THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Unread postby JRP3 » Sun 20 Sep 2009, 13:34:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('liammcglynn', ' ')You are right, we cannot repay. The economic situation relates to EEStor and EVs in general because hyperinflation seems a near certainty in the not too distant future and a currency collapse would precipitate a supply disruption. This disruption would be a temporary but devastating fuel crisis in the US. Thus, my desire for an EV with decent range and highway capabilities.

Think you'll be doing a lot of traveling during an economic collapse?
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Re: THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Unread postby liammcglynn » Sun 20 Sep 2009, 14:00:44

pstarr, I work for a large international firm based in New Delhi whose net income grew 110% last quarter (compared to 2008). I am less concerned about recession stopping travel than I am about a disruption in oil deliveries to domestic refineries. I can picture such a disruption if inflation spirals out of control and I can picture hyperinflation if the government continues its bailout policies in 2010. Option ARMs and Alt-A mortgages will reach a peak in resets in Mid 2010 that will rival the subprime crisis except that we are less prepared now (unemployment, tight credit, weak banks, credit card defaults, and diminished demand for Treasuries).

I guess that as long as planes are flying, I will travel. If the government had to ration fuel, where do commercial airlines stand in the queue?
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Re: THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Unread postby BigTex » Sun 20 Sep 2009, 16:58:46

liammmcglynn, how long have you been aware of peak oil?

Since becoming aware of it, what books have you read concerning the topic of peak oil and the larger cluster of topics peak oil touches on, including overshoot and die-off, technology as a secular religion, fallacies of modern economic thought, etc.?

Just curious where you are on the learning curve.

It takes a while for it all to sink in.
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Re: THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Unread postby liammcglynn » Sun 20 Sep 2009, 18:16:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BigTex', 'l')iammmcglynn, how long have you been aware of peak oil?

Since becoming aware of it, what books have you read concerning the topic of peak oil and the larger cluster of topics peak oil touches on, including overshoot and die-off, technology as a secular religion, fallacies of modern economic thought, etc.?

Just curious where you are on the learning curve.

It takes a while for it all to sink in.


It has been a very long time for me. I have a friend, Frank Kaminski who is an avid Peak Oil advocate. He has reviewed a number of books on the subject. I would guess that I introduced Frank to the subject almost ten years ago and I had been following it for perhaps a few years before that. I have read parts of Kunstler and Simmons but my research has focused on internet data sources.

As for economic thought, I struggled with Classical and Keynesian theories while at MIT. These frameworks lacked symmetry. Peter Schiff's "Crash Proof" struck a chord with me. Though the Austrian School of Economics is not perfect, their aversion to government intervention in the markets and fiat currency led me to a deeper understanding of global trade and exchange rates and this formed the foundation for personal revelations on the flaws in US economic policy. I have also read a number of papers by John Williams (http://www.shadowstats.com). I am an analyst by training, profession, and nature, so I thrive on critical thinking, accepting very little at face value. I see the economy and Peak Oil as major threats to my well being. My initial objective is to prepare for consequences according to a combination of likelihood and impact. In the economy, I view hyperinflation, a devastating crisis, as sufficiently probable to warrant countermeasures. With Peak Oil, I find complacency almost infuriating given the unimpeachable logic of a pending collapse in supply. I am less prepared for the oil crisis than inflation.

Finally, I feel selfish. Assuming that I prepare successfully for the coming crises, I cannot help but view the suffering of others as some kind of failure on my part. Did they fail to listen or did I fail to impress? Did I even try?

Sorry for rambling.
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Re: THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Unread postby TheAntiDoomer » Sun 20 Sep 2009, 19:50:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BigTex', 'l')iammmcglynn, how long have you been aware of peak oil?

Since becoming aware of it, what books have you read concerning the topic of peak oil and the larger cluster of topics peak oil touches on, including overshoot and die-off, technology as a secular religion, fallacies of modern economic thought, etc.?

Just curious where you are on the learning curve.

It takes a while for it all to sink in.


BigTex, your post seems to imply that if one reads and is aware of all the issues you just mentioned and does not come to the conclusion that a dieoff/collapse is inevetible is wrong? I feel I am well educated on the subject and do not believe in dieoff or collapse. Would like you to clarify this position.
thanks.
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Re: THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Unread postby TheAntiDoomer » Sun 20 Sep 2009, 21:03:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'T')heAntiDoomer, I will do that for you. Here is what the gentlemen said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('liammcglynn', 'I') know that we cannot stop or even slow the coming oil crisis and the unfathomable impact on the global food supply but . . .
That pretty much speaks for itself. Hum?

Now move on troll


Mods, clear COC violation here by pstarr, I will leave it at that and let you choose his punishment, as I will not retaliate to his stooped level.

and no pstarr I disagree with liammcglynns quote and I asked bigtex not you, thanks for playing though.
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Re: THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Unread postby BigTex » Sun 20 Sep 2009, 22:12:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheAntiDoomer', 'B')igTex, your post seems to imply that if one reads and is aware of all the issues you just mentioned and does not come to the conclusion that a dieoff/collapse is inevetible is wrong? I feel I am well educated on the subject and do not believe in dieoff or collapse. Would like you to clarify this position.
thanks.


I asked a question. I didn't imply anything.

If I believed that die-off and collapse was the only potential future scenario I wouldn't have started a magic battery thread.

I hope EEStor works out.
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Re: THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Unread postby mos6507 » Fri 25 Sep 2009, 11:07:28

CityZenn is dead. Like I said, Zenn is now just a middle-man looking to extract profit from their deal with EESTOR. They were opportunists who have little value to add to the mix.
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Re: THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Unread postby liammcglynn » Fri 25 Sep 2009, 12:09:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '[')url=http://gm-volt.com/2009/09/23/zenn-motors-ceo-announces-change-in-company-plans-says-eesu-development-remains-on-target/]CityZenn is dead.[/url] Like I said, Zenn is now just a middle-man looking to extract profit from their deal with EESTOR. They were opportunists who have little value to add to the mix.


Mos, you may well be correct. Zenn is both an investor and manufacturer so it should be able to derive profits in either role. Investor profits will likely be superior. Given the claims of EEStor, I would expect an associated auto manufacturer to be more aggressive. If EEStor is real and you and I were in charge of Zenn, wouldn't we be planning to take over the US auto market (once oil prices inevitably climb)? I don't sense that kind of feral aggression in Zenn's position. Thus, your conclusion, though not certain, has merit.

I will be very interested to see the final figures on power density as they will, to the greatest extent, determine the applicability of the technology. Automobiles are just the beginning.
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Re: THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Unread postby sparky » Wed 30 Sep 2009, 06:55:48

.
It's weird how you guys are focused on transportation ,
the holy grail of energy storage would be a couple of Gigawatts for a week
it could make the grid base load open for funky alternative
wind power badly need it ,solar even more .

that's for BigTex

Somebody finally who talk megawatts ,
there was mention of this on PBS
a high power battery

http://www.physorg.com/news155569564.html


I think this is the patent


High energy density fused salt battery and cathode for use therein
United States Patent 3963516

Abstract:
A composite cathode comprising an integral matrix of about 20 to 80% by weight current collector material which is electronic or semiconducting in nature, preferably carbon, and about 80 to 20% by weight metal sulfide, preferably antimony sulfide. The high energy density battery comprises said composite cathode in spaced apart relation to a LiAl alloy anode, and a molten LiCl--KCl electrolyte in contact with the cathode and anode.
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Re: THE EEStor Thread (merged)

Unread postby JRP3 » Wed 30 Sep 2009, 09:27:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sparky', '.')
It's weird how you guys are focused on transportation ,
the holy grail of energy storage would be a couple of Gigawatts for a week
it could make the grid base load open for funky alternative
wind power badly need it ,solar even more .

Stationary storage is relatively easy compared to mobile since there is no real weight or size concern.
http://www.warren.usyd.edu.au/bulletin/NO44/ed44art4.html
Lead acid home systems have worked well for years, or nickel iron, or flow batteries, the new liquid batteries look interesting.
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