by AirlinePilot » Tue 08 Sep 2009, 21:56:53
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', 'H')irsch puts no credence whatsoever in conservation as a strategy to mitigate peak oil. He's very much a true believer in the "non-negotiable American lifestyle". His analysis of mitigation/adaptation to peak oil contains ZERO reference to: bicycling, car pooling, scooters, compressed work week, gas rationing, telecommuting, EVs, NG vehicles etc. The Hirsch report rules all of those out as measures to deal with the problem.
I don't agree with that asessment of Hirschs work at all. As a matter of fact I think your completely mis characterizing him. I believe after reading several of Hirsch's other works on Energy problems he really believes, as do I, that reality is a harsh mistress. There will be no real effort expended as you so desperately and doggedly propose. Hirsch understands this, he understands the establishment and how it works. He understands how corporate greed, lack of political will and leadership are going to SkullF&*ck us until it's too late.
I give him high marks for credibility. He has done the work, its objective and its realistic. As he has noted there are many who will try to argue it, but that is the nature of bad news.
I've read your debunk of Hirsch and cant agree with many of the points. Just looks like a lot of denial to me. Typical JD, very typical.
Bicycling, car pooling, scooters??? Really JD, where do you live? What is the reality surrounding that form of desperate conservation? Gas rationing and all that other stuff you point to means nothing less than further economic negativity and as Hirsch so rightly puts it, there is already enough bad news. No one is going to step up to the plate until we are IN IT up to our necks. It just isn't going to happen. We should have started serious efforts to conserve years ago. Where are with that presently?
For the record, I drive a 150CC scooter almost everywhere I can now except to and from work or on extremely bad weather days. I am in the VAST MINORITY in my awareness of what our future energy paradigm is going to look like. I cringe every time I think of where we are going to NEED to be with personal transportation and travel within just 5 or 10 years. You are completely out of touch with what the majority will think when their gasoline is rationed and they are told they cannot drive on certain days unless they carpool etc. It's just not going to go over well with J6P.
Sorry JD your living in a fantasy land.