Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Spreading World Food Abundance

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby Quinny » Wed 08 Jul 2009, 03:25:33

Your graphs implied it!
Live, Love, Learn, Leave Legacy.....oh and have a Laugh while you're doing it!
User avatar
Quinny
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 3337
Joined: Thu 03 Jul 2008, 03:00:00

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby frankthetank » Wed 15 Jul 2009, 00:16:49

Just sit back and enjoy one of these...

Image
lawns should be outlawed.
User avatar
frankthetank
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 6202
Joined: Thu 16 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Southwest WI

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby Ferretlover » Wed 15 Jul 2009, 09:01:38

*gasp!* That is a real burger--not a joke, Frank?? In average times, that should feed about a dozen people; in bad times, two or three dozen people!
"Open the gates of hell!" ~Morgan Freeman's character in the movie, Olympus Has Fallen.
Ferretlover
Elite
Elite
 
Posts: 5852
Joined: Wed 13 Jun 2007, 03:00:00
Location: Hundreds of miles further inland

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby frankthetank » Wed 15 Jul 2009, 10:03:18

That is a real burger.. 5000 calories...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kI6f5c-7SjE

1lb of bacon on that bad boy!
lawns should be outlawed.
User avatar
frankthetank
Light Sweet Crude
Light Sweet Crude
 
Posts: 6202
Joined: Thu 16 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Southwest WI

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby hillsidedigger » Wed 15 Jul 2009, 10:33:47

If the world's number of people quickly drops back to a small fraction of the current number, that number might then survive for a long time.

The current 'business as usual' course will likely result in human numbers suddenly dropping to almost zero and before to long.
User avatar
hillsidedigger
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 552
Joined: Sun 31 May 2009, 22:31:27
Location: Way up North in the Land of Cotton.

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby bodigami » Thu 16 Jul 2009, 10:29:21

OilFinder2, you are still welcome to make your posts... but your point is which one? you are trying to prove what to who?
bodigami
Permanently Banned
 
Posts: 1921
Joined: Wed 26 Jul 2006, 03:00:00

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby copious.abundance » Wed 12 Aug 2009, 15:16:00

Even more corn on the way! 8O

No wonder Doritos are always on sale at my local supermarket! :-D

>>> LINK <<<
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')ug 12, 2009, 11:56 a.m. EST
U.S. corn supply to reach record, prices to fall, USDA says
By Moming Zhou, MarketWatch

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) - Corn supplies in the U.S., the world's biggest producer, are expected to hit a record high in the market year beginning Sept. 1, pressuring prices to move lower, the U.S. Agriculture Department reported Wednesday.

The USDA lowered its forecasts for soybean supplies in the same market year and raised its target for soybean prices.

Corn production for the market year is projected to rise to 12.8 billion bushels, 471 million bushels higher than the USDA had expected a month ago. Higher yields are expected to more than offset a small reduction in harvested area.

Adding stockpiles left from the previous market year, the 2009-2010 market year's total corn supplies will rise to 14.5 billion bushels, the highest level on record.

[...]
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
User avatar
copious.abundance
Fission
Fission
 
Posts: 9589
Joined: Wed 26 Mar 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Cornucopia

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby copious.abundance » Wed 12 Aug 2009, 21:25:28

There are soils in Europe and Asia which have been under continuous cultivation for literally thousands of years. The soils in the Midwest have been under continuous cultivation for almost 200 years. Some soils along the US east coast have been under continuous cultivation for more than 300 years.

Amazingly, it hasn't all washed and eroded away! 8O
Amazingly, it's still extremely productive! 8O

But what's most amazing is that doomers and so-called "concerned" people ridicule cornucopians in light of such facts! 8O
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
User avatar
copious.abundance
Fission
Fission
 
Posts: 9589
Joined: Wed 26 Mar 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Cornucopia

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby copious.abundance » Wed 12 Aug 2009, 21:37:04

Next is the latest on wheat from the USDA.

>>> Ze Link <<<
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')...]

Global wheat supplies for 2009/10 are projected 5.0 million tons higher with higher beginning stocks and increased prospects for global production. World wheat production is raised 2.8 million tons for 2009/10 with major increases for India, United States, EU-27, China, and Ukraine partly offset by reductions for Russia, Argentina, Canada, and Kazakhstan. India production is raised 3.0 million tons to a record 80.6 million based on the latest revision to the official government estimate. EU-27 production is raised 1.6 million tons mostly on higher reported yields for Germany, but also on better-than-expected yields for France and rising prospects for harvested area and yields for Poland. Partly offsetting are cuts for Spain, Romania, Bulgaria, and Austria where persistent dryness reduced yields. China production is raised 1.0 million tons reflecting the first official indications for the harvested summer crops. Ukraine production is raised 1.0 million tons on higher winter wheat area and harvest reports. Production forecasts for 2009/10 are lowered for several major wheat exporting countries. Production for Russia is lowered 4.5 million tons as dryness and extended heat during July sharply reduced yields in the Southern and Volga Districts. Kazakhstan production is lowered 0.5 million tons as western growing areas suffered under weather conditions similar to those in Russia. Argentina production is lowered 1.0 million tons as continued dryness in the central and western growing areas limited plantings. Production is also lowered 1.0 million tons for Canada as July rains came too late in some areas of Alberta and Saskatchewan and crop development remains delayed raising the potential for late season frost damage.

[...]

Notice the nations in bold. Cultivation in much of Spain, France, India, China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Bulgaria, Romania, Germany and other parts of the Old World date back a thousand years, in some areas it dates back to Roman times, and in some other spots cultivation predates Roman times. And they're still producing prolificly! :shock: In Argentina, Canada and the US cultivation dates back at least 100 years, and in some cases 300 years or so. And they're still producing prolificly! :shock:
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
User avatar
copious.abundance
Fission
Fission
 
Posts: 9589
Joined: Wed 26 Mar 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Cornucopia

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby copious.abundance » Wed 12 Aug 2009, 21:43:31

Here's a trivia question for our "concerned" forumers. How long has THIS area been under cultivation? Hint: Zoom out.
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
User avatar
copious.abundance
Fission
Fission
 
Posts: 9589
Joined: Wed 26 Mar 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Cornucopia

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby hillsidedigger » Wed 12 Aug 2009, 22:19:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilFinder2', 'T')here are soils in Europe and Asia which have been under continuous cultivation for literally thousands of years. The soils in the Midwest have been under continuous cultivation for almost 200 years. Some soils along the US east coast have been under continuous cultivation for more than 300 years.

Amazingly, it hasn't all washed and eroded away! 8O
Amazingly, it's still extremely productive! 8O

But what's most amazing is that doomers and so-called "concerned" people ridicule cornucopians in light of such facts! 8O


It may have not all washed away but a lot of it has.

It may still be extremely productive but likely with inputs.

I wonder about your word 'continuously' on a site by site basis. Many of those older sites have likely been abandoned and then recleared after a number of years. As well, I will be the first to admit that the limited number of alluvial acres in the world become frequently replenished by floods and might be continuously farmed for centuries but all farmland will eventually wear out and need a long fallow period to refresh itself.
User avatar
hillsidedigger
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 552
Joined: Sun 31 May 2009, 22:31:27
Location: Way up North in the Land of Cotton.

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby copious.abundance » Wed 12 Aug 2009, 22:26:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('hillsidedigger', 'I') wonder about your word 'continuously' on a site by site basis. Many of those older sites have likely been abandoned and then recleared after a number of years. As well, I will be the first to admit that the limited number of alluvial acres in the world become frequently replenished by floods and might be continuously farmed for centuries but all farmland will eventually wear out and need a long fallow period to refresh itself.

It's possible that some areas were abandoned temporarily, but others haven't. And even in the cases where some might have been abandoned for a bit, we're still talking hundreds of years of cultivation.

AFAIK the areas in the Nile River valley and at least some of the Nile Delta have been in continuous cultivation since ancient Egypt. I can't recall any periods of history where Egypt became more-or-less abandoned. Same would be true for significant areas of China, the Ganges River Valley and Europe. What about the Po River Valley in Italy? Even during the Dark Ages most of that was probably still under cultivation. Probably the same is true for other parts of Italy as well as parts of France, Spain and Britain.
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
User avatar
copious.abundance
Fission
Fission
 
Posts: 9589
Joined: Wed 26 Mar 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Cornucopia

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby hillsidedigger » Wed 12 Aug 2009, 22:45:04

After the last ice-age a large swath of China was left with a 300' deep layer of loess (wind deposted topsoil) which is easily worked, highly productive but highly erodible which is why China had and has an abnormally large number of people and is also why the 'Yellow River' is yellow.

I have read that well over half of that inheritance of loess is now washed away, in some areas, over 90% washed away.

The Palouse region of Eastern Washington has 30' of topsoil (ash from the Cascade volcanoes) over a large area and it is dry-land farmed for wheat with very little rain but that soil won't last forever either. I drove farm machinery there for 2 seasons in the mid-1970's.

Of the 4 or maybe 5 billion acres of arable land in the world, I would bet that 80% of it has been brought into production since the beginning of the Age of Oil.
User avatar
hillsidedigger
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 552
Joined: Sun 31 May 2009, 22:31:27
Location: Way up North in the Land of Cotton.

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby hillsidedigger » Wed 12 Aug 2009, 22:59:28

Consider this case of ephemerally spreading world food abundance (written by me on another site):


"Located within far Eastern North Carolina is an area of hundreds of thousands of acres on the peninsula between the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds called the 'pocosins' which is chronic 'wetland', flat as flat can be, of only a few feet in elevation. Pine trees managed to slowly grow in parts of the area and it was largely held and traded earlier in the 20th. Century by timber companies. About 1975, a large agribusiness company acquired something like 275,000 acres there and was determined to drain that land and turn it into what they called a 'protein factory' raising soybeans and feeding to hogs.

Over the next 20 years, thousands of miles of drainage ditches were dug across that tract with an army of massive track-hoes using millions of gallons of fuel and a few seasons of soybeans were planted and harvested.

Then came the remains of hurricane 'Floyd' (in the late summer of 1997 as I recall). Over a foot of rain fell there and virtually all of the thousands of miles of drainage ditches became filled with sand over one night and none of that land was any longer 'arable'.

The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service now holds that 275,000 acres and quite a bit more of the land around it as the 'Pocosin Lakes' and 'Alligator River' National Wildlife Refuges."
User avatar
hillsidedigger
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 552
Joined: Sun 31 May 2009, 22:31:27
Location: Way up North in the Land of Cotton.

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby copious.abundance » Wed 12 Aug 2009, 23:14:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilFinder2', 'T')here are soils in Europe and Asia which have been under continuous cultivation for literally thousands of years.
Of course. Many European communities have resisted industrial agriculture and heavy machinery, ammonia fertilizers, and toxic biocides, etc. The "Fertile Crescent" between the Tigris and Euphrates is desert now, dependent on mechanical irrigation now. Many of the alluvial plains you discuss in your later post are dependent on siltation that is being curtailed by modern levee construction.

1. Not all of these areas I described are alluvial plains. Many of the farming areas in the UK and France, for example, are not alluvial plains. They've been growing wheat on Sicily for thousands of years. No alluvial plains there. And even many of the areas in the alluvial plains don't flood very often, if at all.

2. The farmland in the Tigris-Euphrates valley is not all desert now, most of it is still in agriculture. It was irrigated thousands of years ago, and it is still irrigated now. Now, what difference does it make whether the soil receives water from a ditch 3,000 years ago, or if it receives water from a ditch now? Absolutely none.

3. All those inputs you speak of will more probably extend the life of the soil, not hasten its demise - not to mention make it yet more productive. You said just as much when you said, "It is still extremely productive because of oil." But then you contradict yourself when you said we are depleting it ever moreso rapidly: "It take hundreds of years to make a inch of the stuff. And we are destroying it everywhere at several inches a decade." So, are modern agricultural methods making the soil more productive? Or are they depleting it ever more rapidly? You've claimed both - now take a stand! Which is it?

4. There is plenty of mechanism, fertilizer inputs, etc. in European farming. Really! :shock:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilFinder2', 'T')he soils in the Midwest have been under continuous cultivation for almost 200 years. Some soils along the US east coast have been under continuous cultivation for more than 300 years.

So what. Soils in the prairie were six feet deep. Some are now only inches thick.

And 99% of them are still six feet deep. Yawn.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', 'I')t is still extremely productive because of oil.
Oh - but you said:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '[')b]This last party that Oily is reveling in represents the final planetary drawdown a very precious irreplaceable resource--healthy topsoil. It take hundreds of years to make a inch of the stuff. And we are destroying it everywhere at several inches a decade. There is no replacement.
Now, if these soils were all washed away because of over-use, no amount of oil could save them - no? Once again I ask you: Is modern agricultural methods extending the productivity of soil, or is it depleting it by several inches per decade? Can't have it both ways, sorry.
Last edited by copious.abundance on Wed 12 Aug 2009, 23:23:55, edited 1 time in total.
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
User avatar
copious.abundance
Fission
Fission
 
Posts: 9589
Joined: Wed 26 Mar 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Cornucopia
Top

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby copious.abundance » Wed 12 Aug 2009, 23:17:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('hillsidedigger', 'C')onsider this case of ephemerally spreading world food abundance (written by me on another site):


"Located within far Eastern North Carolina is an area of hundreds of thousands of acres on the peninsula between the Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds called the 'pocosins' which is chronic 'wetland', flat as flat can be, of only a few feet in elevation. Pine trees managed to slowly grow in parts of the area and it was largely held and traded earlier in the 20th. Century by timber companies. About 1975, a large agribusiness company acquired something like 275,000 acres there and was determined to drain that land and turn it into what they called a 'protein factory' raising soybeans and feeding to hogs.

Over the next 20 years, thousands of miles of drainage ditches were dug across that tract with an army of massive track-hoes using millions of gallons of fuel and a few seasons of soybeans were planted and harvested.

Then came the remains of hurricane 'Floyd' (in the late summer of 1997 as I recall). Over a foot of rain fell there and virtually all of the thousands of miles of drainage ditches became filled with sand over one night and none of that land was any longer 'arable'.

The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service now holds that 275,000 acres and quite a bit more of the land around it as the 'Pocosin Lakes' and 'Alligator River' National Wildlife Refuges."

You're always going to get the occasional natural disaster wiping out decades of hard work. That too, has been going on for thousands of years. If they wanted to, they could have re-built the ditches and re-established the farms in this part of NC. In this particular case they simply decided they didn't want to.
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
User avatar
copious.abundance
Fission
Fission
 
Posts: 9589
Joined: Wed 26 Mar 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Cornucopia
Top

Re: Spreading World Food Abundance

Unread postby copious.abundance » Wed 12 Aug 2009, 23:35:26

I don't see any farms in that first picture.

This thread is about agriculture.
Stuff for doomers to contemplate:
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1190117.html#p1190117
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1193930.html#p1193930
http://peakoil.com/forums/post1206767.html#p1206767
User avatar
copious.abundance
Fission
Fission
 
Posts: 9589
Joined: Wed 26 Mar 2008, 03:00:00
Location: Cornucopia

PreviousNext

Return to Open Topic Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests

cron