I think we need a thread to track alarmist doomer predictions and hold them accountable for them, feel free to add, ill get us started with a couple:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')exico wont survive in its present form for more than I'd say about a year from the time they cease to be an Oil Exporting nation. - Airline Pilot

[outcast]

Whenever possible be sure to include date of prediction (when referring to something more general such as "XXXX will happen next year")


Here's my contribution:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hile I had serious doubts about America's ability to recover from Katrina, I am certain that - barring divine intervention - the United States is finished; not only as a superpower, but possibly even as a single, unified nation with the arrival of Hurricane Rita.
-- Mike Ruppert, September 21, 2005

[FireJack]

Ah some days I wish I could be like theantidoomer and just ignore all peak oil, resource depletion, overpopulation, potable water shortages, and major economic problems and say "technology will solve them all" and be a general asshole about it.

I don't know why people feel the need to make predictions. Things will get worse, and keep getting worse, no need for specifics.

[endtimes]

prediction,.theantidoomer is doomed.

[mattduke]

"Subprime is Contained"

Paulson, 1 August 2007

[outcast]

Good one, here's another:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')t's going to go higher, maybe way higher. It's not going to collapse. It's not a bubble, not a temporary energy spike. - Matthew Simmons right before the oil price crashed down to ~$60

[Pops]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('In my first post here: Sat Apr 03, 2004 2:30 pm, I', ' ')I don’t believe there will be an oil “crash” soon, but there certainly could be an economic crash as the cost of oil and virtually everything else begins its inevitable rise. That is the wild card; how long do we have to prepare before the cost of preparing is out of reach or the necessities unavailable?

[copious.abundance]

Here's a classic one for backwards reasoning.

>>> LINK <<<
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', 'M')y original prediction for 2008 was a high of $146, about the price now.

Based upon the likely collpase of the two main mortgage companies in the US, Fannie and Freddie, and the subsequent fiscal and monetary fallout, there is no longer any practical limit to just how high the price can go.

[DantesPeak]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilFinder2', 'H')ere's a classic one for backwards reasoning.

>>> LINK <<<
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', 'M')y original prediction for 2008 was a high of $146, about the price now.

Based upon the likely collpase of the two main mortgage companies in the US, Fannie and Freddie, and the subsequent fiscal and monetary fallout, there is no longer any practical limit to just how high the price can go.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', 'H')ey I guess you and the doomer knew at the start of 2008 would rise to $146 and then fall back. Great call, but what exactly were your predictions for 2008?

[FireJack]

It is actually quite amusing quoting people like Bernanke on what they have been says the last few years.

March 28th, 2007 – Ben Bernanke: "At this juncture . . . the impact on the broader economy and financial markets of the problems in the subprime markets seems likely to be contained,"

March 28th, 2007 – Ben Bernanke: "At this juncture . . . the impact on the broader economy and financial markets of the problems in the subprime markets seems likely to be contained,"

August 10th, 2008 – Paulson: ``We have no plans to insert money into either of those two institutions.” (Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac)

Those guys just keep saying everything is okay now and were going up, all the way down. How you could possibly think we're heading into a techno-utopia at this point is beyond me. I recently made the mistake of watching Barllet http://www.youtube.com/view_play_list?p=6A1FD147A45EF50D I mean at this point all I can do is look at what AntiDoomer is claiming and say "that's just sad man."

[outcast]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')TW - Why do cornucopians always seem more concerned with mocking others than making their own predictions, and explaining why?