Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Peak Oil Profiteering

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Peak Oil Profiteering

Unread postby directinfo » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 01:53:36

A guy on my yahoogroup gave to me the following excellent analysis of Peak Oil Profiteering. You might want to download this file or reference them to your friends who are considering what to do prior to the collapse and remonetization of the dollar and collapse of the on-grid housing market.

http://www.arkbuilders.org/Nathan/peak_oil_profit_I/peak-oil-profit-I.html

http://www.arkbuilders.org/Nathan/peak_oil_profit_II/peak-oil-profit-II.html

These are two excellent visually intensive presentations, especially useful for engaging our short-span-of-attention generation towards the coming crash and relevant necessary economic positioning.

Peak Oil Profiteering

We at ArkBuilders advocate a transfer of fiat-based assets like stocks, bonds, bills, notes and anything denominated in Dollars, or any other currency for that matter, into gold and silver metal (specifically NOT numismatic collector-type coins but the purest form of metal in a recognizeable and traded form). This is basically the first investment steps within a 2-tiered investment strategy for obtaining excellent Post-Peak Oil Crash positioning with as little as 10 or 20,000 USD, bringing 1-2 million in buying power in return, adjusted for inflation.

The first tier includes a return of 10 times for the precious metals investment after 5-10 years. That is the easy part. The second tier of 10 times again, compounded over the first investment returns, comes only after enduring a long learning curve for developments within an organic farm community of organic farmers that feeds a city-power of sustainable size for symbiotic protection and profit. A central assumption for the second tier of 10-times returns is that your organically viable farm, which is in close proximity to a sustainable city-power, will be marginally devalued in price (crashed valuation, popped real estate bubble effect) at the same time that precious metals reaches it's mania highs, which is of course an effect of both the currency bubble and housing bubble popping, not to mention the compounded effect of civilization coming to an end. The investment returns, in fact, could be underestimated as far as I know. This is never-before-seen territory we are entering. The point is to have a plan and a few scenarios already on the drawing board... something sorely lacking today even among the Peak Oil Watchdogs.

Our central question to the masses is: "When are you going to wake up?"

Our central questions to the awakened minority is: "When are you going to end your self-centered focus and begin a life of service to others?" That is where true greatness awaits. Start with your family.

Will you develop a set of viable scenarios to enable profit, inspiration, preservation and sustained good living even while survivors will be looking for a lifeline just to survive? Our position is that you must stand-up now and be a person with a solution at this critical time when virtually nobody is standing up and offering comprehensive family-oriented solutions. We are entering an era of unprecedented need and unprecedented impotence combined.

Total time for the so-called "10-squared profits" to materialize would depend upon the crash scenario -hard or soft- plus local economic conditions within that post-metal investment. About 20 years, give or take 5-years with a little luck on all social and economic fronts.

The working version of this investment plan is here:
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/ArkBuilders_org/message/55

Thanks, as always, your comments are welcome.

Regards,
Tate
Moscow
Last edited by directinfo on Thu 21 Apr 2005, 03:31:12, edited 2 times in total.
User avatar
directinfo
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 164
Joined: Sat 05 Jun 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Moscow

Unread postby tdrive » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 02:27:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')our comments are welcome.


If you really want to profit from peak oil you need something much
more sophisticated, not just buying 50 gold coins and stuffing
them in the drawer, then wait 20 years to appreciate while planting
tomatoes and onions in your back yard.

Cheers,
User avatar
tdrive
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 334
Joined: Sun 11 Jul 2004, 03:00:00

Unread postby Colorado-Valley » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 03:49:28

Hey! That's what I'm doing.

Except my backyard is a 120-acre farm. 8)
User avatar
Colorado-Valley
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 729
Joined: Mon 16 Aug 2004, 03:00:00

Unread postby spear » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 10:36:48

Thats what Im doing too.
Plus plans B,C,and D.
ΜΟΛΩΝ-ΛΑΒΕ
User avatar
spear
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 801
Joined: Wed 17 Nov 2004, 04:00:00
Location: EL-LAS

Unread postby aahala » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 11:54:42

You can call the plan "10-square" or you can call it
a 10,000% return on investment, but I call it a complete
load of crap.

If you wish to take investment advise from some unknown
person who can copy and paste a long-winded diatribe on
to a yahoo message board, be my guest.

I went to their website(many of the links are broken) and found
this "gem":

"Strategic planning and implementation services are available covering a wide scope of products and services on life saving topics including: Relocation, Financial Planning, Business Planning, Community Building, Energy Efficient Home and Renewable Powersource Construction, Family Protection, Preservationist Strategies and more."

Why do they need to say 'and more'? It pretty well covers the universe
and all its sins. What the hell does that paragraph really mean?
User avatar
aahala
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 944
Joined: Thu 03 Feb 2005, 04:00:00

Unread postby MicroHydro » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 13:07:47

IMO, the ultimate hedge for an oil supply problem is oil itself. On NYMEX, you can buy futures contracts for 1000 barrels of oil with delivery dates out to December 2011. For the very bold (foolish? reckless?), one can speculate on leverage - with the understanding that you could be wiped out by margin calls if the oil market declines.

When oil price peaks, everything else (bonds, stocks, real estate) will be bottoming and you can sell your oil contracts and buy the farm or whatever.
User avatar
MicroHydro
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1242
Joined: Sun 10 Apr 2005, 03:00:00

Unread postby tdrive » Thu 21 Apr 2005, 15:31:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')MO, the ultimate hedge for an oil supply problem is oil itself. On NYMEX, you can buy futures contracts for 1000 barrels of oil with delivery dates out to December 2011. For the very bold (foolish? reckless?), one can speculate on leverage - with the understanding that you could be wiped out by margin calls if the oil market declines.


For the not-so-bold and reckless, there are put options on the contracts
to limit your down-side risk. For the $20,000 initial capital in the
original article, instead of buying 40 gold coins, you can buy two
LSCO contracts and hedge with puts, and be merry for the next 10 years,
sans taxes, of course.

Cheers,
User avatar
tdrive
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 334
Joined: Sun 11 Jul 2004, 03:00:00

Unread postby directinfo » Fri 22 Apr 2005, 00:43:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('aahala', 'Y')ou can call the plan "10-square" or you can call it
a 10,000% return on investment, but I call it a complete
load of crap.

If you wish to take investment advise from some unknown
person who can copy and paste a long-winded diatribe on
to a yahoo message board, be my guest.

I went to their website(many of the links are broken) and found
this "gem":

"Strategic planning and implementation services are available covering a wide scope of products and services on life saving topics including: Relocation, Financial Planning, Business Planning, Community Building, Energy Efficient Home and Renewable Powersource Construction, Family Protection, Preservationist Strategies and more."

Why do they need to say 'and more'? It pretty well covers the universe
and all its sins. What the hell does that paragraph really mean?


You are correct about my website. It is a work stalled in progress. It is like a scribble on a notepad.

But take the 10-squared investment strategy separately please. I would like some criticism directed onto that document. Someone like you will help me find flaws and fix them. Will you please do me that favor?

You see, that document used to look a lot worse. But then I kept fixing it, using the advice of others mixed with my own investigations and now I have a pretty good document... or at least I think so.

If anyone sees improvement potential or failures, please point them out for me. This document is for you, afterall, the Peak Oil aware and active.

Cheers,
Tate
User avatar
directinfo
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 164
Joined: Sat 05 Jun 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Moscow

OK, Where is the meat?

Unread postby directinfo » Sat 23 Apr 2005, 07:26:49

So far, the ideas haven't been too exciting out there.

A couple of guys rightly point out that paper markets will be more profitable than precious metal markets but they fail to say these important words: "short term".

When industrial civilization begins breaking down, don't you guys think that some of these banking instutions behind your call options on oil will begin going bankrupt?

Paper will burn. Metal will survive another 5,000 years, as with the previous 5,000.

How many paper notes have we endured in the last 2,000 years since Ceasar? Any clue? Well, paper continues to burn every year. It is called inflation. It happens when powerful men get behind printing presses.

So, any other ideas out there?

I am looking for improvements on my strategy for defending against the Peak Oil crash.

Regards,
Tate
User avatar
directinfo
Peat
Peat
 
Posts: 164
Joined: Sat 05 Jun 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Moscow

Unread postby KiddieKorral » Sat 23 Apr 2005, 07:31:40

Need I remind you about the Code of Conduct?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Code of Conduct', 'U')nsolicited advertisements: This includes offering goods, services, employment, or soliciting donations. This also includes advertising for a website. If you have something to sell, please contact an administrator and buy a banner.
American by birth, Muslim by choice, Southern by the grace of God!
User avatar
KiddieKorral
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 851
Joined: Fri 18 Jun 2004, 03:00:00
Location: 28° N 81° W

Unread postby mididoctors » Sat 23 Apr 2005, 12:28:38

How about borrowing a shit load of money from the banks buying into stocks associated with oil... spread them out amongst your mates

then cash in your credibility by publishing a superduperspike report or something equally bollox...

sell the stock at a profit pay back the short term loan and keep the profit

thats pre peak oil profiteering

then rinse repeat until no one believes a word you say

buying gold and silver and waiting 20 yrs.... what a puny plan

Boris
london
User avatar
mididoctors
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 578
Joined: Mon 30 Aug 2004, 03:00:00
Location: London


Return to Economics & Finance

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

cron