by gg3 » Wed 20 Apr 2005, 04:49:26
Let's not forget that there is presently an obsession with end-times prophesies (unrelated to the St. Malachy item) and the Second Coming amongst the radical fringe of evangelical Protestants in the US.
It is possible that the new Pope, given his reactionary stance on a number of issues (and reactionary is the correct word, see also his vociferous criticism of "modernism"), sees himself as somehow related to that trend. Either that his own thinking is convergent with it, or he wishes to tap into that stream of emotion by way of providing something to energize a potentially activist subset of the Catholic faithful, or he wishes to compete with it in the "marketplace" of religious doctrine.
But in any case, here we have a Pope who has chosen for himself a name that directly reflects the St. Malachy prophesy.
The central fact of Cardinal Ratzinger's recent history and activities, is his doctrinal rigidity. This is particularly relevant to issues of sexuality and reproduction (can anyone guess where I'm going with this?).
If in fact the prophesy plays out as given (or, if it becomes self-fulfilling), there is an obvious reason why the Catholic Church would come to be the target of such actions as could destroy Rome:
That, specifically, is the Church's opposition to all methods of birth control aside from the Rhythm Method, in a world of 6+ billion people, that is running out of key resources within our own lifetimes.
Pope Benedict might live and rule the Church for another decade or so. During that time the world may well pass the threshold for overshoot, dieoff, and collapse. If he sticks to his rigid stance about birth control, he and the Church will be (not "might be", but "will be"; I'm choosing my words carefully here) blamed by a large portion of the world (rightly or wrongly) for having foisted this greatest of tragedies upon us.
As we all know, an overpopulated world, starving, running out of oil, running out of fresh water, and suffering global climate impacts, will be a very very volatile and unstable place. The number of smaller states having nuclear weapons will probably continue to increase by two or three during this period, and the possession of nuclear weapons by terrorists is already (at present) considered a credible threat, which will also increase.
The known history of the Church re. birth control, in a desperately overpopulated world in collapse mode, in turn could lead to terrorist actions, or even outright war by another country, against Vatican City or against Rome in general. If such acts include the use of WMDs particularly nuclear weapons, we then have the destruction of Vatican City and/or of Rome.
I'll make a couple of predictions right here: Benedict will die at the early stages of the dieoff phase of collapse. His successor will come in at a time when the world's people are starting to blame the Church for the overpopulation that has led to the predicament of the times. His successor will almost immediately go into "apology mode," and attempt to reverse the Church's position on birth control. However, at that point it will be too late. The public will see this as weakness and caving-in, and when this occurs the Church will fall from its present position as a leading denomination among the world's religions. In effect the Church will suddenly be seen as terribly weak.
As soon as the "weak Church" meme starts to spread, latent resentments, historic grudges, and overt hostilities will rise to the surface. This sets the scene for some minor dictator with an a-bomb, or some terrorist group with an a-bomb, to attempt to take revenge against the Vatican. *Boom.* Game over.
This in turn will feed whatever end-times sentiments are present among Protestants and Jews, leading to a tendency toward self-fulfilling prophesy among those faiths as well.
Now strictly speaking, I can't find it in my heart to pre-judge Pope Benedict in such a manner as to foreclose the possibility that he might, just might, possibly, see the light about overpopulation and resource crash. I hope and pray that he does. But if he doesn't; if he holds fast to the Church's present dogma about reproduction, he will reap the proverbial whirlwind.