I downloaded a pamphlet from NREL on payback times in solar PV systems and the numbers didn't seem to add up. http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy04osti/35489.pdf
They said that a meter square panel would see 1700kWhrs/year in a good sunny location. At 12% efficiency that's 200kWhrs/year. Those numbers I understand and agree with. Then they claim it takes 600kWhrs to make the silicon (plus 200kWhrs for the other components of the panel) and determined an energy payback time of 4 years for amorphous silicon. So far so good.
Then I said to myself WTF? At $0.05/kwHr wholesale this panel is going to produce $10/year of electricity. If I assume $2/Wpeak (which I certainly wasn't finding retail in a casual web search) a m2 would be $240 giving an economic payback time of 24 years.
Why is the economic payback period so different from the energy payback period? Well, obviously it's got to be salaries and capital costs. So when we calculate EROEI don't we have to include the energy consumed when the workers spend their paychecks and the energy used to build the production plant? Does the oil industry extract oil with a lot fewer workers / capital costs?
Signed, perplexed






Solar panels do not make any sense now with grid power at .07 to .18 per kwh. After the peak when the grid is down or they are charging you 2.00/kwh they will make perfect sense but the demand will far exceed supply. So avoid the rush and get them now while the getting's good. If the grid never goes down you have an expensive toy that wastes less money then an RV and fishing boat and if the grid does go down you will be the family hero. This is a faith test for the Peak Oil religion. Truly penitent men will buy enough PV panels to be independent of the grid at least when the sun is shinning.