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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

PO, just a sham to rip us off?

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Unread postby Ludi » Sun 17 Apr 2005, 07:49:59

That was quite the opposite from an ad hominem attack, actually. I was saying that his observations may be quite accurate and original on some things, not on others. It's up to us to sort the wheat from the chaff.
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Unread postby Wildwell » Sun 17 Apr 2005, 22:15:29

I've lost faith in this whole growth argument which is central to much of these concepts- I do wonder about people's crudentials with this stuff. I'm not saying anyone is going out their way to form a scam, but there is a propotion of the Peak oil crowd which acts in a cult like manner, some if it has political overtones.

Verdict

1. The concept of peak oil is very likely to be real and production will peak at some point, from now to 2042.

2. The limits of growth stuff is nonsense if the whole picture in taken into account.

3. Peak oil is a transport problem maily for airlines and to an extent private cars, I do not subscribe to the die-off theory.

I don't think I have anything else to add.
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Unread postby linlithgowoil » Mon 18 Apr 2005, 05:40:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'V')erdict

1. The concept of peak oil is very likely to be real and production will peak at some point, from now to 2042.

2. The limits of growth stuff is nonsense if the whole picture in taken into account.

3. Peak oil is a transport problem maily for airlines and to an extent private cars, I do not subscribe to the die-off theory.

I don't think I have anything else to add.


I concur with the above. Lets just keep focused on the narrow issue of the actual physical decline in oil production. I dont think there is any real need to go into other areas such as die-off, limits to growth etc., because these are just conjecture and theories, whereas we know oil production does tend to follow a bell shaped curve - in individual fields, whole countries and, probably, worldwide.

I really think that the whole malthusian thing tarnishes the peak oil position. Its far better just to stick to hard, known facts about oil production - like deffeys does.
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Unread postby sjn » Mon 18 Apr 2005, 06:51:17

Are you guys serious? Are you suggesting the world can handle an unlimited number of people and their associated environmental impact? Economic growth is a measure of population growth combined with the (productive) activity of that population. Since "productive" activity in the global economy is largely provided by "consumers", I think the impact on resources and the environment (both of which can be considered energy) is obvious.

Oil isn't a luxury, as regions become depleted of resources and incur environmental damage it becomes necessary to compensate by procuring resources from outside or using energy intensive methods to produce these resources (through the use of oil and other fossil fuels). This includes food and water - something most people I think would agree is quite important to maintaining a population.
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Unread postby Wildwell » Mon 18 Apr 2005, 07:07:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('sjn', 'A')re you guys serious? Are you suggesting the world can handle an unlimited number of people and their associated environmental impact? Economic growth is a measure of population growth combined with the (productive) activity of that population. Since "productive" activity in the global economy is largely provided by "consumers", I think the impact on resources and the environment (both of which can be considered energy) is obvious.

Oil isn't a luxury, as regions become depleted of resources and incur environmental damage it becomes necessary to compensate by procuring resources from outside or using energy intensive methods to produce these resources (through the use of oil and other fossil fuels). This includes food and water - something most people I think would agree is quite important to maintaining a population.


It depends whether you think things like cars are needed to maintain population. I’d like to see someone argue that case. The fact is much of the machinery we have is for luxury purposes.

'A third of drivers have abandoned a journey and gone home after being unable to find a parking space at their destination, according to a survey commissioned by the foundation.

The lack of spaces contributes to congestion because up to 80 per cent of traffic in city centres is made up of drivers searching for somewhere to park'

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/newspaper/ ... 47,00.html

There was a story in today’s Times that basically argues we have run out of space for cars. As people’s affluence increases, they demand more energy, not necessary the other way about. Instead of walking, cycling or talking the bus, they drive. The problem is for this small island is we have just run out of space – with cars competing for space with other things in the landscape. There are many, many other issues and as it’s been said lets look at the problems and solutions without getting into some fringe economic and political ideologies.

The ‘green’ issues and road traffic issues already dominate people’s life, it’s not like this stuff is never talked about.

http://news.independent.co.uk/uk/politi ... ory=630532

PS I said I didn’t have anything to add, and added something! Naughty me!
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