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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

World economic growth has peaked

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Unread postby Cyrus » Sun 17 Apr 2005, 16:17:52

MonteQuest...dont even partake in this flamewar....Out wildwll here is just scared of the truth *sigh*...no offense. 8)
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Unread postby airstrip1 » Sun 17 Apr 2005, 16:32:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jack', 'A')s interesting as the efforts to keep things alive will be, I think the psychology of the people involved will be more interesting.

The steps are, as I recall, denial, anger, bargaining, depression, and acceptance.



Can we add drinking to the list ? It's the phase I like best.
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Unread postby Aaron » Sun 17 Apr 2005, 16:39:04

The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Unread postby killJOY » Sun 17 Apr 2005, 16:57:14

Researchers can't predict how a substance will work on the human body, yet many people here pretend to be able to predict how peak oil will affect a complex system like our current economic system. It's amusing.

Peak Oil is fairly straightforward: here's about what we have left in the ground; here's the way oilfields typically behave; here's current production and demand. The rest is math.

It's not that easy with economics.

Not that I'm preparing for a bright future, mind you...
Peak oil = comet Kohoutek.
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Unread postby chargrove » Sun 17 Apr 2005, 17:07:41

Maybe it's just me, but... am I the only person who doesn't quite understand the amount of hostility between MQ and Wildwell in this thread? I mean, don't get me wrong, but it seems like both of you are on roughly the same side of things, and it's just a slight difference in degree of severity that you interpret the situation. So why the harsh tone?

Seriously, we have a enough of a challenge dealing with people in the outside world in regards to this situation. Why complicate things by fighting unnecessarily amongst ourselves? If we're gonna have to learn to be good neighbors, we might as well start here, right?
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Unread postby MonteQuest » Sun 17 Apr 2005, 17:22:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('chargrove', 'M')aybe it's just me, but... am I the only person who doesn't quite understand the amount of hostility between MQ and Wildwell in this thread? I mean, don't get me wrong, but it seems like both of you are on roughly the same side of things, and it's just a slight difference in degree of severity that you interpret the situation. So why the harsh tone?


Perhaps I have grown impatient. I tire of having to repeat myself, and especially to people who come on here stating that common knowledge is false; who don't even have a command of the subject and have to revert to google search plagiarisms for rebuttal. I get frustrated with people who don't do their homework and waste my time.

I'm off for a beer! [smilie=occasion14.gif]
Last edited by MonteQuest on Sun 17 Apr 2005, 17:29:13, edited 1 time in total.
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Unread postby NevadaGhosts » Sun 17 Apr 2005, 17:27:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('chargrove', 'M')aybe it's just me, but... am I the only person who doesn't quite understand the amount of hostility between MQ and Wildwell in this thread? I mean, don't get me wrong, but it seems like both of you are on roughly the same side of things, and it's just a slight difference in degree of severity that you interpret the situation. So why the harsh tone?

Seriously, we have a enough of a challenge dealing with people in the outside world in regards to this situation. Why complicate things by fighting unnecessarily amongst ourselves? If we're gonna have to learn to be good neighbors, we might as well start here, right?


Why can't we all just get along? Holding hands, hugging, and singing campfire songs is the answer to all of the world's problems. A happy happy feel good, daisy-picking lifestyle will help us avoid a crash.
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Unread postby airstrip1 » Sun 17 Apr 2005, 17:30:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', '[')url=http://www.financialsense.com/fsu/editorials/2005/0123.html]interesting[/url]


Having read the article I really do need a drink. When the dot com bubble went down in 2000 US interest rates should have been raised and the world economy should have had a recession so that existing debts could be worked off. Instead, Greenspan cut interest rates and encouraged further borrowing. I think he took the decision to support the interests of his financial masters. Over the intervening 5 years he has given them time to offload much of their lliabilities onto the general population and to foreign purchasers of US debt. Since the suckers are now holding the bag the edifice can be allowed to collapse. The US politicians know what is coming and have taken the necessary steps to protect the interests of their corporate backers by passing the recent amendments to the bankruptcy legislation. As a result many US citizens are goiing to be turned into little more than debt bondsmen. Whether the crash will turn out quite so rosy for the US elites, as some think, is more open to question. There is a mountain of debt hidden in the derivative market that even the saviest investors think is impossible to quantify. When it unwinds it is going to launch a financial avalanche that will sweep even some supposedly invulnerable institutions away. Events may be about to get out of hand.
Last edited by airstrip1 on Sun 17 Apr 2005, 17:36:54, edited 1 time in total.
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Unread postby NevadaGhosts » Sun 17 Apr 2005, 17:35:59

I think it is now obvious that unlimited growth of capitalism in the US cannot continue. From now on, the US has only one way to go... Down.
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Unread postby Wildwell » Sun 17 Apr 2005, 17:45:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('chargrove', 'M')aybe it's just me, but... am I the only person who doesn't quite understand the amount of hostility between MQ and Wildwell in this thread? I mean, don't get me wrong, but it seems like both of you are on roughly the same side of things, and it's just a slight difference in degree of severity that you interpret the situation. So why the harsh tone?


Perhaps I have grown impatient. I tire of having to repeat myself, and especially to people who come on here stating that common knowledge is false; who don't even have a command of the subject and have to revert to google search plagiarisms for rebuttal. I get frustrated with people who don't do their homework and waste my time.

I'm off for a beer! [smilie=occasion14.gif]


One Google search to double check things, it's a fairly sensible thing to do. Most of the stuff I write on here is my own knowledge I can assure you. I don't remember once stating common knowledge was false, I merely made a point about the application of knowledge. You see to think this idea of economic growth has a direct correlation with growth is set in stone, when it's just a theory of a few people, mainly ecologists.

Net worth increases through interest, value and demand.

An easy example, If all the women in the world decided to charge $10,000 for sex each time overnight, banks could lend men money on the basis there is a supply of women AND charge interest increasing the money supply and debt for no additional energy requirement compared to the previous night, just a change in arrangement.
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Unread postby satjeet » Sun 17 Apr 2005, 19:54:46

so the night the pope died i saw the fat lady jane eaglen sing at the chicago ring talk about co-incidices! just as she looks in act two at siegfried's hand and utters "Der Ring!" she takes command of the opera and the world changes forever!

{Moderator's note: deleted three repetitive posts after this one}
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Unread postby MonteQuest » Mon 18 Apr 2005, 20:13:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Wildwell', ' ')I don't remember once stating common knowledge was false, I merely made a point about the application of knowledge.


You are joking, right? Your whole thread is about a perpetual motion machine! You dismiss the fact that there are no free lunches and you just can't get something for nothing. The laws of thermodynamics are the most supreme laws of the universe, especially 2nd law.

You claim that you can have economic growth without using more energy. Energy produces money, not the other way around. These are all "common knowledge" facts that you claim are false.

Your notion of growing GDP by "price inflation" reeks of your lack of basic understanding of economics.

When prices go up due to inflation, more money has to be put into the economy as it takes more to facilitate commerce.

How does new money get into the supply? It is borrowed at interest.

In order to service this debt, the economy must grow. Ok, so you inflate prices again and borrow more. Are you getting the picture? Sometime, somehow, somewhere, somebody must increase productivity of real goods and services, which by definition results in the consumption of more energy.

As an example, look at housing prices. Inflated prices of homes without consuming more energy. Just value added. But in order to do this, we must borrow $2.9 billion dollars a day from foreign investors, primarily the central banks. Some day, somebody is going to have to produce some real goods and services to pay off this debt. And they will consume massive amounts of energy in the process.

There are no free lunches.
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Unread postby chargrove » Mon 18 Apr 2005, 22:01:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')A happy happy feel good, daisy-picking lifestyle will help us avoid a crash.

Enough of the snarkiness already. I wasn't suggesting "don't worry be happy" la-la land, but it would at least be nice if we'd stop eating our own, you know?
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Unread postby Carrie » Tue 19 Apr 2005, 00:54:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('chargrove', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')A happy happy feel good, daisy-picking lifestyle will help us avoid a crash.

Enough of the snarkiness already. I wasn't suggesting "don't worry be happy" la-la land, but it would at least be nice if we'd stop eating our own, you know?


I agree.
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