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Get your money out while you still can

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby Ludi » Mon 23 Mar 2009, 16:37:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AAA"
[quote="Schmuto', '
')Of course, now that we're going socialist/fascist, the laws will soon be changed . . .


Agree 100%[/quote]


When do you think the gift laws will be changed?
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby AAA » Mon 23 Mar 2009, 16:47:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AAA', '
')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Schmuto', '
')Of course, now that we're going socialist/fascist, the laws will soon be changed . . .


Agree 100%



When do you think the gift laws will be changed?


I don't have any idea. I don't know much about it.

My thoughts are this:

The govt is going to need a lot of money now and in the future.

When they need money they usually go after the rich similiar to what we are seeing now.

95% or more of families will be well under the $3.5 million exclusion. Heck many families will be fine if the exclusion was only $1 million.

So the estate tax is basically a tax on the rich and everybody knows the Dems like to increase taxes.
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby Ludi » Mon 23 Mar 2009, 17:01:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AAA', '
')When they need money they usually go after the rich similiar to what we are seeing now.



It does tend to make some sense to go after the folks with the most money.

But it seems to me an awful lot of non-rich are fretting about taxes.
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby EnergyUnlimited » Mon 23 Mar 2009, 17:03:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AAA', '
')So the estate tax is basically a tax on the rich and everybody knows the Dems like to increase taxes.

But later they are giving away these money to rich in form of bailuots... :-D :-D :-D
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby vision-master » Mon 23 Mar 2009, 17:03:55

AAA,

Southern California - capitalism run amuck. :lol:

Don't lose yer J. :P
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby Blacksmith » Mon 23 Mar 2009, 17:06:53

Governments will go after:

(1) Money that cannot move offshore.

(2) Money that will not result in political donations being cut. :| :|
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby vision-master » Mon 23 Mar 2009, 17:10:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Blacksmith', 'G')overnments will go after:

(1) Money that cannot move offshore.

(2) Money that will not result in political donations being cut. :| :|


(3) Money that will cause mass rioting.........
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby EndOfGrowth » Mon 23 Mar 2009, 18:17:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('timmac', 'R')emoving large amounts of cash in 1 day does send up red flags to the ATF and DEA, banks do report this, they have to, it is always better to do smaller amounts over time, banks are not shutting down anytime soon so you do have plenty of time, let the over reacted ones remove large amounts and the GOV will focus on them and you will not be noticed withdrawing small/medium amounts over a few months..

Same goes for stock piling large amount of ammo and guns in a short time, do it slowly and a little at a time, they are watching, don't use credit card when buying ammo for stock piling...

Be wise about getting ready for when and if SHTF..

:mrgreen:


You sure about that?

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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby Newfie » Mon 23 Mar 2009, 23:15:51

Damned if I know what will happen. But ifn I had to bet I would say that the way to go would be to predict that people would in general try to "stay the course" and stay in denial as long as possible. Then when it is no longer possible the herd will panic and stamped in a unpredictable direction.

I don't know that hyperinflation vs. deflation really matters that much. As long as things are controlled and don't change too quickly we will go along.

Thus the question becomes - how long until the herd panics? How long do we go along for the ride? Judging by the mood of the public I see we are not there yet, but it could shift very, very quickly when it does.

That is what scares me. The unpredictability of it all.

Thoughts? When does panic set in?
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby Schmuto » Tue 24 Mar 2009, 01:11:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cid_Yama', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')'d wager that nobody who reads this thread has to worry about either estate or gift taxes.


You would lose. There are many of us here who fall under those tax laws.

Contrary to popular opinion, all of us are not Republicans.(Although my father was just right of Hitler, sitting on the right hand of Joseph McCarthy. And no, my real name is not Ron.)


I call BullSh-t.

"Many of us?"

Come on man. You have to gift away or bequeath MORE THAN 3.5 million to worry about it for this tax year.

There aren't "many of us" in the country who fit that, and I sincerely doubt that of the several hundred to a thousand folks who read this thread there is more than one who fits this.

Arma - Inlaws don't count unless they are reading this thread! :razz:
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby Cid_Yama » Tue 24 Mar 2009, 04:54:06

Three and a half million really isn't that much. Wouldn't even cover an AIG bonus. :lol:
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby alokin » Tue 24 Mar 2009, 07:16:30

If you have one two or three and a half million you don't really have to worry about an economic crisis. You buy yourself a nice farm and you even will have some savings left for equipment.
But most of us think about spending several hundreds or not, some maybe several thousands. When to put all that money under the mattress? Next week in some month another year or two?
Apart from CID having trouble getting a good sum of money out of the bank there are no clear signposts (unless the ones we're yet used to, like printing more and more money). But it is not clear were the tipping point is and what China will do. It is not clear either if the dollar takes other currencies with it (at least for me).
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby ReverseEngineer » Tue 24 Mar 2009, 07:45:09

The irony here is that MOST people worth $3.5 now don't have this money in liquid assets, its all actually invested in one market or another. If they knew what we know, they would dump their stocks for whatever they could get for them and buy a Super Doomstead with all the toys most of us have wet dreams over. But they DON'T. Because they still believe by having their Investments, this will pay a Dividend which gives them monetary Security.

All this money is invested in Treasuries, Equities and Commodities. Mostly static investments, most small holders of wealth don't day trade and short the market. People "worth" $3.5M a year ago are worth only a fraction of that now. As the investments stop paying off, they have less income, and can't pay the mortgage on their $1M house. The $1M house is now only worth $600K, and they are underwater on the mortgage. A year ago, they were a Millionaire. NOW they OWE a million dollars.

If you were smart enough to liquidate at the top of the market and don't have outstanding debt, you might have SOMETHING worth SOMETHING people would buy from you at the price you bought it at. But see, MOST folks won't liquidate, and so they all are losing money as the wealth which is debt money is sucked out of the system.

People "worth" $3.5M are just as poor as a welfare mom here now. Its only the Billionaires that have some "money", but even that is rendered worthless as the Fed prints TRILLIONS. Its a great leveller, a monetary system crash is. It makes everyone poor. Its just a matter of POWER now, not money. People with $3.5M have no power at all. They THOUGHT they were rich, YOU thought they were rich, now you both learn the TRUTH. That is JUSTICE.

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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby vision-master » Tue 24 Mar 2009, 09:17:05

I wish I had 3.5 thousand....... :lol:
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby the48thronin » Tue 24 Mar 2009, 10:26:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', 'I') wish I had 3.5 thousand....... :lol:



Me too, I would be able to buy 500 Caramel Machiotto grandes with an extra shot. 250 days of heavenly evenings drinking.

or 2 half cases of 30 06 ammo.

drinks bullets drinks bullets.... HMMMMMMM!
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby AAA » Tue 24 Mar 2009, 11:31:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ReverseEngineer', 'T')he irony here is that MOST people worth $3.5 now don't have this money in liquid assets, its all actually invested in one market or another. If they knew what we know, they would dump their stocks for whatever they could get for them and buy a Super Doomstead with all the toys most of us have wet dreams over. But they DON'T. Because they still believe by having their Investments, this will pay a Dividend which gives them monetary Security.


I agree at some point this is true. But look at recent history. There have been MANY events that scared people and if they would have followed your advice they would be sitting on a doomstead being bored since most (not all) multi-millionaires don't fit the homesteader mentality. Instead they invested in stocks, bonds, real estate, currencies, etc... and made a lot more money even though they gave a little back recently.

For example:

Y2K people thought the world would collapse. It didn't and the US had one of the greatest bull markets ever in both housing and wall street.
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby the48thronin » Tue 24 Mar 2009, 11:44:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AAA', '
')For example:

Y2K people thought the world would collapse. It didn't and the US had one of the greatest bull markets ever in both housing and wall street.



Maybe if you rephrased that into true speak...

People thought the world would collapse due to computer problems. When It didn't they started a fraudulent loan resale insurance scheme that allowed them to inflated the GDP numbers and create fictitious sales of bogus assets and collect billions in commissions. That made it seem like growth was unstoppable and even reflected into the bloated numbers posted on trades of phony assets and bonds.

NOW the world comes crashing down because the smoke ran out and the mirrors broke.

Unless of course we can invent some other fictitious BOOM to save us all from the reality that we were all just trading paper.

LOL Pay no attention to the man behind that curtain!
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby AAA » Tue 24 Mar 2009, 11:59:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('the48thronin', '
')Maybe if you rephrased that into true speak...

People thought the world would collapse due to computer problems. When It didn't they started a fraudulent loan resale insurance scheme that allowed them to inflated the GDP numbers and create fictitious sales of bogus assets and collect billions in commissions. That made it seem like growth was unstoppable and even reflected into the bloated numbers posted on trades of phony assets and bonds.

NOW the world comes crashing down because the smoke ran out and the mirrors broke.

Unless of course we can invent some other fictitious BOOM to save us all from the reality that we were all just trading paper.

LOL Pay no attention to the man behind that curtain!


Think about the 70s oil shocks. Everybody thought the US would never grow because it had no access to cheap oil.

Or the 29 crash.

Or the civil war.

Or any other major economic event in the past that the US has recovered from time and time again.
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby the48thronin » Tue 24 Mar 2009, 12:18:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AAA', '
')


Think about the 70s oil shocks. Everybody thought the US would never grow because it had no access to cheap oil.

Or the 29 crash.

Or the civil war.

Or any other major economic event in the past that the US has recovered from time and time again.


Hmmm a land of free men who solved their own problems and created a country not ruled by hereditary or "divine right" rulers.

Ran out of cheap domestic oil and started a sell off of assets and movement of manufacturing that to this day has continued resulting in an economy of paper traders instead of paper makers.

Gave over to social engineering after the 29 crash that solved no problems until the rulers decided to use warfare as a stimulus package.

That socialism and wealth redistribution so permeate the society that fraud and ab use are both public and private sector norms..

Tell me again about that recovery? What did we grow a house of cards spouting huge success stories about swapping phony papers back and forth while contracting the brick and mortar and labor to the slave master offering the lowest costs.?

Maybe you haven't noticed the lack of steel mills etc IN THIS COUNTRY.

Ah let me guess as global masters it isn't necessary for the USA to be strong by itself.. we can use those other people to defend us with their steel mills.

Thomas Jefferson would be so proud!
Samuel Adams too....
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Where is my pitchfork and torch? I need them for a visit to the castle!
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Re: Get your money out while you still can

Postby Roy » Tue 24 Mar 2009, 12:29:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')mmm a land of free men who solved their own problems and created a country not ruled by hereditary or "divine right" rulers.

Ran out of cheap domestic oil and started a sell off of assets and movement of manufacturing that to this day has continued resulting in an economy of paper traders instead of paper makers.

Gave over to social engineering after the 29 crash that solved no problems until the rulers decided to use warfare as a stimulus package.

That socialism and wealth redistribution so permeate the society that fraud and ab use are both public and private sector norms..

Tell me again about that recovery? What did we grow a house of cards spouting huge success stories about swapping phony papers back and forth while contracting the brick and mortar and labor to the slave master offering the lowest costs.?

Maybe you haven't noticed the lack of steel mills etc IN THIS COUNTRY.

Ah let me guess as global masters it isn't necessary for the USA to be strong by itself.. we can use those other people to defend us with their steel mills.

Thomas Jefferson would be so proud!
Samuel Adams too....


Image



:)
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