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Learning about Peak Oil

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Unread postby notacornucopian » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 14:28:06

Phil, as is customary around here, how about some links that demonstrate Ruppert's insanity and instability ?
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Unread postby stu » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 14:28:40

Ruppert on Wikipedia:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'R')uppert has asssembled an impressive body of facts, together with an extensive timeline that demonstrate the Bush Administration's advance knowledge of the September 11th terrorist attacks


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')t should also be noted that a recent survey by the internationally respected polling agency Zogby International found that 49.3% of New York City residents believed elements within the US government had foreknowledge of the attacks and that "they consciously failed to act" to prevent them


The only PO experts that Phil will listen to are Deffeyes and Simmons.

Heinberg, Ruppert, Darley and Campbell are not credible in his eyes because they have a certain level of belief in the 9/11 conspiracies.
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Unread postby PhilBiker » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 15:03:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('notacornucopian', 'P')hil, as is customary around here, how about some links that demonstrate Ruppert's insanity and instability ?
Google doesn't work for you?

http://www.madcowprod.com/MC6812004.html

http://www.thenation.com/capitalgames/i ... d=3&pid=66

http://mckinneysucks.blogspot.com/2002_ ... l#83047521

http://www.google.com/search?q=Ruppert+ ... 8&oe=utf-8

As I wrote, for some reason the guy is seen as a kind of Peak Oil Messiah and is charismatic, you will find a million positive messages for every bad thing you find about him. But for some reason the bad stuff seems so much more qualitative.

The Amazon low star reviews are very revealing also regarding his book.

It's up to you to judge credibility of a source.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'R')uppert has asssembled an impressive body of facts, together with an extensive timeline that demonstrate the Bush Administration's advance knowledge of the September 11th terrorist attacks
Impressive my ass.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')It should also be noted that a recent survey by the internationally respected polling agency Zogby International found that 49.3% of New York City residents believed elements within the US government had foreknowledge of the attacks and that "they consciously failed to act" to prevent them
Wow, 49.3% of New York residents lack critical thinking capacity. Interesting.... :)
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Unread postby Aaron » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 15:14:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cerryl', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') know Matt's already aware, but many consider the risk that some of the world's giant superfields will enter terminal decline at a rapid rate because of MRE the biggest depletion risk.

Would make 3% look anemic in comparison.


Sorry if I'm behind the curve on this one, but could someone please explain what MRE is?


Maximum Recovery Extraction
See Bottle Brush Wells, Pressure Extraction, Horizontal Drilling

(In the Army it means "Meal Ready to Eat" though)


Drilling technology which allows a field to continue producing oil at higher rates, even after it's natural peak should have forced a decline.

I'm surprised that more of you folks don't seem to recognize the serious consequences of rapid depletion way beyond a mere 3% averaged per year.

Where normal depletion can take decades, rapid depletion can occur in as little as 4-5 years.

There is ever reason to expect rapid depletion in these modern wells IMO.
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Unread postby PhilBiker » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 15:17:13

Do a google search for experience with the Yibal field in Oman for a scary revelation about how these MRE wells decline.

Here's a great website talking about Ruppert$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'R')uppert has long been a purveyor of amazing tales. In 1981, he told the Los Angeles Herald Examiner that bizarre story about himself and his former lover, and the paper ran a two-part piece on him. Whatever the truth of this romantic encounter, the relationship apparently exacted a toll on Ruppert. In 1978, he resigned from the force, claiming the department had not protected him when his life was threatened. According to records posted on Ruppert's site, his commanding officer called his service "for the most part, outstanding." But the C.O. also said Ruppert was hampered by an "overconcern with organized-crime activity and a feeling that his life was endangered by individuals connected to organized crime. This problem resulted in Officer Ruppert voluntarily committing himself to psychiatric care last year . . . A ny attempts to rejoin the Department by Officer Ruppert should be approved only after a thorough psychiatric examination."

In 1996, Ruppert showed up at a community meeting in Los Angeles, where then--CIA Director John Deutch was addressing charges that the CIA had been in league with crack-cocaine dealers. Before television cameras and national reporters, Ruppert said the Agency had tried to sign him up in the 1970s to "protect CIA drug operations" in Los Angeles -- an allegation missing from the guns-for-drugs story published in 1981. In 1998, he launched his From the Wilderness newsletter, which examines what he considers to be the hidden currents of international economics and national security untouched by other media. On March 31 of last year, for instance, he published a report on an economic conference in Moscow that featured a speaker who worked for Lyndon LaRouche. "I share a near universal respect of the LaRouche organization's detailed and precise research," Ruppert wrote. "I have not, however, always agreed with its conclusions." Ruppert maintains that 20 members of Congress subscribe to his newsletter.
You can decide what to believe.
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Unread postby Kent » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 15:22:37

When a person WANTS to believe something he can make himself do so no matter how much the facts may conflict with his previously held belief.

Contrarily, when a person DOESN'T WANT to believe something, no amount of evidence will be enough to convice him to see that a thing exists.

This subconscious mechanism seves to protect the individual from facing new information (or dumping cherished beliefs) which will create internal dissoncance, disturb or upset the individual, and create unacceptable levels of emotional pain.

People tend to seek pleasure and avoid pain. It is the most fundamental dynamic of the human condition.
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Unread postby PO_TimeCr0ss » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 15:33:37

Well, at least I know I can conjure up a good thread. :P

All I will say is that I decided to start with "The Party's Over" because it was one of the first books I came across repeatedly in my studies of PO. There are others, but I decided to start here. I feel I am quite capable of forming my own opinon on the book. And chances are, it won't be my last book about PO.

Oh, and no I don't have any children yet. I guess I should have said "unborn children" in my earlier post.
" Previous energy transitions were gradual and evolutionary. Oil peaking will be abrupt and revolutionary"
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Unread postby PhilBiker » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 15:43:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kent', 'W')hen a person WANTS to believe something he can make himself do so no matter how much the facts may conflict with his previously held belief.

Contrarily, when a person DOESN'T WANT to believe something, no amount of evidence will be enough to convice him to see that a thing exists.

This subconscious mechanism seves to protect the individual from facing new information (or dumping cherished beliefs) which will create internal dissoncance, disturb or upset the individual, and create unacceptable levels of emotional pain.

People tend to seek pleasure and avoid pain. It is the most fundamental dynamic of the human condition.
True in a general case for most of human nature, but not 100% true. I don't think that many of us wanted to believe in the peak oil problem, but we were convinced by the facts. (many back-to-nature types actually do want to believe in PO). Also it's a bit easier to get over this particular aspect of human nature if you're a certain Meyers-Briggs personality type or if you're at least aware of the tendency.

Ironically this part of human nature is a big reason for the allure of conspiracy theory. People subconciously don't want to believe that the governmental and protective organizations are so very vulnerable to something like an Ok city or September 11 attack or a JFK assassination. So it makes us feel assured in a strange way that it had to be a big complicated conspiracy to cause our protective system to fail so badly. In reality all it takes is one kook with a truck full of fertilizer of one kook with a rifle or a few kooks with some money for flight school to cause massive damage to the entire system.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')ll I will say is that I decided to start with "The Party's Over" because it was one of the first books I came across repeatedly in my studies of PO.
Enjoy it, that book really is a good introduction. However, take the political utopian stuff with a grain of salt. And remember that the research in nuclear science is much less exhaustive than his other research.
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Unread postby notacornucopian » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 15:50:01

This has gone on long enough - all I want to finish with is that I have read most of the opinions expressed by David Corn and others previously and I found nothing to change my feeling about Mike Ruppert to any significant degree. My final recommendation is to anyone reading this is to simply read the books listed in the reviews section and form your own opinion.
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Unread postby stu » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 15:50:11

Heinberg is good to start with.

Just ignore Phil. His assertions that because Heinberg buys into Rupperts theories make him a kook are ridiculous.

If we all thought that way then there would be a large volume of information about the upcoming energy crisis ignored, purely because of someones belief on a certain aspect that may or may not be related to PO.

Just becuase someone connects PO and 9/11 does not mean that the separate info they provide about depletion and it's impacts on humanity should be ignored.
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Unread postby NevadaGhosts » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 15:55:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PO_TimeCr0ss', 'W')ell, at least I know I can conjure up a good thread. :P

All I will say is that I decided to start with "The Party's Over" because it was one of the first books I came across repeatedly in my studies of PO. There are others, but I decided to start here. I feel I am quite capable of forming my own opinon on the book. And chances are, it won't be my last book about PO.

Oh, and no I don't have any children yet. I guess I should have said "unborn children" in my earlier post.


PO_TimeCr0ss,

Don't listen to Phil or anyone else until you do the reading\research. Then decide for yourself. The last chapter of 'The Party's Over' is quite optimistic. But I also strongly suggest purchasing Heinberg's second book 'Powerdown'. He isn't so optimistic in this book, and he explains why. Heinberg is very smart... his books make a lot of sense. I also suggest reading 'Crossing the Rubicon' and decide for yourself if Ruppert is a nut. Don't take Phil's or anyone else's word for it.

I agree with Stu. Just ignore Phil and do the research yourself. Then decide what you believe.
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Unread postby threadbear » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 16:01:05

Seeing intelligence agencies and other protective services as loveable but retarded oafs is much more appealing to most people than the reality--that the upper tiers of these agencies have decayed to the point of being functional criminal organizations.

If a third world country were experiencing the same amount of Woops! problems as the US is at present, you would quickly and clearly identify the problem as criminal collusion at the highest levels of govt, because you'd be emotionally detached. When it's your own country and that country has been fairly good to you, it's difficult to get perspective.

You're living in a country that is undergoing a paradigm shift in the rule of law, criminal acitivity and political adherance to it's own consitution, commensurate with a status shift from first to third world ecomomic climate. Yet you will still get up every morning, put your socks on the same way, eat your allbran, drink your orange juice, and your life will go on, as the backdrop slowly morphs outside the realm of your perceptions.

You have to travel internationally before you can get a proper fix on "home".

Of course Ruppert is going to be attacked when he looks into organized crime and it's tentacles into intelligence agencies. What kind of nitwit would expect anything else? Do you expect the LAPD, who also turned out to be compromised, would give him a ringing endorsement?
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Unread postby PhilBiker » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 16:10:22

Wow, I post all those links (here's another great one) and all we get is people telling you not to listen to me. Yeah, these people are really interested in "the truth" alright... As long as it supports what they want to understand in in the first place (that there's a conspiracy).
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Unread postby NevadaGhosts » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 16:24:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PhilBiker', 'W')ow, I post all those links (here's another great one) and all we get is people telling you not to listen to me. Yeah, these people are really interested in "the truth" alright... As long as it supports what they want to understand in in the first place (that there's a conspiracy).


I told him not to listen to you, or any of us until he does more research. You are entitled to your opinion, of course. :)
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Unread postby stu » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 16:35:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PhilBiker', 'W')ow, I post all those links (here's another great one) and all we get is people telling you not to listen to me. Yeah, these people are really interested in "the truth" alright... As long as it supports what they want to understand in in the first place (that there's a conspiracy).


Actually the real reason we've been telling people to ignore you is because you keep on labelling PO experts as uncredible because they don't totally buy the official version of events on 9/11.

What a great way to encourage research and open mindedness. :roll:
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Unread postby PhilBiker » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 16:43:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NevadaGhosts', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PhilBiker', 'W')ow, I post all those links (here's another great one) and all we get is people telling you not to listen to me. Yeah, these people are really interested in "the truth" alright... As long as it supports what they want to understand in in the first place (that there's a conspiracy).


I told him not to listen to you, or any of us until he does more research. You are entitled to your opinion, of course. :)
Ha! The "research" you suggest is to read all the bullshit! F##k that! Why in hell would I waste my time reading the ravings of a megalomaniac lunatic in order to decide it's bunk? It's like why would I want to subject myself to the brainwashing of the Church of Scientology or Lyndon Larouche to know that they're a bunch of bullshit.

That's flawed logic. We have critical thinking skills in order to help us to determine what to avoid. Our brains are easily manipulated, why would I want to read the literature written specifically to get people caught up in Ruppert's "Peak Oil Messiah" cult?

Screw that.

I say avoid the wack-jobs and stick with the people who stick to the facts. The good thing about Heinberg's book is that he sticks to the facts for the most part.
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Unread postby threadbear » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 16:56:40

Biker, You're ideas appear to be emotionally based and your links about Ruppert are from sources that are highly conflicted.

David Corn's assessment of Ruppert is typical of a left leaning gatekeeper engaged in limited hangouts that satisfy the bare minimum requirements of "alternative" news sources, while toadying favour inside the beltway and mainstream media as a token "radical".
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Unread postby PhilBiker » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 17:03:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')iker, You're ideas appear to be emotionally based and your links about Ruppert are from sources that are highly conflicted.
I hate seeing otherwise intelligent people duped when they should know better. Ruppert is not only a wack-job, he's a slick huckster pandering to people who want to believe all his dumb shit, laughing all the way to the bank. I'll admit, I thing the guy's a slimeball. Just like LaRourche and L Ron Hubbard. They're on the same level, basically "evil geniuses". So yeah, sure, my argument's emotionally based. How do people who bash Bush feel about him? I've seen people here publically state that they "hate" him. Often based on Ruppert's threads.

If you don't like my links go ahead and look up more of them. There's plenty to go around.
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Unread postby threadbear » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 17:16:42

If I remember right, Phil, you haven't even read most of what Ruppert has to say, yet you come close to popping an artery whenever his name is mentioned. You're accepting the critique of Ruppert by website authors who you don't know anything about, about someone you don't know, about ideas you've never read.

I've heard of the Kevin Bacon game when it comes to personal proximity to individuals, but using the same kind of degrees of separation game when it comes to where you are in relationship to the truth, it's rather sad.

Why don't you read the guy? Would it taint you to read something that doesn't have mainstream approval? Perhaps you'd develop the foul stench of being born on the wrong side of the ideological tracks?
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Unread postby stu » Tue 12 Apr 2005, 17:17:13

Yeah and I can guarantee that there are loads of links praising him for the work that he has done.

Ruppert is not exactly raking it in from his book sales. Crossing the Rubicon sold 60,000 copies. Not exactly enough to make him a millionaire is it.

Also according to Amazon the average rating for Rubicon is over 4 stars. I wouldn't say that was low.
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