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Top Ten Myths on PO.com

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Top Ten Myths on PO.com

Unread postby mos6507 » Mon 19 Jan 2009, 13:13:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bratticus', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bratticus', '
')Did I at any point deny global warming?


You tell me. What does "it" refer to in your statement:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bratticus', '
')See how effective a myth it is?


5b. When CO[sub]2[/sub] is increasing it causes global warming but when CO[sub]2[/sub] is falling it does not diminish global warming.


Here, I'll fix it for you.

"When CO[sub]2[/sub] emissions increase it causes global warming but when CO[sub]2[/sub] emissions fall it does not immediately diminish global warming because the CO2 does not immediately remote itself from the atmosphere."

link

As it is now, the existing carbon sinks in the planet are already maxed out. The ocean in particular is turning into carbonic acid.

You think all these problems are overstated?
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Re: Top Ten Myths on PO.com

Unread postby bratticus » Mon 19 Jan 2009, 14:34:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', 'H')ere, I'll fix it for you.


Here, I'll fix it for you too.

September - October, economy hits wall causing endless factory shutdowns which bring lower emission levels:

Image

Just look at the CO[sub]2[/sub] dots fall down the chart on the right after the factories are shut down.
[url=http://climate.jpl.nasa.gov/keyIndicators/]Image
(click to see source web page)[/url]

Global temperature in 2008 drops to only 2001 standards.

What will 2009 be like at the industrial manufacturing conditions accelerate?

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released their analysis of global temperatures for 2008 and determined that the year was tied with 2001 for the eighth warmest year on record.

The world's temperature in 2008 tied that of 2001 according to the center, a division of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

2008 was globe's coolest year of the decade

Climate center: December in ND 8th coldest on record
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Re: Top Ten Myths on PO.com

Unread postby mos6507 » Mon 19 Jan 2009, 15:08:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bratticus', '
')September - October, economy hits wall causing endless factory shutdowns which bring lower emission levels


You're trying to draw a conclusion based on a drop in CO2 output over a period of just a few months? What is your conclusion, that the instant we drop CO2 emissions that everything will be hunky dory again? If so, that's a pretty simplistic way of looking at it.

Heck, we still have a residual ozone hole problem despite cutting CFCs down to almost nothing years ago.
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Re: Top Ten Myths on PO.com

Unread postby bratticus » Mon 19 Jan 2009, 15:13:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', 'Y')ou're trying to draw a conclusion based on a drop in CO2 output over a period of just a few months?


In a couple years I'll have more data.

Until then what can I do?
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Re: Top Ten Myths on PO.com

Unread postby Pops » Mon 19 Jan 2009, 17:44:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bratticus', 'U')ntil then what can I do?

Deny.

Just as a sideline do you still smoke?
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Re: Top Ten Myths on PO.com

Unread postby Narz » Mon 19 Jan 2009, 19:22:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'I')t means eventually, you will have to use more energy to grow.

Of course. But not necessarily more than we're using now. We're always need new energy but we won't necessarily need as much new energy as we need to maintain things as they are now.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'N')o? If we increase efficiency and conservation efforts as we decline, won't that lower the price "relative" to what it would have been otherwise? Why wouldn't more "available" supply not lower the price?

Governmental pressure & socialital (cultural/moral) shifts.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')The problem is that our culture has made conservation into some sort of sin.


It's called the Paradox of Thriift and that is why the govt wants everybody to go out and spend and not conserve.

"Reduced economic activity" or "conservation" implodes the economy. Haven't you noticed the effects lately?

Conservation and a debt-based economy are like oil and water, they do not mix.

Could you imagine the effects embracing energy conservation would have on the economy about now? Not saying we shouldn't, but we had better be prepared to adapt to the consequences.

I agree with you on all of this.
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Re: Top Ten Myths on PO.com

Unread postby bratticus » Mon 19 Jan 2009, 22:34:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'J')ust as a sideline do you still smoke?


Nope. I did the patches.

When it was 9 F degrees I was glad not to go out for a smoke.
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Re: Top Ten Myths on PO.com

Unread postby MonteQuest » Tue 20 Jan 2009, 02:55:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Narz', ' ') Of course. But not necessarily more than we're using now. We're always need new energy but we won't necessarily need as much new energy as we need to maintain things as they are now.


Tony, that doesn' t even make sense. What are you trying to say?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')overnmental pressure & socialital (cultural/moral) shifts.


No more free market?
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Re: Top Ten Myths on PO.com

Unread postby Narz » Tue 20 Jan 2009, 18:06:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Narz', 'O')f course. But not necessarily more than we're using now. We're always need new energy but we won't necessarily need as much new energy as we need to maintain things as they are now.
Tony, that doesn' t even make sense. What are you trying to say?

It makes perfect sense.

For example, to run a network of 50,000 computers may take 10,000 kilowatts of power right now (just a guess, probably significantly less than that). In the future we may get things to the point efficiencywise where we can run 50,000 computers on just 750 kilowatts. Now these computers are still using power (and when they break they will need power to be fixed) but they'll use far less power than they would need now. It's no inconceivable that we could run the whole world on renewables. It's just currently inconceivable how to get there from here. We'd do well to focus on making computers doubly efficient every few years instead of just doubly powerful/able to store data but in our shortsightedness it just hasn't been a priority.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')overnmental pressure & socialital (cultural/moral) shifts.
No more free market?

We've never had a free market anyway and personally as long as people are being manipulated by advertisers & social pressure it's debatable how "free" they are anyway. I suspect that's one thing we can agree on.
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Re: Top Ten Myths on PO.com

Unread postby davep » Thu 22 Jan 2009, 16:10:06

19 (or whatever) Carrying capacity can be modelled using current energy inputs as the main parameter. Cos we'll use the same energy-inefficient systems when the oil runs out :roll:
What we think, we become.
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Re: Top Ten Myths on PO.com

Unread postby JoeW » Thu 22 Jan 2009, 16:32:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Quinny', '8')a The current economic problems have nothing to do with Peak Oil.
They sure as hell don't have as much to do with peak oil as the people here want.
When gasoline was $4 and fuel oil $4.50, that has an impact on an individual's ability to pay the mortgage.
Drive to work? Yes
Avoid freezing to death? Yes
Pay the mortgage? No

That's one of the reasons people stopped making timely payments. There definitely was an impact. It's just a matter of measuring how much the impact was. You could probably calculate the change in fuel prices as a percentage of GDP to illustrate the damage done.
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Re: Top Ten Myths on PO.com

Unread postby threadbear » Thu 22 Jan 2009, 16:32:31

Yup. No more free market, Monte. The writing is on the wall.
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