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Peak Lithium?

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby mos6507 » Thu 29 May 2008, 15:41:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lowem', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cashmere', 'H')as it even remotely occurred to you that we don't recycle lithium ions because it would be too difficult to pull it back out of the batteries? This isn't aluminum cans we're talking about here.


Ni-MH batteries aren't aluminium cans either.

And I would lay off the references to organic waste.



It can be done. It's just that it's not considered a high priority right now. Lithium batteries are considered benign to the environment unlike other chemistries (like lead acid which is always recycled). So there isn't a big environmental push to recycle them, nor are the materials rare enough for it to pay off for the recyclers.

http://www.batteryrecycling.com/lithium.html
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby promisingfuture » Wed 04 Jun 2008, 12:56:33

To see a new perspective on this subject, I would encourage everyone here to read my EV WORLD feature article "Peak Lithium or Lithium in Abundance?" published on May 22, 2008.
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby Cashmere » Wed 04 Jun 2008, 13:23:30

PF_

Link?
Massive Human Dieoff <b>must</b> occur as a result of Peak Oil. Many more than half will die. It will occur everywhere, including where <b>you</b> live. If you fail to recognize this, then your odds of living move toward the "going to die" group.
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Wed 04 Jun 2008, 15:33:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('zensui', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('FreakOil', 'L')ithium is a common treatment for schizophrenia. A lot of people think golem is a crazy man who's gone off his meds.


Isn't Lithium a slang term for LSD?


Negative. Lithium=Lithium carbonate. It's used in bipolar disorder not schizophrenia. It's a mood stabilizer.
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby Sideous » Thu 05 Jun 2008, 05:57:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cashmere', 'Y')es Please - I'll get back to the papers.

I need time to do the analysis.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')here is some degree of truth to the "peak lithium" theory, but only barely. There is enough lithium to go around. The only issue is finding enough of it concentrated in "economic" deposits, mostly in brine (salt) lakes and ponds.


You should know that this is pure bullshit. It's like saying, "there's 10 times more oil in the ground than has been pumped out."

The issue isn't how much lithium there is "to go around". There's only the actual amount you can dig out, and at what cost. You're making a tar sands argument here. And about the "finding" part - I'm not impressed with future maybes.



$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')urrently people do not even bother to recycle lithium and this gives you some indication of how cheap it is right now, compared with Ni-MH batteries which are mainly nickel, a metal costing an exorbitant $22,000 per metric ton


We don't recycle toilet paper either.

Has it even remotely occurred to you that we don't recycle lithium ions because it would be too difficult to pull it back out of the batteries? This isn't aluminum cans we're talking about here.

Saying that a lack of recycling means that we have plenty is horseshit.

Further, eve IF recycling is easy/possible, the only thing that matters is the cost of recycled lithium versus the cost of new stuff.

If the new stuff is cheaper, then we don't recycle.

Further, if you start putting the stuff in car batteries - several thousand times bigger than cell phones, then you radically change the amount required.

I'll get into the papers in a bit.

By the way, you're saying the main paper saying Lithium is short was written by a Li ion competitor? What's his name?


I would suggest that people are failing to think laterally with electric transport. All existing electric transport is powered conductively from the grid, not using batteries.

The combined issues of cost and poor power density are likely to make fully battery-electric vehicles impractical as a mass market solution.

More likely we will adopt a hybrid solution. This will begin with ICE/battery electric hybrids, but will eventually progress to electric roadway solutions. The real solution is to look for ways of getting direct electric power to vehicles. I would suggest some sort of electrified conduit system embedded within highways, with cars extending contacts into the conduit and earthing through the road.
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby frankthetank » Thu 05 Jun 2008, 08:48:08

OR the country falls into depression, people have no money for food, let alone Lithium ion powered cars, so the hybrid of choice is a pair of old sneakers.
lawns should be outlawed.
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby promisingfuture » Thu 05 Jun 2008, 11:44:34

Cashmere:

Here is the link for "Peak Lithium or Lithium in Abundance?":
http://www.evworld.com/article.cfm?storyid=1457

PF
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby promisingfuture » Thu 05 Jun 2008, 13:11:06

Gasmon:

Don´t be so sanguine. The world is much more complex than that. There are too many stakeholders in the energy business. Even if the solution you propose were technologically correct, you would be missing a crucial point: consumers´habits and energy-producing companies´s interests.

PF
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby yesplease » Sat 03 Jan 2009, 07:00:06

Lo and behold, the front runner for EV apps, Lithium Iron Phosphate, uses an eighth of the Lithium other common Lithium based chemistries use.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Professor Membrane', ' ')Not now son, I'm making ... TOAST!
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby promisingfuture » Sat 03 Jan 2009, 10:25:54

Thanks yesplease for such valuable piece of information. A couple of days ago I was somewhat confused with the data provided by Buying your Dreams (BYD) from China that the new batteries used by the first mass-produced plug-in electric cars just launched into the market were ferrum batteries rather than lithium-ion batteries. Indeed they are Lithium Iron Phosphate batteries and as you correctly state in your entry they need about 1/8 of lithium in comparison with lithium-ion batteries. As you may also realized, this seriously erodes the "peak lithium" argument and may pave the way for the inauguration of the lithium era in the world, a topic I take up in the January 2009 issue of Industrial Minerals which I will now further elaborate on my presentation at the Lithium Supply and Market conference to be held in January 22-28 in Santiago, Chile.
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby outcast » Sat 03 Jan 2009, 10:39:23

We've been running out of everything for quite sometime now, and yet it never seems to come true. I'm getting really skeptical whenever I hear peak this or peak that. Yes there is a finite amount of everything, but these resources have constantly been severely underestimated.
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby mos6507 » Sat 03 Jan 2009, 12:40:57

I think there is a tendency to take an existing theory and try it on elsewhere even when it may not be applicable. When fossil fuels are burned, they are GONE as an energy source. When elements are used to make things (a different activity altogether) they are just transformed but can be reclaimed and recycled. Sometimes the recycling isn't easy. Sometimes it isn't cheap. But the elements remain. For instance, all lead acid batteries are recycled. Lithium batteries aren't being recycled because it's currently cheaper to just mine more lithium and dump the old ones in landfills (which unlike lead, is benign yet still wasteful). How we work with elements that are common today but won't be common when scaled out over the entire globe is gonna change. It's just a matter of time.

I'm much more concerned about the rare elements used in thin-film and dye-sensitized solar panels since their whole business model is riding on the future availability of elements like indium, gallium, telluride, and ruthenium, not to mention the platinum in fuel cells. Unlike lithium, there may not be enough of these to even get to the initial scale out point to even think about how recycling would help.
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby Zero-point » Sat 03 Jan 2009, 13:28:20

Why do you need lithium when you can use super capacitors that don't degrade and can be recharged indefinitely.
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby mos6507 » Sat 03 Jan 2009, 14:36:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zero-point', 'W')hy do you need lithium when you can use super capacitors that don't degrade and can be recharged indefinitely.


Because lithium batteries are today's technology and supercapacitors with enough energy density for EVs are not yet a reality.
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby yesplease » Sat 03 Jan 2009, 18:22:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', 'I')'m much more concerned about the rare elements used in thin-film and dye-sensitized solar panels since their whole business model is riding on the future availability of elements like indium, gallium, telluride, and ruthenium, not to mention the platinum in fuel cells. Unlike lithium, there may not be enough of these to even get to the initial scale out point to even think about how recycling would help.
By the time we need to worry about PM shortages, thin film Silicon will probably be as cheap as they are now. Alternatives are easier to work w/, which is why they are being made first, but Silicon will probably catch up in terms of thin film costs over the next decade or two IMO.
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby Dezakin » Sat 03 Jan 2009, 19:56:27

Lithium is only like ten times as abundant as lead, and so far lead-acid batteries aren't exhausting our lead reserves...
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby mos6507 » Sat 03 Jan 2009, 21:03:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', 'L')ithium is only like ten times as abundant as lead, and so far lead-acid batteries aren't exhausting our lead reserves...


Because they are recycled. You'll exhaust anything with 6.7 billion people consuming it if you don't find a way to recycle them.
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Re: Peak Lithium?

Unread postby outcast » Sat 03 Jan 2009, 21:12:09

Eventually yes, but it can take a long time.
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