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Coming "The Greatest Depression"

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Coming "The Greatest Depression"

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Sat 27 Dec 2008, 06:30:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Novus', 'H')ere is a new name for you.

I call it: The Dark Age 2.0


I like that one, I'd Vote for it.

Of course, I eat Doom for Breakfast and spit it out in Projectile Vomit with my head spinning 360s like a scene straight out of the Exorcist, so I will have to contribute a few suggestions :-)

The Great Monetary Sinkhole
The Financial Nightmare
The Economic Black Hole
The Darkness beyond Illuminati
The End of the Beginning
Money for Nothing and your Checks for Free
I'll bet you one Rockefeller and Raise you a Rothschild
Live Fast, Die Young and Leave a Good Looking Corpse
You Can't Take it With You
The Money Grew on Trees, the Capitalists cut them all down
The Night the Lights Went Out in Georgia, and everywhere else
Oil, Black Gold, Texas Tea but Lipton is out of Biz and no Teabags
Smart Money is for Stupid People
Did you hear the one about the Fascist, the Communist and the Capitalist in the Lifeboat? (make up your own Punch Line)
Paint it BLACK

See You on the Other Side

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Re: Coming "The Greatest Depression"

Unread postby Sixstrings » Sat 27 Dec 2008, 06:32:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')o your states don't distribute funds based on per capita for the whole state (rich and poor alike)? what money is in each suburb or city area stays strictly to that area?

I see what you mean now. It is a relatively small amount, though it sounds a hell of a lot more drastic the way he put it.

Also I guess they can only get certain teachers in certain areas. No ivy league teacher wants to work in a drug and gun infested area. eh?


Yup, you're getting the picture now. Schools are funded from a local city, town, or county sized tax base. The state government provides some money, but it's a fraction of a school system's budget. In general, states fund the universities and localities fund the schools.

You see how hopeless this is? People who live in a middle class or wealthy towns just really couldn't care less about folks living in poorer areas. People want the best schools for *their* kids, not someone else's.
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Re: Coming "The Greatest Depression"

Unread postby Cloud9 » Sat 27 Dec 2008, 09:06:41

The drop out rate is fueled by inability, dysfunctional families and a culture of failure. The last two factors are enhanced by the welfare state. Ambition and self reliance are mindsets that run counter to the inadvertent goals of the nanny state. Therefore they are discouraged. The service bureaucracy feeds off a perpetual state of dependency.
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Re: Coming "The Greatest Depression"

Unread postby Blacksmith » Sat 27 Dec 2008, 10:55:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rainbowfires', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Blacksmith', 'C')all it what you will, but we will all be sucking the hind tit.


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Re: Coming "The Greatest Depression"

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Sat 27 Dec 2008, 11:12:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sixstrings', '[')Again, this is a large country, so you can't say the sky is falling after seeing a few ghettos. The same article points out that as a whole, American high school graduation rates are 70%. (and a lot of those 30% do get GEDs and go on to college.. an argument could be made too many people go to college, we need more in trade schools).

I have to doubt that. Having put three daughters through college I'm pretty familar with the system and absent an excellent set of SAT scores and IQ test few colleges and universites of merit will accept a student that just holds a GED. Returning Veterens using their GI bill being about the only major exception.
To understand drop out rates you need to look at the history of desegregation in our inner city and southern schools. The government could and did forceably open the schools to blacks but they could not force the whites to stay and white flight happened. Once the majority of students are non white in an area where the majority of voters are white school budgets start going down and stay down. Bussing was the next step and whites then fled to private schools which puts them out of government reach. Those left in public schools of all races are left with the dregs all the money and most of the good teachers having moved on to the private schools. Just an example of the government tring to do a good thing and not getting anywhere near the result they wanted or promised.
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Re: Coming "The Greatest Depression"

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Sat 27 Dec 2008, 16:31:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '
') To understand drop out rates you need to look at the history of desegregation in our inner city and southern schools. The government could and did forceably open the schools to blacks but they could not force the whites to stay and white flight happened. Once the majority of students are non white in an area where the majority of voters are white school budgets start going down and stay down. Bussing was the next step and whites then fled to private schools which puts them out of government reach. Those left in public schools of all races are left with the dregs all the money and most of the good teachers having moved on to the private schools. Just an example of the government tring to do a good thing and not getting anywhere near the result they wanted or promised.


Or they bought McMansions in all-White subdivisions then found they couldn't afford the taxes to pay for the great schools they thought they would get while their kids turned into Pincushions and Tattoo canvas. Then they lost their jobs as Real Estate agents and their General Contracting businesses putting up more subdivisions for more white folks who could no longer close on the houses because they lost their jobs and the banks stopped giving out mortgages.

A perpetual flight away from poverty into smaller and smaller enclaves as more and more wealth got sucked into the hands of the Pigmen. If only they had all stayed on Grandad's farm raising chickens it all could have been avoided ;-)

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Re: Coming "The Greatest Depression"

Unread postby Sixstrings » Sat 27 Dec 2008, 22:41:34

Cloud9 wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he last two factors are enhanced by the welfare state.


I disagree. It's not the "welfare state" that drags a man down, it's POVERTY and a lack of jobs that pay a liveable wage. What good would taking away food stamps, WIC and the very limited welfare benefits do? Just make these folks even more poor? Think that will improve kids' test scores?

Trust me, if working class jobs paid a genuine liveable wage, none of these people would choose welfare. Not every person in this nation can manufacture financial instruments, or do plastic surgery niptucks. Working class jobs are necessary in our society, so why can't we pay these folks a decent wage that would afford a life of basic human dignity?

Welfare isn't the issue, what we need is a Marshall Plan for these forgotten pockets in our nation. We either need to either FIX these places, or just evacuate them and level them. Let the poor kids go to those good schools in the Hamptons, maybe that will help.
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Re: Coming "The Greatest Depression"

Unread postby Sixstrings » Sat 27 Dec 2008, 22:52:41

vtsnowedin wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') have to doubt that. Having put three daughters through college I'm pretty familar with the system and absent an excellent set of SAT scores and IQ test few colleges and universites of merit will accept a student that just holds a GED.


I'm talking about community colleges, and private money-making colleges like the massive University of Phoenix, etc. etc.. Perhaps your state is different, but in Florida a community college must by law accept a student with a GED. The universties here don't have to take you (and I'd guess it's unlikely), but the community colleges must.

If one graduates community college, then by law the state univeristy must admit you. It's actually a fair system; people shouldn't be thrown away forever as punishment for failing as a teenager.

On the other hand, I think a lot of folks attend community college who really may be better served in a trade school. A vocation certificate as a Surgery Tech can earn you $20 an hour in my area.. but honestly, where's the workforce demand for a two year liberal arts or communications degree?
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Re: Coming "The Greatest Depression"

Unread postby Cloud9 » Sat 27 Dec 2008, 22:54:50

This all stems from President Johnson’s well intentioned war on poverty. His administration identified our most needy. They turned out to be young women attempting to raise their children alone. The aid for dependent children programs were written to target this specific group. To receive the aid a person had to meet the criteria of being a woman trying to raise her children alone. This left no position for the men in these low income families. Chris Rock said it best: “If you call your grandma mom and you call your mom Pam, you are going to jail.”
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Re: Coming "The Greatest Depression"

Unread postby threadbear » Sat 27 Dec 2008, 22:55:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cloud9', 'T')he drop out rate is fueled by inability, dysfunctional families and a culture of failure. The last two factors are enhanced by the welfare state. Ambition and self reliance are mindsets that run counter to the inadvertent goals of the nanny state. Therefore they are discouraged. The service bureaucracy feeds off a perpetual state of dependency.


I dropped out and man, am I glad I did. It totally worked out for me.
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Re: Coming "The Greatest Depression"

Unread postby Cloud9 » Sat 27 Dec 2008, 23:15:25

Threadbear, you beat the odds. Most don't.
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Re: Coming "The Greatest Depression"

Unread postby patience » Tue 30 Dec 2008, 10:02:40

Here is the 2009 picture according to Roger Wiegand, at webeatthestreet:

Link to Silverbearcafe

Quote:
"...later September and early October, the New York, London, Tokyo and Asian markets take a monster crash. How low is low and how bad can it get? We think the Dow could end-up on November 1st, 2009 anywhere from 5,600 to a low of 3,000 or even 1,500. One guideline will be a falling overshoot of PE's on our largest, so-called international corporations posting lows of 4 to7. Today, many of them are near 18. What does this tell us about the severity of our projections? Unemployment nationally in the USA is now touching 16%. The officially posted number is somewhere near half of that. By the fall of 2009, American Real unemployment will be near the all time, 1930's depression high of 25% unemployed. Sadly, that is not the worst, as it gets more dire. We predict real USA unemployment reaches 30-40%. In the rust belt states of Michigan and Ohio, 40% is not unrealistic." end quote.

He says this will follow a dead cat bounce the first part of the year, from Obama's handouts, followed by reality setting in. Nope, an individual ain't gonna make it alone on a mediocre job without severe hardship.
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Re: Coming "The Greatest Depression"

Unread postby Byron100 » Tue 30 Dec 2008, 11:45:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cbxer55', '
')Here-Here! Not me. A friend of mine. His daughter has worked for Home Depot for over 5 years now. She has yet to see $10.00 per hour. Yet the 7-11 right up the street offers a starting pay of $12.50 per hour!! Something is not right here. And yet I can understand one's reluctance to work at a neighborhood STOP-AND-ROB!

My friend's daughter is 23, divorced due to a azzhat husband, has a daughter, and lives at home with mom and dad because she does not make enough to make it on her own.

Everytime I go into Home Depot or Lowes, or one of those other nameless big box stores, I wonder how anyone of the employees can make it there on the pay they make. Depressing.

And now that I will be out of work come December 31, I wonder just what is in store for me? I have been working since I was 18(before that if you consider newspaper routes and lawn mowing since I was 12). Rarely have I made less than $15 per hour since 18. Will I have to lower my standards now? Can I afford to? Can my wife afford to? $10 per hour is less than unemployment pay.

The future looks pretty bleak IMHO.


Believe me, I know what it's like. I know all too well. I've been living out my own Dark Age 2.0, GD 2, Paint It Black, whatever you wanna call it for over a decade now.

$15 an hour not enough? Hell, $10 an hour sounds like heaven to a useless, jobless sob like me...LOL. I've been without a "real" job for so long that I can't even get a job at a Stop 'N Rob, let alone something that pays $20 or $25 an hour. Those of you who have careers and an uninterrupted work history have NO idea of what it's like to not to even be able to fill out a job application, due to the lack of recent jobs to put down. The economy can be booming along at 10% annual growth, it matters not to me. I'm 42 years old, and I know without a doubt that I'll never, ever work for someone else again for the rest of my days, permanent Depression or no. And the most dreaded question that someone can ever ask me is "What do you do?" Oh, how do I hate making something up on the fly like that...LOL. Actually, I do a lot of things, but that's not an easy to explain in a sentence or two like most people expect. Oh well, such is the life.

How do I get by, you ask? Well, much of is due to the glorious excesses of the 20th Century. Family money and all of that, which I've managed to spread thin like butter for all of these years. Not to mention a loving other half that shares the same view about money as I do - that is, all income goes into a pot and gets used for the benefit for the both of us. Communism at its finest...LOL. :P But I'm not independently wealthy by any measure, to be sure. I've just learned to live on very, very little money, as many of you will learn yourselves in the years to come. You'll be nothing short of amazed at how little you actually *need* as compared to what you merely want. Sure, you folks will no longer be living large as you've been accustomed to, but you'll still be able to get by. Believe me, I know how it's done.

As some of you might know, my S.O. was laid off Oct 1st of this year, with 17 weeks' of severance. Well, guess what? He's just been called back to work, starting next Monday, same pay and seniority as before. $17.10 an hour - woot! Time to start living large again - gotta break out the Corbel...LOL. 13 weeks of a free ride at full pay, only to be called back again - maybe this new GD 2.0 isn't so bad after all...hehe.

Of course, this is due to a part of the US that's doing even worse than Atlanta, GA, specifically Orlando, Florida. One man's loss is another's gain - Capitalism at its finest, provided one is at the receiving end, of course. :roll:

What does this do in regards to our plans to move to the new Promised Land of upstate New York? It'll be on hold for a bit longer, alas. (sniff, sniff :cry: ) At least it'll give me the chance to complete the carpentry program at the local tech college I've been wanting to do. I figure when I get done with that, we can put the house on the market and we can just up stakes and move north when we finally manage to find a buyer. I really don't foresee a total collapse of the US economy for a few years yet, due to countries like Japan willing to forgive our debt and China being played for a fool in financing the greatest government spending spree of all time. Big Brother Government at its finest - free money for all! :D

Sure beats working some dipsh*t job at $10 an hour to be sure...LOL.

Laissez Les Bon Temps Roulez - Life sure is good, ain't it? :razz:
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...and the meek shall inherit the Earth!
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