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what is your call on bottom for crude ??

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what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby oilluber » Mon 22 Dec 2008, 23:43:06

is it 30 or even lower ?? and when ?? my bet is 30,,,, at these prices, the exploration companies are going to be begging for handouts behind the Auto companies.
never thought I'd see the day when alot of these oil companies are going to get slaughtered fundamentally speaking.
Last edited by Ferretlover on Sat 21 Mar 2009, 18:43:06, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Moved to the Open forum.
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby the48thronin » Tue 23 Dec 2008, 00:10:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('oilluber', 'i')s it 30 or even lower ??
and when ??

my bet is 30,,,, at these prices, the exploration companies are going
to be begging for handouts behind the Auto companies.

never thought I'd see the day when alot of these oil companies are
going to get slaughtered fundamentally speaking.


in the next 12 months? $12 a barrel Okie not brent
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby shortonsense » Tue 23 Dec 2008, 00:11:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('oilluber', '
')
never thought I'd see the day when alot of these oil companies are
going to get slaughtered fundamentally speaking.


the revenge of peak oil? THAT'LL teach'em to find so much of it so well.
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby TreeFarmer » Tue 23 Dec 2008, 08:54:34

$30 +/- $2 sounds good to me. When it gets that low I would expect a number of supplies (non OPEC) to start shutting in wells knowing that prices will be back to $50+ as soon as the world economy turns around even slightly.

TF
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby MD » Tue 23 Dec 2008, 09:21:03

We're in a race between depletion and depression. Right now it appears depression is winning, which means no bottom yet.

I'm more interested in the slope of the next run-up than I am in the bottom of this wave.
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby dohboi » Tue 23 Dec 2008, 10:55:21

"$30 +/- $2 sounds good to me."

We already hit $32 something Friday, and we're barely above that now, so we're basically already in this range.

"When it gets that low I would expect a number of supplies (non OPEC) to start shutting in wells"

Does anyone have data (or even anecdotal reports) on how much this is happening already?
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby MrBean » Tue 23 Dec 2008, 11:49:34

80 - oops
50 - oops
40 - oops
30 - dunno
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby AAA » Tue 23 Dec 2008, 14:41:32

Bye Bye Stripper Wells
Bye Bye Oil Shale/Tar Sands
Bye Bye Ultra Deep Offshore

My bottom prediction for West Texas Sour Adj. B is $18.50/bbl.
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby yesplease » Tue 23 Dec 2008, 14:43:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBean', '8')0 - oops
50 - oops
40 - oops
30 - dunno
Seriously! :lol:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Professor Membrane', ' ')Not now son, I'm making ... TOAST!
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby oilluber » Tue 23 Dec 2008, 23:14:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AAA', 'B')ye Bye Stripper Wells
Bye Bye Oil Shale/Tar Sands
Bye Bye Ultra Deep Offshore

My bottom prediction for West Texas Sour Adj. B is $18.50/bbl.


wow that is really low, if we get there, then definately we are in a deppression and life would be miserable for most.
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby Duende » Tue 23 Dec 2008, 23:30:08

oilluber wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'w')ow that is really low, if we get there, then definately we are in a deppression and life would be miserable for most.

Not so fast. What do you think most people would've said back in the summer if you were to have told them that oil would be about to fall not only from $147 to $80, but $32?? 8O
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby reuterrooter » Wed 24 Dec 2008, 01:37:11

What would we have said if last summer we predicted 30 dollar oil?

No one knows what is going to happen, BUT it is going to go lower than we expect.
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby ki11ercane » Wed 24 Dec 2008, 03:53:38

Less than $10.00 per barrel, or less than $20.00 if adjusted for inflation. (presuming we don't have massive deflation)
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby AAA » Wed 24 Dec 2008, 11:29:07

West Texas Sour Adj. B closed at $27.80 on December 23rd.
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby Revi » Wed 24 Dec 2008, 11:43:55

They will be giving it away, and no takers.

Seriously, $30 is around the bottom I think.
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby nicknick » Wed 24 Dec 2008, 15:43:53

3 Amero dollars a barrel.

Everyone will be happy again with their slavery.
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby Daniel_Plainview » Wed 24 Dec 2008, 15:56:55

During the spring of 2009, oil will drop to $12/bbl.
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby Blacksmith » Wed 24 Dec 2008, 16:13:13

Natural gas is presently $5.80US, using a conversion based on 6 BOE then oil should be $34.80US. I don't think it is easier or more expensive to produce oil than gas.
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby Armageddon » Wed 24 Dec 2008, 16:35:19

It doesn't take much gasoline to walk up to your local soup kitchen or food pantry.
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Re: what is your call on bottom for crude ??

Postby wapato » Wed 24 Dec 2008, 18:08:43

Nail head
hammer

good shot.
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