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Treasury may bail out bad auto loans (GM/Chrysler merger)

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Re: Chrysler Shuts Down

Unread postby Daniel_Plainview » Wed 17 Dec 2008, 20:01:17

"Chrysler dealers confirmed to the company at a recent meeting at its headquarters, that they have many willing buyers for Chrysler, Jeep and Dodge vehicles but are unable to close the deals, due to lack of financing," the carmaker said in an announcement. "The dealers have stated that they have lost an estimated 20% to 25% of their volume because of this credit situation."
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Re: Chrysler Shuts Down

Unread postby TheDude » Wed 17 Dec 2008, 20:05:01

"Continued lack of consumer credit." You've hit Peak Krill, Mr. Balaenoptera musculus. I'm seriously having doubts about major auto manufacturing being a viable enterprise in a few years. Even Toyota is down 34% and has postponed its new Prii plant in MS indefinitely. Fed can bail out this boat all they want, who in their right mind is going to take a chance on a massive loan in this economic climate? Which only promises to get worse.

Perhaps the future will belong to cottage industry types like Toecutter or the Who Killed the Electric Car guy doing EV mods in their garage. Or it'll be pure used cars ala Cuba, plus their "camels" and other forms of ad hoc MT.
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Re: Chrysler Shuts Down

Unread postby eastbay » Wed 17 Dec 2008, 20:07:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', ':')( The link has a bug in it but I believe you. A two month shutdown should convince the UAW to come to terms. They better hope it can start back up once all the players get THOOTA.



The link works for me... but it should be all over the news by now. Here's a piece:

Chrysler LLC announced late Wednesday that it is stopping all vehicle production in the United States for at least a month.

All 30 of the carmaker's plants will close after the last shift on Friday, and employees will not be asked to return to work before Jan. 19.

Chrysler blamed the "continued lack of consumer credit for the American car buyer" for the slow-down in sales that forced the move.



Strangely, they're blaming the credit crisis and not their obscene, anachronistic, and ridiculous looking gas hogs for the lack of sales.
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Re: Chrysler Shuts Down

Unread postby CarlosFerreira » Wed 17 Dec 2008, 20:12:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eastbay', '
')Strangely, they're blaming the credit crisis and not their obscene, anachronistic, and ridiculous looking gas hogs for the lack of sales.


Not sure they'd like to go around announcing everyone what a bunch of bad decision makers they are. When in trouble, blame circumstances.
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Re: Chrysler Shuts Down

Unread postby AirlinePilot » Wed 17 Dec 2008, 20:47:24

I am pretty sure that during the holidays they shut down for about two weeks anyway. So this isn't quite the "shrill" news its getting spun as. Typical stuff from the MSM though. Don't bother to tell the whole story, and they aren't even being factually incorrect! They are just choosing to let you in on the ugly sounding part and carefully leaving out the other pertinent facts.

Its a lesson in media hype.
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Re: Chrysler Shuts Down

Unread postby eastbay » Wed 17 Dec 2008, 20:57:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AirlinePilot', 'I') am pretty sure that during the holidays they shut down for about two weeks anyway. So this isn't quite the "shrill" news its getting spun as.



I suppose we'll all find out in about 4 1/2 weeks. But I suspect we'll be looking a changed US auto industry by late January.

This is huge news. Unprecedented. All Big Three auto production could be gone. And this is the first peek at mass plant closings.
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Re: Chrysler Shuts Down

Unread postby Cog » Wed 17 Dec 2008, 21:40:54

There will also be a major cascade of shutdowns in steel mills, tire manufacturing, and parts manufacturing. Some of that has already begun.

There really is no solution here but to let them fail. If we give them money to stay alive in their present configuration, that still doesn't force anyone to purchase their cars. The consumers are waiting to see how this recession shakes out and when(if ever) it will end. People that are afraid of losing their jobs next week simply aren't going to be making big purchases.

If we are after sustainability and profitability we have to realize what will work and let fail what does not. Its painful but there it is.
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Re: Chrysler Shuts Down

Unread postby heroineworshipper » Wed 17 Dec 2008, 22:01:12

U will stop making gas guzzlers, one way or another, then Oobs will become president & you'll get back to normal.
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Re: Chrysler Shuts Down

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Wed 17 Dec 2008, 22:09:25

Amazing this isn't hitting the stock markets harder. Index futures don't seem to have even noticed.
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Re: Chrysler Shuts Down

Unread postby Cog » Wed 17 Dec 2008, 22:11:38

Perhaps they are confident a bail-out is in the works. Even if Bush does nothing with this, Obama has made it clear they will get the money if they can hold out for another few weeks.
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Re: GM to close down North American factories for January

Unread postby Snowrunner » Wed 17 Dec 2008, 22:41:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Specop_007', 'W')hy bother shutting down the plants?? The worthless workers will just sit on their ass and get paid. Dont really save much money by turning off a machine.


Actually you do save quite a bit:

- Materials
- "old" product being put on "shelves"
- Misc. costs like the energy for the machines.

The main reason for idling is to not produce product that may be "out of date" soon or will never find a buyer.
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Re: Chrysler Shuts Down

Unread postby the48thronin » Wed 17 Dec 2008, 22:47:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AirlinePilot', 'I') am pretty sure that during the holidays they shut down for about two weeks anyway. So this isn't quite the "shrill" news its getting spun as. Typical stuff from the MSM though. Don't bother to tell the whole story, and they aren't even being factually incorrect! They are just choosing to let you in on the ugly sounding part and carefully leaving out the other pertinent facts.

Its a lesson in media hype.


HMMM want some peanut butter to spread on those toes?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('linked article discussed', 'A')ll 30 of the carmaker's plants will close after the last shift on Friday, and employees will not be asked to return to work before Jan. 19.

Chrysler blamed the "continued lack of consumer credit for the American car buyer" for the slow-down in sales that forced the move.

The company ordinarily shuts down operations between Dec. 24 and Jan. 5. This closure would add roughly two weeks to that shutdown.


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Re: GM +Chrysler close down North American factories for Jan

Unread postby nobodypanic » Wed 17 Dec 2008, 23:40:27

this is taking too long... somebody just let me know when the raindeer are grazing in what's left of downtown detroit.

good bless the collapse.
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Re: GM to close down North American factories for January

Unread postby AlexdeLarge » Thu 18 Dec 2008, 00:22:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Specop_007', 'W')hy bother shutting down the plants?? The worthless workers will just sit on their ass and get paid. Dont really save much money by turning off a machine.


Isn't this called a paid vacation?? Another union benefit, but it looks like they have killed the goose that laid the golden egg.............what fools.
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Re: GM to close down North American factories for January

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Thu 18 Dec 2008, 06:12:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AlexdeLarge', 'I')sn't this called a paid vacation?? Another union benefit, but it looks like they have killed the goose that laid the golden egg.............what fools.


Actually, Detroit laid few Golden Eggs, what they laid was mostly Turds. The industry was doomed anyhow, the Auto Workers were just nailing the coffin shut. They are the only realists in this game, the Execs think they can make an auto industry with bailouts from Ben and Henry. That is preposterous.

I don't know many Auto Workers, just one really but he is very handy with his hands and a super duper strong guy at 6'4" and 280. I think he will do just fine. His plant actually shut down a while ago and he took a buyout. Smart guy he was.

I do think some executives will have a tougher time finding work than he does.

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GM, Chrysler resume merger talks

Unread postby Minvaren » Thu 18 Dec 2008, 20:40:38

Hot off the wire...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')ith cash running low at both companies, Cerberus took the initiative to restart discussions that sputtered just weeks ago. At that time, both GM and Chrysler viewed a business combination as impractical and as a distraction from their mounting liquidity problems.


WSJ pay-only link

Hedging bets in case Bush and Paulson don't buy it?
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Re: GM, Chrysler resume merger talks

Unread postby Daniel_Plainview » Thu 18 Dec 2008, 20:54:47

But see Reuters: GM denies holding new merger talks with Chrysler

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')We have had no talks with them since we announced during our third-quarter earnings call that the talks had been suspended," GM spokesman Tony Cervone said.
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Re: GM, Chrysler resume merger talks

Unread postby Minvaren » Thu 18 Dec 2008, 22:25:25

I see I have brought a knife to a gun fight. ;)

Let's see if/how the "Big 3" survive theirs...
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Re: GM, Chrysler resume merger talks

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Fri 19 Dec 2008, 00:19:24

And why exactly would a merger between GM and Chrysler increase the profitablity of the combined company?

GM already has too many brands, why add more?

Normally, two companies decide to merge because one has something the other one wants.

What does Chrysler have that GM wants?

In October, Daimler decided that its 20% share of Chrysler had a book value of ZERO DOLLARS.

I'd say Chrysler has a book value of negative several billion dollars. GM would buy them...why?

The entire notion of a merger between these companies is utterly absurd.

The merger talks are a stalling action. They are trying to pretend to fix their problems in order to increase the likelihood that Congress will give them money. If Congress can be tricked into believing that GM is making progress, they might be tricked into giving them a couple billion.
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Re: GM, Chrysler resume merger talks

Unread postby Minvaren » Fri 19 Dec 2008, 10:09:53

Originally, Chrysler had some ($7 billion?) cash on hand, that GM wanted access to for immediate liquidity. As that was a month or more ago, who can tell what their situation is now...
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