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Urgent action needed

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Do you agree?

Poll ended at Tue 25 Nov 2008, 21:33:46

Yes
11
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No
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Total votes : 14

Urgent action needed

Unread postby calgapa1 » Sat 15 Nov 2008, 21:33:46

What worries me the most of declining oil capacity is that the cost of building the components of renewable power systems (Solar PV or Wind Turbine generators) would go up so much as to them unafordable.
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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby JPL » Sat 15 Nov 2008, 22:39:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('calgapa1', 'W')hat worries me the most of declining oil capacity is that the cost of building the components of renewable power systems (Solar PV or Wind Turbine generators) would go up so much as to them unafordable.


+1.5

Very astute first post (grin)

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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby Revi » Sat 15 Nov 2008, 22:43:49

I hope we actually start to do something soon. I would say that urgent action is definitely needed. Unfortunately the way things work I don't think it will happen.

I could be wrong. Obama may be able to do something.
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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby JPL » Sat 15 Nov 2008, 22:53:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Revi', 'I') hope we actually start to do something soon. I would say that urgent action is definitely needed. Unfortunately the way things work I don't think it will happen.

I could be wrong. Obama may be able to do something.


LOL this is a global problem.

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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby Revi » Sat 15 Nov 2008, 22:57:18

It is a global problem, but it needs to be solved at the local level.

If Obama can put us on the path to reduced energy use it would solve a multitude of problems.

It's awfully hard to change a culture, though.
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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby Kristjan » Sun 16 Nov 2008, 07:47:41

Of course we need urgent action. Obama has pledged to pour $150B into renewables over the next ten years. And during the campaign he has said that energy is his number one priority. OK, the financial and economic mess gained momentum and importance. But it still leaves energy at the top of the list for Obama. Click here for the full plan. I'm optimistic towards it all, but I'd rather not discuss the details because it's still too early to call.

If you are interested in the short term outlook for renewable energy, then here is a great podcast on the topic.
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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby Tanada » Sun 16 Nov 2008, 18:03:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kristjan', 'O')f course we need urgent action. Obama has pledged to pour $150B into renewables over the next ten years. And during the campaign he has said that energy is his number one priority. OK, the financial and economic mess gained momentum and importance. But it still leaves energy at the top of the list for Obama. Click here for the full plan. I'm optimistic towards it all, but I'd rather not discuss the details because it's still too early to call.

If you are interested in the short term outlook for renewable energy, then here is a great podcast on the topic.


They just gave 250 billion to the 9 largest banks in one week, spending 15 billion a year on green energy really impresses me....NOT!
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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby Kristjan » Mon 17 Nov 2008, 15:44:27

The idea behind spending 15 B each year is that government won't be the only one investing. They want to encourage private spending and to do that they need to increase public spending. It's the same with the PTC/ITC. It has been predicted that the extension of the PTC will lead to 300 B investments.
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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby DrBang » Mon 17 Nov 2008, 16:29:48

welcome

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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby davep » Mon 17 Nov 2008, 16:43:28

There is no chance that the current elite will make the changes that are necessary. They are in the pockets of global corporations. It has to be local. So stock up on guns and learn about how anarchy should really work. It's the only way (apart from barbarism) of avoiding the centralised concentration of power and money inherent in any centralised economy.

There will be a new world order. Make sure that the citizens create and enforce it.
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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby JPL » Mon 17 Nov 2008, 20:28:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', '[')b]So stock up on guns and learn about how anarchy should really work. It's the only way (apart from barbarism) of avoiding the centralised concentration of power and money inherent in any centralised economy.

There will be a new world order. Make sure that the citizens create and enforce it.


Hi Davep

I'm not sure you have entirely thought this one through. Hmmph.. (hard stare).

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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby Tanada » Mon 17 Nov 2008, 21:09:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kristjan', 'T')he idea behind spending 15 B each year is that government won't be the only one investing. They want to encourage private spending and to do that they need to increase public spending. It's the same with the PTC/ITC. It has been predicted that the extension of the PTC will lead to 300 B investments.


Sure, that is the theory, HOWEVER how many 3 or 5 MWe wind turbines along with associated infrastructure could be installed for 250 Billion dollars like they just passed out to the bankers in the first few weeks of the emergency stabilazation spending law? Heck even if you were paying $5,000 per kWe of nameplate capacity you could have bought 50 GWe of wind power. Deployed in the right locations those give you a reliable 18 hours a day of power, enough to take about 100 old crappy coal fired powerplants out of service.
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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby davep » Tue 18 Nov 2008, 04:19:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('davep', '[')b]So stock up on guns and learn about how anarchy should really work. It's the only way (apart from barbarism) of avoiding the centralised concentration of power and money inherent in any centralised economy.

There will be a new world order. Make sure that the citizens create and enforce it.


Hi Davep

I'm not sure you have entirely thought this one through. Hmmph.. (hard stare).

JP


You're right, of course, I haven't thought it through properly. However, I was basing my statement on the Spanish Anarchists pre-Franco. They were armed and successful, both militarily and economically. The communists got the Anarchists to disarm, and they were promptly defeated by Franco. So, the desire for a well-armed populace isn't the preserve of dribbling NRA fanatics.
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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby TireFire » Mon 27 Mar 2023, 15:15:05

YES!!!
URGENT ACTION!
VERY URGENT ACTION!

If we don't take action now, we can all be dead by 2010!
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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby theluckycountry » Fri 18 Apr 2025, 16:49:08

Topic starter post
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hat worries me the most of declining oil capacity is that the cost of building the components of renewable power systems (Solar PV or Wind Turbine generators) would go up so much as to make them unafordable.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kristjan', 'O')f course we need urgent action. Obama has pledged to pour $150B into renewables over the next ten years...

They just gave 250 billion to the 9 largest banks in one week, spending 15 billion a year on green energy really impresses me....NOT!


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kristjan', 'T')he idea behind spending 15 B each year is that government won't be the only one investing...

Sure, that is the theory, HOWEVER how many 3 or 5 MWe wind turbines along with associated infrastructure could be installed for 250 Billion dollars like they just passed out to the bankers in the first few weeks of the emergency stabilazation? Heck even if you were paying $5,000 per kWe of nameplate capacity you could have bought 50 GWe of wind power. Deployed in the right locations those give you a reliable 18 hours a day of power, enough to take about 100 old crappy coal fired powerplants out of service.

Ahhh the good old days, when Men were Men and rational thinking predominated. After all these years the US is up to 10% capacity with wind, which is probably a rosy figure, but at what cost that 10%? How much oil and coal went into the exercise? And in another 10 years or so the process of replacing them all will begin, just like we have to replace the coal burnt in conventional old plants day by day. How do we replace these wind engines, by burning lots more coal and oil in China of course. 10% market uptake is roughly what the EV reached and If this had all been done in the 1960s the percentages would have been much higher I expect because there was a lot more oil and coal to burn back then.

Whatever oil is coming out of the ground now is being carved up between the have's and the have not's. Many small nations are losing access altogether and miles driven per person in the US are below levels of 20 years ago. Road trips are expensive! https://www.consumershield.com/articles ... n-per-year
This site has similar figures, more updated, but they diverge "A lot" back in the early 00's regarding the "peak year". It what makes research hard these days, whose paying for the data? Personally I think 2004 is a typo here https://www.insuranceopedia.com/auto-in ... n-per-year

Miles driven is important because according to Googles ubiquitous A.I. :roll:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he transportation sector uses a significant portion of global oil consumption, accounting for almost two-thirds (around 66.6%) of U.S. petroleum consumption. Globally, transportation is the biggest consumer of oil. Over 90% of transportation is fueled by oil

or, 50% for just road transport. https://www.statista.com/statistics/307 ... worldwide/

The P.O. user that posted this poll came and went in a single day. I guess they made their point and moved on. But we're still here, stuck with the reality of oil depletion right at the apex of a 100 year debt super-cycle. It takes a long time to build up a critical debt load and it takes a decade or two to clear it off the books as well. The debt load from the Dutch Tulip bubble took 80 years I believe, the debt from the roaring twenties and before took 20 years. When the books were more in order, when the debts had been written off in other words, WWII kicked off and the Western nations were suddenly flush with cash and everyone had a job, a war job. But without the super-cheap oil could that have happened? Could millions of troops been armed and thousands of ships been made available if oil had not been there to do all the work of building them, of feeding the workers (mechanical agriculture).

Whatever... But here we are in the same place again. Massive debts and a World possibly on the brink of another major war. And we have 10% wind energy, the replacements of which come from the "enemy" But look! The sun is shining and it's Easter Saturday, my motorcycles are calling me so I'll forget all this and go out and enjoy my share of the 21st century. It's all bad news out there but that's all it is for many of us, just news, not reality. Not like for some.


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We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby AgentR11 » Fri 18 Apr 2025, 18:56:20

"Urgent" is always the best way to sell things like doomer books and films. There never was anything urgent though; demand destruction turns out to not be apocalyptic but rather kinda boring. A slow grind down in the quality and quantity of what can be produced, not to mention the slow decline in what the consumer can purchase for an hour's worth of labor. There will be oil for the production of EV/wind 100 years from now, energy and food will be more pricey of course, compared to that hour, but people will still be overweight, and overfed.

Transportation wise... I dunno, EV's may turn out to be great stopgaps, but the power has to come from somewhere, and the only country producing PV/wind at a rate that makes a real dent is China, and well, I don't wanna live in China. And even in China, the hunt for fossil fuels is very high up on the list of priorities, even as we a gift them a captive supplier in Russia.

I dunno, just rambling I guess.
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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby AdamB » Thu 24 Apr 2025, 19:23:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('calgapa1', 'W')hat worries me the most of declining oil capacity is that the cost of building the components of renewable power systems (Solar PV or Wind Turbine generators) would go up so much as to them unafordable.


Just love some of these old threads, bringing back to life things we can just sit down and laugh our asses off these years later.

"Unaffordable" solar PV. They'll install them on my house for free as long as the installers can sell the power surplus power to the grid to their own credit.
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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby theluckycountry » Thu 24 Apr 2025, 22:52:12

Shut up adam, we don't need kinder garden fantasies on the serious threads.

Affordable, Reliable, Clean Scorecard: Natural Gas Is Tops, Wind And Solar Are The Worst
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')oth analyses find natural gas is the most affordable, reliable, and clean electrical power source. Not far behind natural gas are nuclear, hydro, and coal. Lagging at the bottom of the affordability scorecard are wind and solar power. Natural gas is easily the lowest-cost electrical power source, with coal the second-most affordable...
https://realclearwire.com/articles/2025 ... 05680.html

Well Duh. Of course, it comes out of the ground, it doesn't need to be made in a Chinese factory, same with coal. We've had our 20 years of cheap solar and wind thanks to the "China Price" but that will change now, especially with tariffs. And note, the affordability of wind and solar is still below all the others in spite of the cheap prices.

The China Price.
Currency manipulation
Piracy and counterfeiting
network clustering
Tax avoidance
slave labor
Lax environmental regulations and enforcement
Limited worker health and safety
substandard materials
on and on it goes.

https://journals.openedition.org/chinaperspectives/3063

Morons believe marketing by companies (solar wind) and never think to question it :roll:

Solar module failure rates continue to rise as record number of manufacturers recognised in PVEL Module Reliability Scorecard: https://www.pv-tech.org/solar-module-fa ... scorecard/

Naturally. As a general rule, manufacturing quality has been in decline for decades now. Whether it's a toaster, or a car, or a laptop, or a solar panel. The reasons for this phenomena are well documented but it all basically comes down to greed.
We're 17 years past the peak now and the 3rd World is going hungry and dark. We'll be next, we're well on the way in fact.
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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby AdamB » Fri 25 Apr 2025, 22:37:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('theluckycountry', 'S')hut up adam, we don't need kinder garden fantasies on the serious threads.


Figured out basic addition yet to get your diploma, or has Australia upped their standards for a high school diploma and only folks who can pick answers from lists get one now?
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Re: Urgent action needed

Unread postby theluckycountry » Sat 26 Apr 2025, 09:51:38

You basically need to dumpster your TV adam. I know you think you're smarter than the tens of thousands of highly paid marketers out there, smarter than the legion of psychologists paid by the media corporations to get inside you head and fill it with lies. But the truth is, You're not! You're a dumbed down consumer drone, a bank account number, a credit score. That's why you got sucked into the EV revolution, sucked into the renewables transition, and sucked into Biden's lies about the future of your nation.

By any measure the average person over there is going deeper and deeper in debt and their savings have been going down and down for decades. This is basically your lifestyle, your future. Don't you care? Can't you see this happening?

Nope, just another brainless consumer lining up in the supermarket to whine about the price of meat and eggs...


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