Some progress on May River project .....
Calgary Herald, Saturday, November 29, 2008:
Oilsands regulatory delay frustrates Petrobank boss
.........................CEO Wright said Petrobank had wanted to wait until it drilled the three wells before seeking approval for its planned 100,000-barrel-per-day May River commercial project, but it has moved that forward while waiting and now expects to file its application within days or weeks.
The project is to be centred within two kilometres of the demonstration site and built in phases, at a
cost of about $150 million for each 10,000 to 15,000 bpd phase.
He said May River will reach 100,000 bpd by drilling 100 to 150 wells within three to four years. The resource is big enough to produce for 25 to 30 years.
Petrobank has drilled three wells at Whitesands to demonstrate its THAI technology. The new wells are intended to further demonstrate its CAPRI technology--which employs chemical catalysts to further improve the quality of the oil --as well as a revised down-hole completion design and longer well lengths.
____________________________________________________
Capex Comparison: Petrobank THAI with Oil Sands "SAGD" and Petrobras Offshore Tupi
As such I have taken the trouble to make a Capex comparison for the above Petrobank May River project with 2 planned SAGD "oil sands" projects and the planned/ delayed giant Petrobras Tupi offshore project.
The May River Capex is as indicated by CEO Wright
"at a cost of about $150 million for each 10,000 to 15,000 bpd phase". So, total Capex is some 8X$150 M= $ 1.2 Billion plus central facilities. Say total $ 1.5 Billion for 100,000 BPD
The Capex for Petrobras Tupi can be taken from CEO Sergio Gabrielli
http://seekingalpha.com/article/100675- ... -the-water:
For each 150,000 barrels per day of output and a production system comprising a floating platform, wells and subsea lines, the cost may be between $6 billion and $8 billion. We don't know whether we'll need 20, 40 or 50 such production systems.
Putting it together we get:
When using the data for SouthernPacific and Connacher SAGD it looks like that the Capex per BPD is about 35 % as required for SAGD, and only some 25 % as required for Petrobras offshore Tupi.
BTW SAGD is producing bitumen, Petrobank "THAI" is producing somewhat lighter oil than bitumen. Petrobras Tupi is producing light crude oil.
IF that is about correct, then the considerably lower Capex is a big advantage for Petrobank's "THAI".
JMHO[fade]
Table for Capex Comparison