by frankthetank » Fri 07 Nov 2008, 10:57:57
From local paper: Not much of a change... $500 less a YEAR...
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he ill winds on Wall Street have swept away more than one-quarter of the value of the state's core pension fund this year, putting it on track for a possible $500 drop in average yearly payments to 150,000 retirees, state officials said Thursday.
The possible drop in payments to pensioners, which won't be decided until year-end market figures are known, would be the first drop in the 26-year history of the state retirement system.
"This is unprecedented (for) retirees," said Matt Stohr, a spokesman for the state Department of Employee Trust Funds. But, "it's safe to say that they should be prepared for a negative dividend."
Stohr stressed that the pension funds remain solvent and will be able to make benefits payments.
But troubled markets have dealt the state's Core Trust Fund investment losses of 26 percent for the year as of Oct. 31, vaporizing $22.46 billion of the fund's value on paper and leaving it at $58.28 billion, said Vicki Hearing, spokeswoman for the state Investment Board.
By comparison, the S&P 500 index, a standard used to track the performance of the overall stock market, is down 32.8 percent over the same period, Hearing said.
What will happen next for retirees depends on what course the volatile markets take between now and Dec. 31, Stohr said.
If by then the market is down as much as it is now, pensioners' annuity payments could decrease by a rough estimate of 2.3 percent starting May 1, Stohr said. Any possible decrease could be less or more than that depending on what happens in the stock market, he said.
The average yearly payment to state pensioners was $21,500 in 2007, the latest year available, and payments increased 6.6 percent in 2008, he said.
Since the creation of the current state retirement system in 1982 to cover state and many local government workers, the worst news pensioners have faced is a freeze on their payments in 2002 because of the bear market then.
The problems with the fund could also mean a hit to both taxpayers and the larger group of 265,000 current public employees who are part of the system.
Stohr said that if current Wall Street trends for the year hold, governments could have to raise the contribution rate for their employees in the fund from 10.4 percent of their salaries to 10.9 percent. That half a percentage point increase could come from the employers, the workers, or both, depending on what state and local officials decide, Stohr said.
Ed Huck, executive director of the Wisconsin Alliance of Cities, said an increase in local governments' contribution rates could have a real impact on their budgets.
"We're all going to have to sacrifice," Huck said. "We're just going to have to find places not to spend money."
Peter Monkmeyer, a retired UW-Madison engineering professor, praised the fund's management and said potential payment decreases reflect the risk shared by retirees involved in the system.
"A 2.3 percent loss, if indeed it becomes necessary, is very small indeed and seems small compared to friends of mine who have lost their jobs recently," Monkmeyer said. "We're not taking the kind of hits that people are with their 401(k)s.
lawns should be outlawed.