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THE Free Market Thread (merged)

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: The Free Market

Unread postby retiredguy » Tue 28 Oct 2008, 09:03:23

Centralized economic planning worked well for the Soviets, didn't it?

Even the Chinese have switched to a market economy.

Die off is inevitable after an overshoot. Only the form it takes is variable.
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Re: The Free Market

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Tue 28 Oct 2008, 13:12:01

No one wants a 100% "free" unregulated market, just like no one wants a 100% command economy.

The question is how much freedom we want. It's a sliding scale, not a Yes or No question.

Some people, like Quinny, want less economic freedom and more government regulation. Others, like retiredguy, want more economic freedom and less government regulation.

I think, on a net basis, we have too much government.

We clearly need more oversight of the financial markets but I think small business and health insurance regulations are excessive.

I also support school vouchers, giving parents the ability to use taxpayer money to pick what school to send their children. It's a wash for the taxpayer but the parents could find a better school with their check.

Are school vouchers part of the free market? Of course not. A "Free" market would have no public funding for education at all.

But school vouchers are freer than the current system of a public monopoly on education.
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Re: The Free Market

Unread postby Quinny » Tue 28 Oct 2008, 13:42:55

Like I've said before my belief is that the free market is a good servant but a bad (sorry terrible) master.

I can't agree that you've got too much government in the States, it seems to me that Wall St and the uber capitalists have walked all over your politicians. Ineffective and weak springs to mind. It's not just the size of the cake that matters it's how it's shared out between different services.

I believe that most peoples experience of Government (in fact it's echoed time and time agian on this board) is it's them politicians that are the Government and us that are the citizens/subjects whatever you prefer.

Thats why a participative democracy is essential, especially when resources need to be more equally shared out. The lack of interest in politics is IMO because of the lack of choice between the different parties.

I used to speak to young (and old) people about politics and they always said they were'nt interested. I'd then ask them for £5 which the first thing most said was not no, but 'what do you want it for'. They weren't willing to part with £5 without knowing what it would be spent on, yet they were willing to part with a larger part of their wage than any other purchase in their life without looking into what it's spent on!

My fear is that because of overshoot we may be too late to avoid massive die-off, but post that, surely those who look back at the mess we've made of the planet will realise that a more co-operative approach is needed in future.
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Re: The Free Market

Unread postby MrBill » Tue 28 Oct 2008, 16:04:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Quinny', 'I') can't see anyone defending it so far!


In a free market for ideas what incentive do I have to share with you my knowledge when you have learned nothing from what I have already written? Apparently it was a waste of time? The most important thing is that I understand the market economy. Not that I share that information with you when you do not seem to be able to learn? You can play to the peanut gallery all you want. Populism is not knowledge.
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Re: The Free Market

Unread postby Munqi » Tue 28 Oct 2008, 16:21:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('retiredguy', 'C')entralized economic planning worked well for the Soviets, didn't it?

Even the Chinese have switched to a market economy.

Die off is inevitable after an overshoot. Only the form it takes is variable.


The free market worked well for us didnt it?

I mean... other than the end of the world ofcourse... But uh... we had a blast getting there.


It didnt work for the soviets because they were communists. Communism doesnt work.
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Re: The Free Market

Unread postby MrBill » Tue 28 Oct 2008, 16:29:50

Well, of course, unless you count the guy from Finland typing away on a PC connected to the Internet with someone in Cyprus instead of eating slop in a smokey, wooden hut, after he fed the reindeer, so he can go out tomorrow and cut down trees with his axe. You're right. Making Nokias instead of rubber boots is a real step backwards isn't it?
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Re: The Free Market

Unread postby Munqi » Tue 28 Oct 2008, 16:49:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'W')ell, of course, unless you count the guy from Finland typing away on a PC connected to the Internet with someone in Cyprus instead of eating slop in a smokey, wooden hut, after he fed the reindeer, so he can go out tomorrow and cut down trees with his axe. You're right. Making Nokias instead of rubber boots is a real step backwards isn't it?


Are you trying to tell me that the only way we could have gotten this far is by wasting all of our natural resources? Theres nothing we could have done better? Like taxing oil (for private use anyway) so that we wouldnt have wasted it all in our hummers? Or perhaps we should have subsidised low energy housing?

Think about it.
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Re: The Free Market

Unread postby Falconoffury » Tue 28 Oct 2008, 16:51:59

Capitalism works if nobody is lying and everyone fully understands what they are buying and selling. If the seller doesn't lie about what he is selling, and the buyer understands what he is buying, it works.

People never would have taken the option ARM mortgages if they only understood them. It would also help if the loan officers didn't lie about them. If people understood how much the credit card companies were ripping them off, they wouldn't use the cards so much. Regulation is needed simply to protect human beings from their own stupidity and greed. The paradox is that regulation itself is subject to the same flaws. Human flaws break the system of capitalism, not capitalism itself.

A system that is inherently flawed is our current fractional reserve banking system, but that is not the fault of capitalism.
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Re: The Free Market

Unread postby MrBill » Tue 28 Oct 2008, 16:59:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Munqi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'W')ell, of course, unless you count the guy from Finland typing away on a PC connected to the Internet with someone in Cyprus instead of eating slop in a smokey, wooden hut, after he fed the reindeer, so he can go out tomorrow and cut down trees with his axe. You're right. Making Nokias instead of rubber boots is a real step backwards isn't it?


Are you trying to tell me that the only way we could have gotten this far is by wasting all of our natural resources? Theres nothing we could have done better? Like taxing oil (for private use anyway) so that we wouldnt have wasted it all in our hummers? Or perhaps we should have subsidised low energy housing?

Think about it.


I have thought about it. Obviously a little more than you have. Finland lives in an integrated global economy. That creates wealth via the market economy and, gasp, competition. Taxes to support government and the market economy are not mutually exclusive. One pays for the other. The other paves the way for a functioning market. It is just numbskulls that have not figured it out yet. Think about that.
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Re: The Free Market

Unread postby Quinny » Tue 28 Oct 2008, 17:35:18

Don't underestimate yourself. I've learned a lot from you. We just tend to see things from different perspectives.

I'm sure you do understand the Market Economy, surely you understand it's broke!

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Quinny', 'I') can't see anyone defending it so far!


In a free market for ideas what incentive do I have to share with you my knowledge when you have learned nothing from what I have already written? Apparently it was a waste of time? The most important thing is that I understand the market economy. Not that I share that information with you when you do not seem to be able to learn? You can play to the peanut gallery all you want. Populism is not knowledge.
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Re: The Free Market

Unread postby Munqi » Tue 28 Oct 2008, 17:55:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'I') have thought about it. Obviously a little more than you have. Finland lives in an integrated global economy. That creates wealth via the market economy and, gasp, competition. Taxes to support government and the market economy are not mutually exclusive. One pays for the other. The other paves the way for a functioning market. It is just numbskulls that have not figured it out yet. Think about that.


Are we arguing over the same thing here? Im not saying we should get rid of these things. The lack of competition is exactly why communism didnt work.

I am saying that the goverment(s) should guide the market to better ways of doing things. If there is a gas tax, people use less gas. If there isnt, people use more. If its cheaper to build normal housing instead of low energy housing then thats what gets built. These are the things we need to change. And we dont need to give away any freedoms to do that.
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Re: The Free Market

Unread postby MrBill » Tue 28 Oct 2008, 17:59:20

Then it is my mistake. Other than being a fiscal conservative. Social liberal. I do not have an ideoogy. I believe in whatever works. Sound regulation and a level playing field help the market economy to function. Imagine a market economy in the absense of enforceable contracts? It works, but much less efficiency. Trust has a price too.
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Re: The Free Market

Unread postby phaster » Tue 28 Oct 2008, 22:01:25

one suggestion, why not make a "free market" type thread "sticky" since this topic seems to pop up every so often and always makes for interesting reading?

http://peakoil.com/fortopic43209.html
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Re: The Free Market Debate

Unread postby MrBill » Wed 29 Oct 2008, 03:46:43

Simply because most would sooner post their own ideas than read what others have already posted. With the exception of the lurkers of course. Even within long threads you have the same ideas popping up again and again as many have not bothered to read what has already been posted.
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Re: The Free Market Debate

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Wed 29 Oct 2008, 04:26:55

What I have found is that events of the day tend to drive discussions. The underlying themes repeat themselves of course, and those who hold particular viewpoints tend to stick to them and spin the events of the day toward their perspectives.

Peak Oil has been a highly active board since at least 2004, from the past posting I have read. A few here (mostly the Mods, but a few other long term members also)continue to plug onward, writing and defending their points of view, generally irrespective of what is the event of the day. The event of the day is just a jumping off point to espouse one's own particular point of view. I am of course as guilty of this as the next poster :-)

So, why do we even BOTHER debating these things, when its clear those with entrenched points of view are NOT going to change them, regardless of what the event of the day is?

The reason is actually the LURKERS, not the people who are involved heavily in these debates. Anyone who has enough hubris to expound on his or her point of view here is NOT going to capitulate to the opposition. The point here in the debate would be to sway those who are NOT writing, who are sitting on the fence, to accept your arguments as the one which holds the most validity.

While certainly I would find it gratifying if one of the Communists on the board bought into my perceptions of God and Heaven and Hell, I hardly see that as a likely outcome. Similarly, I hardly see it likely any Capitalist ont he board would ever accept my concepts of a world without Money based on small tribal communities where all work for the good of the tribe rather than themselves. These are all antithetical concepts, there really is no compromise here to be made.

So we argue, we make our points, often several times over in new threads with the same underlying themes. This does not mean the discussion is not worthwhile or devalued because of this. Its an exercise in thought process and in understanding your own personal philosophy. Its wrothwhile to do, because in the end the discussion does elucidate the truth for those who will read it carefully. Of course, that truth can be different based on presuppositions the reader has coming in, but as long as someone is NOT writing here, generally speaking that means they have not come to a conclusion for themselves as to what is RIGHT. These are the folks I write to in my posts, not the folks I argue with. For the most part, these folks are Lost Souls, they cannot be saved. Without them though, I cannot expound on what *I* think is right, so I am greatful to have members here with opposing viewpoints to argue with. Even if I have to pound on the same concepts over and over with a Sledgehammer, and not make a DENT in some very THICK skulls. LOL.

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Re: The Free Market Debate

Unread postby MrBill » Wed 29 Oct 2008, 04:37:37

[align=center]How Can Anyone Call This The Free Market At Work?[/align]
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b] GMAC, the auto finance and mortgage company, is seeking to become a bank holding company in order to access the government's $700 billion financial rescue plan, the Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday.

As a bank holding company, GMAC could receive equity injections from Treasury Department and sharply reduce its borrowing costs in part by gaining access to the Fed's discount window.


Taxpayer > Government > Treasury > FED > GM/Ford > Loan > Car Buyer

So now taxpayers can borrow from taxpayers (and foreign creditors) to buy cars and trucks they ordinarily could not afford because they do not save any money themselves. Everyone can live at someone else's expense. If anyone believes that is the free market at work then they are beyond help.
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Re: The Free Market Debate

Unread postby criticalmass » Wed 29 Oct 2008, 10:49:59

Falconfury is right. The free market does theoretically work without lies. These lies include everything from withheld knowledge to poor substitutes, to collusion and made-up scarcity. Now take away any sort of accountability (via bailouts) and we've created some real problems. We no longer have a free-market economy.

Just as a side note, a REAL free market does not need growth to be sustainable. It's typically a bonus, especially when you've allocated yourself almost free energy.
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Re: The Free Market Debate

Unread postby CarlosFerreira » Wed 29 Oct 2008, 19:32:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('criticalmass', 'F')alconfury is right. The free market does theoretically work without lies. These lies include everything from withheld knowledge to poor substitutes, to collusion and made-up scarcity. Now take away any sort of accountability (via bailouts) and we've created some real problems. We no longer have a free-market economy.


There we go again.

A free market works on the assumption of perfect information for all participants. That does not mean information is actually withheld, just that the true level of something (be it quantity, price, future demand, you name it) is unknown, so we have errors built into the system. That's why speculators in the stock market are useful: they increase the number of transactions, pushing the price towards its "real" value. Simple statistics.

Now, a free market means you have to assign property rights. This means that:

1. all goods in society have an owner
2. all benefits and costs go to that owner
3. the property rights can be transferred to another owner
4. this rights can be enforced, and violating any of them leads to a penalty.

The absence of property rights results in market failure. Take clean air: before the emissions trading schemes, no one had property rights over the clean air, so it could be polluted for free. Now we all own clean air, government sells permits to pollute and polluters buy and trade among themselves those permits. The one that pollutes less can actually make a profit out of it, selling to the big polluters. All will have an incentive to pollute less, as long as the cost of polluting less is smaller than the cost of the necessary permits. Governments can place a floor and a ceiling on this market to stop prices getting too high (which would hurt consumers too much, especially in the short term, where's little elasticity of demand) or too low, collapsing the effort to curb pollution.

That's a free market. Does it work? Government, consumers, polluters, bureaucrats, environmental groups and pressure groups galore try to influence it to serve their own personal agenda and objectives. Result? Something happens, eventually, even if it takes an awful long time at aware people's eyes. The groups all push and shove in different directions and mostly cancel each other. Somebody's gotta give. This market will eventually happen, and it will work if a hands-off policy is applied.

Would you prefer taxes, or standards, or subsidies? Munqi said tax and then subsidise energy - is that serious? A market like this - if we control the implementation and verification costs - is much more efficient, cost effective and equitable than any of those mechanisms. Does it look like pie in the sky? Not really. It's our best chance right now. Even watered down, as it will inevitably be, it's better than nothing.

So, do you guys think that the government and all the influence bandwagon will ruin the good plan? OK, let's try this: liberalise it further! Really: let everyone buy some permits, just like in the commodities market. I wouldn't mind spending 30€ and keep a ton of CO2 out of the air. If the price got too high, it meant that producers were in a tight situation, and commodities' and utilities' prices would go up, so I'd have incentives enough to sell. I'd gain that way too, and maybe I'd buy 2 tons next time. The high prices would encourage utilities to get smart and pollute less.

Some months ago I was arguing against the free market. Now I think free means there's a government to create the free market and the means to enforce its rules. If that is accomplished, it's still our best shot.
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Re: The Free Market Debate

Unread postby retiredguy » Thu 30 Oct 2008, 00:32:03

There seems to be general agreement that human population is in overshoot because of exploitation of fossil fuels.

Because they are finite, dependence on fossil fuels is not sustainable.

The current human population is 6.5 billion, projected to grow to 9 billion by 2050.

Sustainable human population without fossil fuels is estimated to be 1 to 2 billion.

So, the solution to our problem is to reduce the human population to the sustainable level and keep it there. And to do this with a minimum of pain and suffering.

For those of you who believe that all hope rests in a central authority, please explain how such an authority would evolve? And what would that central authority have to do to achieve a peaceful transition to sustainability?

As far as I know, this would be a totally unique event in human history.
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Re: The Free Market Debate

Unread postby MrBill » Thu 30 Oct 2008, 04:02:09

Carlos wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')ome months ago I was arguing against the free market. Now I think free means there's a government to create the free market and the means to enforce its rules. If that is accomplished, it's still our best shot.


Good arguments above Carlos. As they say, what matters gets measured. Even if the gains of a cap & trade system for emissions are modest at first it starts a conversation and gets stakeholders thinking. Just like when environmental groups systematically catalogue species and environments at risk. They may not immediately save those threatened habitats, but they put a process in motion. Just like when we measure polar ice caps to guage climate change and global warming. We collect information and data and those facts influence the debate. It is necessary in order to come to a concensus.

Now I do not think that 30 euros per tonne of CO[sup]2[/sup] is going to do much to curb pollution. More like 200-300 euros per tonne. But it is a start. And an important one. Unfortunately polluters like utility companies need much clearer guidelines and longer time horizons, so the pilot projects with 3-year duration are not very useful for making long-term investment decisions. In the meantime I also quite happy to buy a carbon offset each time I fly.
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