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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Peak oil is a sham.

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Peak oil is a sham.

Unread postby TheDude » Sat 11 Oct 2008, 23:50:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('raisinbran', 'I') do want to make this assertion. Peak oil, the notion, IS a simply invented evil to help us explain what is happening. I don't think peak oil is real because it makes, in my view, an extreme assumption: that the earth controls man.

We've had other economics fans here (remember Lonesnark, anyone?) who found the concept distasteful. Also suspect since (in their blinkered estimation) it hasn't applied to them personally in their lives, ergo has no basis.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut peak oil suggests that mankind is so greedy, so eager to exploit natural resources, that it blindly used it all up until it drove itself into oblivion.

The very notion.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') contend that the governments view oil in this manner. In the case of the United States, the fact that most of our oil comes from other countries is telling. While it is possible that we simply don't have enough, from the view I just offered, it would seem strategic to use OTHER people's oil, and hoard your own. I certainly think that is possible.

You haven't read any of the histories of the petroleum industry, or come to wholly fanciful conclusions. The US hasn't slacked off domestic production while exploiting foreign reserves at all. If you're going to respond with some fun factoid about the amazing amount of reserves locked up in US oil shale please search our archives first.

You're oversimplifying the forecasts made by most here, as well. The more insightful posters here don't blame everything malignant under the sun on peak oil, far from it.
Cogito, ergo non satis bibivi
And let me tell you something: I dig your work.
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Re: Peak oil is a sham.

Unread postby katkinkate » Sun 12 Oct 2008, 00:09:53

Individuals can act rationally (within their knowledge base), to maximise benefits and survival for themselves and their family. Corporations are psychopathic and act only to maximise 'profit' for themselves and the shareholders. Their vision and concern only goes 1-2 quarters into the future, otherwise they might have seen this crisis coming earlier and made preparations. Governments act to the benefit of who they see as their most important constituents, which seems to be in many cases, big business/corporations. If not, why is the American government bankrupting the taxpayers and threatening social welfare to give welfare to the big banks?
Kind regards, Katkinkate

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but the cultivation and perfection of human beings."
Masanobu Fukuoka
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Re: Peak oil is a sham.

Unread postby threadbear » Sun 12 Oct 2008, 00:33:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Madpaddy', 'I')f there was one more i in your nickname it would describe you perfectly.


Raisinbrain? :lol: :lol:
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Re: Peak oil is a sham.

Unread postby threadbear » Sun 12 Oct 2008, 00:36:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cloud9', 'I') suspect peak oil was the cause of the current calamity. It may very well be that $4.00 a gallon gasoline was the tipping point that began the retreat that caused the cascade that resulted in collapse. How is peak oil not the culprit? It broke the back of the American consumer.


I would think millions of people whose mortgages reset, doubling their mortgage payments, was a greater factor. Gasoline, as is evidenced by falling demand in the US is obviously an easier work around than doubling mortgage payments.
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Re: Peak oil is a sham.

Unread postby doomlover666 » Sun 12 Oct 2008, 05:12:03

Now raisin bran, I know your upset about the whole economy thing and that you would like to disprove peak oil. But have you ever seen Mike Rupperts movie " Denial stops here (911 to peak oil and beyond)" In this movie, which was made in early 2000 something, mikey calls this whole current market crash down to the T and also lays down an rather insightful view of the future. So please check it out and get back to me.
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Re: Peak oil is a sham.

Unread postby doomlover666 » Sun 12 Oct 2008, 05:20:02

Oh and yes Raisin Bran,

People are greedy; just go look at any child's playground anywhere in the world. It's is a character flaw that is programmed in our DNA and it never goes away, it just gets more refined with time.
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Re: Peak oil is a sham.

Unread postby vtsnowedin » Sun 12 Oct 2008, 05:34:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('doomlover666', 'O')h and yes Raisin Bran,

People are greedy; just go look at any child's playground anywhere in the world. It's is a character flaw that is programmed in our DNA and it never goes away, it just gets more refined with time.


From an evolutionary standpoint I don't think you can say that greed is a flaw but is a rather important tool in our survival. :)
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Re: Peak oil is a sham.

Unread postby jasonraymondson » Sun 12 Oct 2008, 11:08:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('doomlover666', 'O')h and yes Raisin Bran,

People are greedy; just go look at any child's playground anywhere in the world. It's is a character flaw that is programmed in our DNA and it never goes away, it just gets more refined with time.


From an evolutionary standpoint I don't think you can say that greed is a flaw but is a rather important tool in our survival. :)


no, you can't.

Our long term survival is dependent on our ability to work together and only take our fair share.

If we don't, as a species we are doomed.
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Re: Peak oil is a sham.

Unread postby allenwrench » Mon 13 Oct 2008, 19:56:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('raisinbran', 'T')he problem is not the science of peak-oil. It is fairly reasonable to believe that, as a finite resource, it would deplete and follow the "peak oil" projection that is touted on this site.
However, the fundamental question to ask is:
Is that really happening, right now, that would accurately describe what is happening today?
Point 1) Peak oil minimizes manipulation and enshrines the principles of supply and demand.
The fundamental problem with the notion of peak oil is quite simply that it assumes that this world economy, and the oil market, operates freely according to supply and demand, and that it has been for decades.
I think you all have witnessed first-hand how much manipulation there is in the oil prices. Knowing that oil indeed can be another speculative trade commodity, and that it fell about $70 in two months, clearly suggests there was a modest inflation of the price. Gas is quite low right now, back to levels 8 months ago. Is it really reasonable that this price crash ($8 down yesterday) is attributed to demand destruction alone?

Point 2) To understand world events (and this global meltdown certainly qualifies as a world event), most would agree that an understanding of a broad array of subjects is important.
For starters, one should have an understanding that the folly in the housing market, along with excessive speculative activity in the financial industry, is is a large contributor of the current financial meltdown. In all honesty, as much as some here would like to believe that a shortage of oil is directly causing multiple bank failures, mass foreclosures, and government bailouts, the simple truth is that it hardly does. High-gas prices alone are not the cause of this travesty.
World events are multifaceted, ranging from natural resources, financial structures, economic systems, politics, geopolitics, religious/ideological trends, social/cultural trends. For some examples, the trend toward socialism that we are witnessing is notable. This election, the Georgia Russia debacle, increased militarism, and the marked technological invasion of our privacy and rights deserve attention. Do you think oil shortages are making the world more socialist by default? Do you think Iraq/Afghanistan/Georgia is all about oil? Or is that only part of the story?
Peak oil seems to single out natural resources, and to a lesser extent economic structures, as the sole driver of world events today, because data shows that we haven't found new oil, that oil fields are depleting, and that governments are now going to scramble and look for more oil, and therefore everything will collapse, etc.

Point 3) Perhaps most of all it enshrines human greed, but minimizes the human desire for more control.
The desire for mankind, for leaders, to exert control is well-documented throughout history. The Portuguese and Spanish wanted to monopolize the Spice and Silver trade, respectively, as a source of wealth, as well as to maintain a military edge over their rivals.
Oil, whether you like it or not, is almost a perfect weapon, or tool of control. Any country without oil is a country that will implode in months. Any population without oil/gas will become a starved, angry population.
If you are wondering why your rights and privacy have been slowly and systematically torn down over the past decade, why the government is essentially nationalizing the banks and your home, and why your jobs are moving out of this country, then you probably feel like somebody is exerting more control over you.

Tools of control are all around us. We don't produce our food, our power, our water, our gasoline, where are cash is stored, someone else does, and usually it is a large corporation. We also get our interpretations of world events and news from someone else, because we are not well-versed enough to come up with our own conclusion. Believing peak oil is like trying to see the world from an oil rig. Undoubtedly you would probably have a better view of the landscape from an airplane, to see all the dynamic movement

Sure, it is an easy task to see how much oil is produced in the world. But finding the 'exact peak date' for world oil production is hard to pinpoint.

For one thing, some countries production are erratic and they are not transparent with their real production and discovery data.

Also oil production is not an exact science and still requires a little luck. We may find a lucky hit down the road that brings in a gusher to distort some of the figures.

No one knows the exact peak date for world oil production, but we do know that time will come. But finding the peak is not hard problem once we can look back on it by a few years....but we need some time to do it...again, only time will settle this debate.
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Re: Peak oil is a sham.

Unread postby allenwrench » Mon 13 Oct 2008, 19:58:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jasonraymondson', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vtsnowedin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('doomlover666', 'O')h and yes Raisin Bran, People are greedy; just go look at any child's playground anywhere in the world. It's is a character flaw that is programmed in our DNA and it never goes away, it just gets more refined with time.
From an evolutionary standpoint I don't think you can say that greed is a flaw but is a rather important tool in our survival. :)
no, you can't. Our long term survival is dependent on our ability to work together and only take our fair share. If we don't, as a species we are doomed.

Yes we are greedy...it is our nature.
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Re: Peak oil is a sham.

Unread postby killJOY » Mon 13 Oct 2008, 20:17:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')s a past believer in peak oil, I say: Peak oil is a myth, and a sham. Period.

OK. If you have any canning jars you want to get rid of, give me a PM.
Peak oil = comet Kohoutek.
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