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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Is it the worst yet?

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Is this deja vu or something more?

We've seen it all before.
9
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There's been similar problems but this is much worse
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The fan is being hit and its time to panic
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Total votes : 44

Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby Quinny » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 14:21:32

I'm fairly new to the forum, but feel that the system is collapsing all around us.

So to those of you who've been around for a few years.

Have there been similar situations before or is it worse now?
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby Ludi » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 14:37:53

Nah, people are mostly just freaking out more than usual. It certainly isn't the worst yet ---- YET!
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 14:48:17

Yeah. This is certainly unprecedented, but I don't think the fan has been hit yet. Starting to look more and more like it could happen any day though.
"We were standing on the edges
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Sifting through the ashes every day
What we thought would never end
Now is nothing more than a memory
The way things were before
I lost my way" - OCMS
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby Cashmere » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 14:48:30

I'm on the Titanic. I've been watching on deck for a few years. We hit the ice berg hours ago.

Some dude comes up from below decks. A bit of water splashes him on the leg. "Oh dear Lord, is the worst over yet?"

Sir - No. You can't even imagine the worst.
Massive Human Dieoff <b>must</b> occur as a result of Peak Oil. Many more than half will die. It will occur everywhere, including where <b>you</b> live. If you fail to recognize this, then your odds of living move toward the "going to die" group.
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby Sys1 » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 15:04:47

I don't know if it will make you happy, but we have certainly not passed the "peak worst". We are even quite far from it...but I'm here since 2005 and I can easily affirm that things have never been so bad, even if oil is now under 100$.
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby cualcrees » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 15:08:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cashmere', 'I')'m on the Titanic. I've been watching on deck for a few years. We hit the ice berg hours ago.
Some dude comes up from below decks. A bit of water splashes him on the leg. "Oh dear Lord, is the worst over yet?"
Sir - No. You can't even imagine the worst.

Good analogy... How long before the ship goes down?
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 15:11:50

It can't be the worst yet since the internet is still working and we can all still debate whether or not TSHTF :-)

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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby Bas » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 15:19:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cualcrees', 'G')ood analogy... How long before the ship goes down?

She's unsinkable!
seriously, nobody knows how long we still have before the ship really starts going down. My guess is that we can continue for years to come on a path of economic stagnation we just might have hit before things really start to go down and that the shock now going through the international economic system is merely the hitting of the roof. Either way, as easy as it is to see that we can't continue the way we have, as hard I find it to totally convince myself this ship is really going under completely. Maybe we'll only sink little by little and end up sitting on a sandbar by midcentury. Either way, for now it seems to me we just hit the roof.
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby HEADER_RACK » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 15:20:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ReverseEngineer', 'I')t can't be the worst yet since the internet is still working and we can all still debate whether or not TSHTF

Quite right. When TSHTF nobody will be debating it everyone will know it.
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby americandream » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 15:43:30

No, not yet. These are the opening notes to a steady slide down the pit of barbarism as the system gradaully implodes under the weight of it's idiocy.
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby Loki » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 15:49:47

I believe the economic situation in my state was a fair bit worse in the early 1980s than it is right now. So no, it isn't "the worst yet."

That said, we are clearly in a recession, and I think there's a high probability that we are accelerating towards a Second Great Depression. Most of the folks here seem to agree, at least based on the poll I started in the Economics forum:

Is this the beginning of the Second Great Depression?

Yes, welcome to the Second Great Depression. 81% [ 101 ]
It's a rough patch, but the economy will recover soon. 9% [ 12 ]
The fundamentals of our economy are sound. 2% [ 3 ]
I'm rich, what's your freaking problem? 6% [ 8 ]

Total Votes : 124


Does that mean the end of the world? Of course not. Don't expect to see people dropping dead of starvation in downtown Seattle, or biker gangs taking over Interstate 5. But soup lines, mass unemployment, mass movement from middle class to poor, etc. could certainly be on the menu, sooner than we might like.
A garden will make your rations go further.
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby aldente » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 17:06:35

Follow the lines...
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby Madpaddy » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 17:20:01

I have to laugh really.

In Ireland, the current situation is the worst in maybe 15 years. Before that we had double digit unemployment and were a candidate for a take over by the world bank.

Go back a few years before that and half the population died or emigrated during the famine. A few years before that 50,000 rebels were hung on poles on the side of the road after the failed 1798 uprising.

To summarize, we are so so so soft now, that we think having to park our second car in the garage because we can't afford tax or insurance is the end of the world. I beg to differ.

What about the UK. My father grew up in a time where there was a very real chance that the UK and Ireland would be over run by the Nazis and every able bodied male was to be sent to labour camps.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')illiam Shirer (p. 782)

Shirer documents the Germans' detailed plans for Britain once she had been occupied. On September 9, 1940, as the Battle of Britain raged, the Commander in Chief of the German Army, Field Marshall Brauchitsch, signed a directive providing that "the able-bodied male population between the ages of seventeen and forty-five [in Britain] will, unless the local situation calls for an exceptional ruling, be interned and dispatched to the Continent."


Most countries have been far worse off in the last 50 or 60 years than they are now.
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby aldente » Sun 05 Oct 2008, 18:17:41

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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby hubbertspeak7777777 » Tue 07 Oct 2008, 01:37:17

There is no "worst". No matter how bad things are, they can always get worse.
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby AgentR » Tue 07 Oct 2008, 02:03:21

Are we really so soft now that we have no clue about how bad things could get?

Typing on the net, A/C running, sodas/beer in the fridge...

Come on.
99.99999% of humans who've ever lived would look at what we have at our convenience and be completely astounded that the words "its bad.." could even be formed on our lips.

We have the luxury of royal households at our beck and call. Perhaps a decade ago things were even more posh; but boys and girls, we be living in pure luxury, even now.

All because of some incredibly cheap, black gooey stuff.
When that can't be bought with paper money; then we'll start to get a hint at what "its bad.." might mean.
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby VMarcHart » Tue 07 Oct 2008, 10:56:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Quinny', 'H')ave there been similar situations before or is it worse now?
I've traveled a lot and lived in many countries. (Job, school, love...) In my experience, yes this is new and bad for the 50-something and younger American, but I've seen worser.
On 9/29/08, cube wrote: "The Dow will drop to 4,000 within 2 years". The current tally is 239 bold predictions, 9 right, 96 wrong, 134 open. If you've heard here, it's probably wrong.
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby hubbertspeak7777777 » Tue 07 Oct 2008, 23:32:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR', 'A')re we really so soft now that we have no clue about how bad things could get? Typing on the net, A/C running, sodas/beer in the fridge. Come on. 99.99999% of humans who've ever lived would look at what we have at our convenience and be completely astounded that the words "its bad.." could even be formed on our lips.

A new twist on the "eat your food, there are starving people in India", instead this time it's "no matter how dire your financial situation may be, just remember you have more useless luxury crap than someone who lived in 1742." How does the fact that we have more luxuries than people who lived in the past help someone who can't afford food, is about to be evicted or is about to lose their job? It doesn't.
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby AgentR » Wed 08 Oct 2008, 09:41:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('hubbertspeak7777777', 'H')ow does the fact that we have more luxuries than people who lived in the past help someone who can't afford food, is about to be evicted or is about to lose their job? It doesn't.


Because we and they can afford food; one way or another, more food than we can possibly eat; even if they are evicted and lose their jobs.

Yes, there will always be a certain small segment of any population that has difficulty feeding itself for a variety of reasons, but that isn't the result of our current economic situation; it is the natural state of human life. For the most part; we don't let them starve, despite their disfunctionality. There are also, at all times, people that endure periodic hardship as a result of natural or individual economic disasters; but again; these things are in no way unique or even over represented in our current situation.

The question was "worst".
The answer is "not even close".

That does not imply that some people aren't suffering some hardships; but even the ones that are suffering the strongest effects of the current situation are NOT dieing of starvation.

When, and it WILL happen, the streets of American cities are openly littered with people dieing of starvation and its associated diseases, then we can start talking about "worst". As it is now, you're more likely to be arrested for loitering, thrown in a box, sandwich and cup of water placed firmly in your hand.
Yes, we are. As we are.
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Re: Is it the worst yet?

Unread postby ReverseEngineer » Wed 08 Oct 2008, 12:18:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AgentR', 'W')hen, and it WILL happen, the streets of American cities are openly littered with people dieing of starvation and its associated diseases, then we can start talking about "worst". As it is now, you're more likely to be arrested for loitering, thrown in a box, sandwich and cup of water placed firmly in your hand.


Unfortunately, debtors prisons only last so long as there is sufficient food to support those OUT of prison. Nobody noticed the ever increasing size of the prison population of the US over the last 20 years?

Besides the food, it costs plenty of money to run a prison. Gotta pay the guards, gotta pay the heat bill. You can of course try to keep your debtors OUTof prison by proivding social welfare programs, but they also cost money.

20% would be about the breaking point for any society. If you have that kind of percentage of people either in prison or on social welfare programs, your soicety is failing and cannot work. I don;t suppose you noticed our society makes far more poor people than it does rich ones, even INCLUDING stealing from everyone else in the world?

#1 on your Survival Plans should be staying out of Prisons or Detention Camps. #2 is trying to avoid Conscription as Cannon Fodder. However, as this spins down, both become close to unavoidable in a world with nowhere left to run, nowhere left to hide. The actual ability of the land (and ocean) to provide for so may as we have has long since been overshot. Now is the time for the Great Dieing.

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