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THE International Energy Agency (IEA) Thread pt 1 (merged) A

Discuss research and forecasts regarding hydrocarbon depletion.

Unread postby MrBump » Sat 12 Mar 2005, 05:16:21

More good news. :(
http://www.khaleejtimes.com/DisplayArti ... iness&col=

Notice that he uses the term "oil production capacity". It doesn´t look like it´s a logistical bottleneck. Maybe the fields just need some more water injections then. :)
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Unread postby Eteonian » Sat 12 Mar 2005, 05:31:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')h dear.....where to next. I am gonna miss this way of life.


The reason why that is important for us in NZ is that our government bases it's policies firmly on IEA statements which so far have been 'concave earth' at best - or should I appreciate your cynicism with more enthusiasm?
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Unread postby mididoctors » Sun 13 Mar 2005, 15:44:51

the IEA is supposed to deal with energy security by being in the forecast and data game! there slower than the market and seem to be a political force protecting there own established area of influence. what an appalling record of consistency or foresight they have.
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Unread postby aahala » Sun 13 Mar 2005, 16:57:48

Oil supplies has a uniquely magically quality - performing addition through subtraction.

Oil reserves now are about 5 times what they were at the end of WWII, and stated reserves have increased almost every year during that period.

Don't try this at home with dinner guests. If you tell them the more pie they eat, the more will be left for future use, they will think you have flipped your lid. But some won't believe a statement denying the multiplying oil trick.
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IEA Report: Saving Oil in a Hurry

Unread postby EnviroEngr » Mon 14 Mar 2005, 18:56:14

If they're still taking comments on reviews, someone here should read the draft and supply some constructive criticism on IEA's upcoming publication -- "Saving Oil in a Hurry"

Meeting Agenda [PDF]

REPORT: Saving Oil in a Hurry [PDF]

I'll see if I can find contacts....
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ok

Unread postby Petro » Tue 15 Mar 2005, 22:08:52

The table of contents alone creeped me out!
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Unread postby chris-h » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 10:12:53

• Increases in public transit usage
• Increases in carpooling
• Telecommuting and working at home
• Changes in work schedules
• Driving bans and restrictions
• Speed limit reductions
• Information on tyre pressure effects
Our main conclusion finds that those policies that are more restrictive tend to be most
effective in gaining larger reductions in fuel consumption. In particular, driving restrictions
give the largest estimated reductions in fuel consumption.

hmmm.
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Unread postby FatherOfTwo » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 14:21:51

"under the conditions of a supply disruption or other oil-related emergency."

Um, ok, terrorists knock out a pipeline in SA. - Supply disruption. A tanker sinks - Supply Disruption.

What exactly are "other oil-related emergencies"? Am I missing something?

Get a backbone boys - call it what it is - Peak Oil.
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Unread postby Trab » Wed 16 Mar 2005, 15:03:46

This section gives me an idea as to what they're on about:

[quote]Why should governments intervene to cut oil demand during a supply disruption or price surge? One obvious reason is to conserve fuel that might be in short supply. But perhaps more importantly, a rapid demand response (especially if co-ordinated across IEA countries) can send a strong market signal. In the case of a moderate supply reduction, e.g. of 1-2 million barrels per day taken off the market, a reduction in IEA transport fuel demand of even a few percent could have a substantial dampening effect on surging world oil prices. Achieving even
this much reduction in transport energy use would be challenging, but if successful the value to IEA and other oil-importing countries in terms of maintaining adequate supplies,moderating oil prices and avoiding macroeconomic shocks to the economy could be far greater than the costs associated with the measures to achieve this reduction. A supply disruption that induces a rise in oil prices will generate its own response from drivers and others; however, short-term transport demand response to changes in fuel price is notoriously slow and small (i.e. there is a low “price elasticityâ€
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IEA wants brakes on fuel consumption !!!!

Unread postby goldfishbowl42 » Thu 24 Mar 2005, 19:57:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he International Energy Agency is to propose drastic cutbacks in car use to halt continuing oil-supply problems. Those cutbacks include anything from car-pooling to outright police-enforced driving bans for citizens.


http://www.energybulletin.net/4864.html

IEA !!!!!!

They advise governments. They have changed a lot in the last year or so !! They are starting to issue warnings about how to cut your ecconomy into an energy scare once, aimed at governments!!

It has to be good! but its a sign of the times all the same!!!!!
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and?

Unread postby EnviroEngr » Thu 24 Mar 2005, 20:23:17

Consider commenting on: http://www.peakoil.com/fortopic5842.html
if they reply to my request.

You sound like an enthusiastic candidate to share a viewpoint.
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Odd/Even ban wouldn't work in the US

Unread postby Clouseau2 » Thu 24 Mar 2005, 20:41:51

Most people would just buy 2 cars, one even one odd.
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Re: IEA wants brakes on fuel consumption !!!!

Unread postby SpasticDancer » Thu 24 Mar 2005, 22:02:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('goldfishbowl42', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he International Energy Agency is to propose drastic cutbacks in car use to halt continuing oil-supply problems. Those cutbacks include anything from car-pooling to outright police-enforced driving bans for citizens.

:o
:lol: AH-HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!

(That's derisive laughter, by the way. Just imagining how well that idea would go over here in the US.)
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Unread postby Ebyss » Thu 24 Mar 2005, 22:10:22

Is this a canary?
We've tried nothin' and we're all out of ideas.

I am only one. I can only do what one can do. But what one can do, I will do. -- John Seymour.
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Unread postby Sys1 » Fri 25 Mar 2005, 09:04:19

As soon as this project will be told to US's population, they will get crazy. Just imagine a SUV's owner already mad because of oil prices :)
"Damn, i got to buy a second SUV! Fucking Chinese communists!"
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Unread postby 2007 » Fri 25 Mar 2005, 09:30:59

he-he, carpooling, very funny IEA. We use oil - We don't save oil!
Peak Oil; Today is the first day of the rest in your life
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Unread postby Peepers » Fri 25 Mar 2005, 09:41:24

I found the International Energy Agency's document "Saving Oil in a Hurry: Measures for Rapid Demand Restraint in Transport" at:

http://www.iea.org/textbase/work/2005/o ... ground.pdf

Turns out it's still a draft, dated Feb 28, 2005. And I thought Aljazeera was just blowing smoke! I haven't read through it yet (it's 121 pages!), but I'll be interested to see what's in it (especially after reading Aljazeera's article).
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Unread postby shortonoil » Fri 25 Mar 2005, 09:45:52

"The American life style is not negotiable"

Quizz:
What idiot said that?

If you quess it right, you get a three hour excemption from the US Patriot Act.
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Unread postby frankthetank » Fri 25 Mar 2005, 10:32:02

this should go over well
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Unread postby Wildwell » Fri 25 Mar 2005, 10:32:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', '[')i]"The American life style is not negotiable"

Quizz:
What idiot said that?

If you quess it right, you get a three hour excemption from the US Patriot Act.


Nice bit of PR the quote from Bush Senior. He's obviously banking on figuring out a way to get a direct line to God to re-negotiate the laws of nature.

Surely though not cutting back is extremely unpatriotic and pretty selfish?
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